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Everything posted by LGR4GM

  1. Should probably cut Boston because I can't think of any prospects they have.
  2. I have Kasper going to Detroit in my mock draft. Fits a need and Stevie Y likes his Euros.
  3. If you are going to post something like this without any source at all, it's pretty flimsy and basically can be disregarded as bs/fake news/rumor mongering.
  4. Interesting. I think we can safely say that Yurov, Trikozov and Miroshnichenko are all going to slide. Trikozov in particular is probably safe to bet on being available at 41 if we wanted him. Mateychuk, Bichsel, and Chesley all next to eachother in the rankings is... something special. Lambert at 16 makes me feel meh. I really hope the Islanders take him with the family connection and the Raty (fellow countryman) connection. Apparently NHL scouts really love Korchinski's favorite move of cutting back. Talking about him having the most assists in the WHL sounds nice until you actually look at those assists and understand how many 2nd assists and ppa are in there. 19 even strength 2nd assists, 14pp 2nd assists, and 27 total pp assists. Frank Nazar at 15 is the Alex Newhook of 2022.
  5. I love Trikozov, he may end up better than Yurov. When motivated his deception and passing are otherworldly. Yurov is more of a sure thing and I do hope he is around at 16 to make the Sabres think long and hard about who to draft. Speaking of Yurov.
  6. Unless Adams defined what BPA means, hard for me to learn much other than LHD might be on the table. Speaking of which... Korchinski: Mateychuk: Mintyukov: Again, once I consider Mintyukov didn't play last year, 1st year in the OHL, and that he played on a bad team (he was their points leader), I really have to favor him and think as a Russian, he might fall a little in this draft. Mateychuk is interesting because he is only 5'10.5" but he has a mid july bday so will he grow a little? Korchinski concerns me the most of the 3 because I think he has the most questionable skills but I could be wrong, just wanted to explain my thoughts.
  7. If that were the Sabres draft board I would be highly concerned about their inclusion of analytics in their drafting process. That looks like a team that just goes to the U18s and anyone who looks good goes to the top of the board, a very bad and dangerous approach to drafting. Kulich, Snuggerud, Trikozov in those slots is borderline Boucher at 10 level insanity IMO. Guess we will find out soon.
  8. I would disagree. Mintyukov outproduced (primary points a game) Korchinski on a worse team all while missing the previous year because the OHL was shutdown. His trajectory is IMO, higher even though Korchinski is younger. I will confess that I love Mintyukov, his offensive vision and aggression is amazing to watch. Korchinski does a lot of cut backs which I wonder if they transfer to the NHL as well. Mintyukov has a different arsenal at his disposal with multiple layers of deception to call upon. I think his defensive game will rapidly improve on a team that isn't the dumpster fire he was on and with more time on NA ice. Korchinski: 0.269 EV/P1, 0.463 P1/GP MIntyukov: 0.373 EV/P1, 0.597 P1/GP
  9. Who would you rather draft, Liam Bichsel or Pavel Mintyukov? Both are left handed defenders that probably will be there at 16.
  10. We spent to the cap for a decade and won nothing. Why do you equate spending money on UFA players with winning when you have 10 years worth of evidence that isn't how this works? We have 4 RFAs in 2023 and another 5 in 2024 that we need to think about but here you are WHINING about not spending more money in 2022. I hate losing too but I am sick and tired of watching fans and management piss away tomorrow so they can win an extra game today. It 2 steps back and 1 step forward. RFAs 2023: Cozens, Thompson, Asplund, Samuelsson 2024: Mitts, Krebs, Joker, Dahlin, Power (note that Dahlin and Power might be 18-20million in cap)
  11. If ppl dislike Rosen, they will hate Firkus. He is like smaller Kisakov.
  12. My problem with Lambert is that his hands are not connected to his head. He can get to point B from A but has no F'ing clue what to do once he is there and his shot is not threatening. So you have a guy with great skating and good hands who then does nothing with the puck. He's like the anti-Reinhart. Bichsel is being over drafted. He is a 5/6 defender at best that should go in the 2nd round but won't because he is big and hits things. He's a poor mans Ristolainen.
  13. I bolded all the parts of this post that are not correct. I put in italics anything that is kinda sorta right but not exactly. Reporters and rando's off the street are not covered entities. HIPAA: https://www.cdc.gov/phlp/publications/topic/hipaa.html
  14. You know how I know it is the offseason? The annual "Trade assets for Patrick Kane" thread has appeared and taken up 8 pages of replies.
  15. For the record I think that the ranking Bader's model spit out isn't great. For example Korchinski being ranked over Mintyukov doesn't make much sense when you consider that Korchinski played on a team that didn't suck and Mintyukov lead his team in points. Slafskovsky interestingly should probably be lower than where he sits in most public rankings. There is lots of statistical evidence that his performance was bolstered by a higher than normal sh% and that his international experience might be more of an outlier than the norm you can expect in the NHL. That's all I have for today. Cheers.
  16. It's not a mock so there isn't any "falling" It isn't a custom ranking, it is just what his model spit out based on how the production and league adjustments.
  17. Take his model how you want. I think it has several flaws but gives you a general idea of production related equivalents.
  18. Korchinski isn't even the best LHD in this draft, uhg.
  19. What in the actual *****. lol they aren't doing that. That draft is trash to be honest from Lambert way too high to Del Bel too high to Jack Hughes again too high. I hate it.
  20. Conor Geekie slides further and further for me. His reports make me question him, his tape makes me feel very meh, and this quote causes me a lot of concern considering his motor is questionable in the first 2 parts. Now this seems innocuous to most I am sure, but I don't want someone at #16 that calls baseball their passion when I have motor questions already.
  21. Id give up next to 0 assets for a player that will be a UFA in 2023 and is turning 34.
  22. Thanks, my dad is recovering well but it has been a long couple of months. Rutger Mcgroarty can't skate well. If the Stanley Cup has shown you anything it is that fast can beat heavy. I love who he is and the other skills but you have to be willing as a team to spend lengthy time fixing his skating. I would probably take him over Geekie but below Gaucher if I am looking for skilled heavy forward with a flaw. Sometime in the 20s feels right.
  23. Liger's List, top 10 Due to some health issues with my father, I havent had as much time to devote to the draft as I usually do. However I am working on a list and do have the top 10 done. This has been the hardest top 10 I have completed and in the end it differs a lot from most public lists. 1) Shane Wright C, he missed all of last year and I think the teams talking themselves out of him at #1 are forgetting that. Recency bias with Slafskovsky has run rampant at this point but in Wright you are getting a Bergeron type of player with a strong 200ft game and I think more offense than he is currently given credit for. Not writing more because he won't be available but he should go back to the OHL for 1 more season. 2) Logan Cooley C, he might have the most skills of anyone in this draft and if you watch his game the amount of plays that run through him is impressive. He has everything you want in a C except great size and only 5'10.5" but I think his overall skills and skating really make that a non issue. He is very smart and his passing might be the best in the class. Let him bake in college 2 years. 3) Juraj Slafkovsky LW, I love Juraj even if it sounded like I did not. He is very good at a lot of things and this ends the top tier of this draft. His size and shooting allow him to do a lot of different things in the offensive zone making him dynamic. His ability to maintain possession is going to payoff big time once he is fully mature and the only real question is can he increase his quickness to really take advantage of his size. Either get him to NA in the AHL or leave him for another year in Slovakia. 4) David Jiricek RHD, I put a break here because we now enter the 2nd tier of players. Jiricek lost some of this year to injury which sucked because there is a rawness to parts of his game that a full season would have continued to fix. His short WJC though was nothing short of breathtaking and part of why he ranks above Nemec for me. Jiricek has the will, speed, and attitude to try and take over games defensively with enough offense to factor in there too. He is a hardnose physical beast in his own end and that really appeals to me. Needs another year overseas and then an AHL year IMPO. 5) Simon Nemec RHD, I do love what Nemec brings but he is more of a smooth skating playmaker as opposed to the in your face Jiricek style. There were times this year where scouting reports talked about Nemec being less noticable and that is because he doesn't have that "impose my will" on you attitude that really keeps him a step below Jiricek. He is still really good and may even outproduce Jirieck but it comes down to style. Same timeline as Jiricek. 6) Frank Nazar III C/RW, Idk if he will stick at center but worst case scenario you have a really annoying rw charging up and down the ice. If Nazar were 2 inches taller, this ranking wouldn't surprise anyone. I debated who to put at the start of the 3rd tier and I kept coming back to Nazar the more I did research on him. His skating is really good, his hands are good, his shot is good, his deception is good and improving. He is very relentless at times and I think a few years in college (2) will really round out his game and allow him to access that next level. His floor is probably a 3rd line speedy grinder type who plays with 2 bigger players, but his ceiling is legitimately a 1st line player with a 30g, 40a type of threshold. He is a lot of fun to watch and the counting stats and microstats back up what you see. I would let him sit 2 years in the NCAA to make sure he really rounds out that game. 7) Pavel Mintyukov LHD, yes I am ranking a lhd at 7 because holy crap is he good. First, he played on a trash junior team and yet managed to still be an absolute force of nature for them. He was tops on his team in pts... as a defender with 62 (just behind him at 61 was Josh Bloom) and idk what to even say about that. He had 17 goals and 45 assists. There is a bunch of secondary assists and some pp noise in those numbers but still, just watch him. He has everything I want in a defender, he is physical, smart, aggressive, with high end puck skills. His puck skills are in that Power/Dahlin level of holy crap. He is almost 6'2" and uses that to his advantage in the offensive zone. His defensive game needs some work but... I don't care because my lord is everything else fantastic. His bday means 1 more OHL season and then you can put him in the AHL, I would go that route and do all I could to make sure he doesn't ever go back to russia. 8. Liam Ohgren LW, this should probably be Savoie but I can't ignore Ohgren's production because NO ONE produces the way he did at even strength in the SWE u20. He has a super high floor IMPO of a 2nd/3rd line winger and a ceiling of a first line Okposo in his prime type of winger. His shot is excellent although not the best in the class, his ability to be the link on his line where he just facilitates getting the puck to teammates in great spots is really good. He lacks some deception at times when it comes to rushes, he won't weave in and out but the talk of him having bad skating is 100% bs. He has average to above average speed and he actually has good edges. He can produce however you want and is basically Gauthier but IMPO better. He needs to work on his pace a little as there were times he needed to make quicker decisions but overall he is clever where how he navigates the offensive and neutral zones. Defense is okay but can improve. All in all there is just too much offense there for me to rank him lower, it is the Seth Jarvis effect but he isn't as good as Jarvis.... yet. He will be in the Allsveskan next year and then should be brought over to the AHL. 9) Matthew Savoie C/W, idk if he sticks at center and that is a concern because I think he can be pushed out of the way on the wall at times. I like Savoie but don't love him because I felt at times he wasn't aggressive enough. Yes size matters and for a player his size, I want what Nazar brings which is ruggedness that Savoie can do but doesn't always. The good stuff is his shot, passing, and skating. They all are really good and help him to navigate the 3 zones with deception and good not great speed. He is good at finding soft ice and getting open for shots and passing plays. If you watch his tape you will see a player that at times is very dynamic. In the end I wonder if the lack of elite speed coupled with the difficulty he will have playing against defenders that can force him outside will impact his total offense in the NHL. We shall see. 2 more years of juniors and then an AHL year. 10) Marco Kasper C, this was almost someone else but then I watched some highlights of Kasper from the Worlds and I started to see that there is more to Kasper in terms of skill. I think what happened with Marco is he was tasked with playing a very mature defensive game against men and so he did that. An entire season in the SHL as a DY guy is impressive and he managed to produce some points. Further he learned to speak Swedish in 6 months (he is Austrian) and now I am really intrigued. He is one of these guys that just seems to continually work at being better in all aspects of the game. Kasper is an absolute terror of a player, he will eat you. He hits, he backchecks, forechecks, crosschecks, whatever (he is a clean player don't worry) in order to get the puck. If you think he isn't coming for you, that's because he already has the puck. There is no player with a higher motor in the draft and I think because of that he can fix his deficiencies which revolve around poor timing (he doesn't sit in the soft spot or will engage a defender instead of fading from coverage) and there is some question about his overall skill. I think his stickhandling and skills will improve because he is that type of player and I think it is telling that reports outside of the SHL game really paint a different picture. The concern here is is Kasper going to be ROR or is he going to be Tyler Boucher. Honestly, Boucher is probably more likely but I like him better than Gauthier (just a little) so here he stits. Kasper needs refinement and needs another year in the SHL and then at least 1 full if not 2 AHL seasons if you really want to develop him offensively. Physically, he can be NHL ready as early as next spring.
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