LGR4GM Posted April 16, 2018 Report Share Posted April 16, 2018 Peter's and Rivet just debated if Tkachuk is better then Svechnikov... fml Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Buffalo Posted April 16, 2018 Report Share Posted April 16, 2018 Peter's and Rivet just debated if Tkachuk is better then Svechnikov... fmlNHL news rated Brady better than Zadina and Bouchard and Dobson the two best NA defensemen.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader1969 Posted April 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2018 (edited) NHL news rated Brady better than Zadina and Bouchard and Dobson the two best NA defensemen.. NHL Central Scouting still has a bias to size. Last season they had Vilardi and Rasmussen 6'6 ranked 4 & 5 respectively, ahead of Makar. Glass, Tippett and Suzuki. I think that explains Tkachuk at 2 (over Zadina) and Dobson and Bouchard at 4 & 5 over Hughes. edit also may explain Noel 6'6 at 10 when some publications have him as a 2nd rounder. Edited April 16, 2018 by Crusader1969 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 16, 2018 Report Share Posted April 16, 2018 Size and Canadian junior players get favored. Serron is in the 20s. Not top 10. The catch is some dumb general manager will draft him higher because of size. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader1969 Posted April 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2018 Size and Canadian junior players get favored. Serron is in the 20s. Not top 10. The catch is some dumb general manager will draft him higher because of size. I wouldn't mind him at 32 though, especially if they go D with the first pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I have asked this before, but I can't remember the answer. When is the draft lotto draw? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I have asked this before, but I can't remember the answer. When is the draft lotto draw? The 28th of April Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I have asked this before, but I can't remember the answer. When is the draft lotto draw? The 28th of April Sometime around 7pm I would think too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randall Flagg Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 The last couple of years they've done it during the intermission of a 7pm game. Not sure if that's the plan again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Thanks guys. So, it seems I can vent before my Ramadan break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rakish Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I'm thinking about starting a post to predict who wins the lottery, and why, if only to troll Flagg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GASabresIUFAN Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 Who cares! We are drafting 4th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sabresparaavida Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 49.4% for top 3 to be super specific. 1 - 18.5% 2 - 16.5% 3 - 14.4% 4 - 50.6% No, at 2 we take svechnikov and 3 zadina. Both are high end wingers we desperately need. Svechnikov has 44g in 48 total games this year. Zadina is a bit more 2 way but also is a sniper. I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. I'm not sure the NHL removes the balls of the team that has already been chosen before picking the next team. Or, if they do, it's only the 4 balls of the successful sequence, and 4 balls isn't a lot when relative to thousands Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. He's got it right. http://www.sportingnews.com/nhl/news/nhl-draft-2018-lottery-odds-order-date-time-mock-picks-projections-sabres-canucks-senators/hr6ut2u2p2r518sgz2qe7hr0p http://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shrader Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. What you're picturing here is the probability of specifically winning the lottery for the 2nd overall pick assuming you've already lost the 1st pick. In that case, it would be greater than the chance they had for the first pick. But if you look at the chances overall for which pick you wind up with, those numbers were right. Notice how they add up to 100%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. I'm not sure the NHL removes the balls of the team that has already been chosen before picking the next team. Or, if they do, it's only the 4 balls of the successful sequence, and 4 balls isn't a lot when relative to thousands He's got it right. http://www.sportingnews.com/nhl/news/nhl-draft-2018-lottery-odds-order-date-time-mock-picks-projections-sabres-canucks-senators/hr6ut2u2p2r518sgz2qe7hr0p http://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds What you're picturing here is the probability of specifically winning the lottery for the 2nd overall pick assuming you've already lost the 1st pick. In that case, it would be greater than the chance they had for the first pick. But if you look at the chances overall for which pick you wind up with, those numbers were right. Notice how they add up to 100%. Yeah I had it pretty close. There are 14 balls, so 14C4 = 1001. If that combination is chosen again, they simply redraw http://nationalpost.com/sports/hockey/nhl/nhl-draft-lottery-five-things-you-might-not-know-about-this-crazy-process Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader1969 Posted April 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 so if the Sabres don't get #1, we want the 2nd last place team to get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 so if the Sabres don't get #1, we want the 2nd last place team to get it. Pretty much. That ensures the highest possible amount of re-draws we could have So 1001 combinations, that means the Sabres get 185 of those (or just about), and the Sens get 135 of those. 1001-135 = 866 185/866 = 21.4%, Which would be our odds for choosing 2nd overall at that point. Though Eleven's link is telling me otherwise, so I'm probably missing something here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brawndo Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 It would be nice for Buffalo Sports Teams to end that weekend with a Franchise QB and a Franchise Defenseman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 It will be nice for Buffalo Sports Teams to end that weekend with a Franchise QB and a Franchise Defenseman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlueGED Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I'd be okay taking Boqvist or Hughes over Zadina/Tkachuk, but I'm definitely taking Svechnikov if he's there when we pick (assuming we don't luck into Dahlin). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I'd be okay taking Boqvist or Hughes over Zadina/Tkachuk, but I'm definitely taking Svechnikov if he's there when we pick (assuming we don't luck into Dahlin). Same. I'm not high on either Zadina/Tkachuk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bob_sauve28 Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I actually think that these percenta are faulty. They are true, but if we don't get number 1, then the chances for 2 and 3 go up. The percent for not picking number 4 should be lower I think. Yes, I thought about that also Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derrico Posted April 17, 2018 Report Share Posted April 17, 2018 I think I'd be okay taking Boqvist or Hughes over Zadina/Tkachuk, but I'm definitely taking Svechnikov if he's there when we pick (assuming we don't luck into Dahlin). This. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.