rakish

I don't get the Athletic, so I haven't read it, but I'm fairly certain he is wrong because he makes a conclusion that the data doesn't support. I think the correct conclusion is ligers, that because 62% of the top-six forwards come in the first round, you must use your premium assets on forwards, and try to find defensemen other ways. If you look at drafts from 2005-2015 picks 100-250 Forwards seventeen totaltotal 18.43 seventeen number of picks 412 seventeen games played 7595 eighteen totaltotal 30.01 eighteen number of picks 126 eighteen games played 3781 totaltotal 19.74 nineteen number of picks 82 nineteen games played 1619 picks 100-250 Defensemen seventeen totaltotal 9.91 seventeen number of picks 268 seventeen games played 2656 eightteen totaltotal 27.32 eightteen number of picks 57 eightteen games played 1557 nineteen totaltotal 18.80 nineteen number of picks 51 nineteen games played 959 picks 29-100 forwards seventeen totaltotal 47.26 seventeen number of picks 355 seventeen games played 16777 eighteen totaltotal 68.07 eighteen number of picks 29 eighteen games played 1974 nineteen totaltotal 70.90 nineteen number of picks 21 nineteen games played 1489 picks 29-100 defensemen seventeen totaltotal 31.91 seventeen number of picks 200 seventeen games played 6383 eighteen totaltotal 61.71 eighteen number of picks 7 eighteen games played 432 nineteen totaltotal 56.40 nineteen number of picks 10 nineteen games played 564 So after pick 100, you expect to get 10 NHL games per first time (17 year old) pick. Everything else is much better, forwards are over 18, overagers well above either number. What you need to do is pick more overagers, and sign more undrafted players, because defensive talent isn't as obvious at 17 when most players are drafted.

It was the locust swarms that raised my eyebrow

Hey @Theana745, any thoughts on Dreger's scoop?

Didn't the Sabres sign Cozens a long time ago?

Penn State

I'm sure I'm the only one that thinks this, but Buffalo played very well last night. The puck moved horizontal in the offensive zone plenty of times, didn't go in, but enough opportunities to get maybe 4 goals. The Johansson line looked like a NHL quality line. Yeah, the Eichel line doesn't work unless Jack carries them and the goaltending isn't good enough. One of the things I keep track of charting games is breakaways. Buffalo doesn't give any up. I'm not sure my charts are up to date, but the last one I see was against Columbus 3 weeks ago. Comparatively, Buffalo had 2 breakaways last night, Toronto against LA had 3. I think Sabrespace believes the Buffalo defensemen are good comes from the style of play rather than the quality of play.

Found the Boston mistake, event 255, scoring mistake.

Game 36 is the Philly game, they sent him out with Risto and they gave up a goal, event 145 and 146 http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreports/20192020/PL020540.HTM

The Detroit game is Event 231, it looks like Dahlin came out at the end of the PK and the scorers didn't record it correctly, giving Dahlin a half minute of PK time http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreports/20192020/PL020866.HTM

http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreports/20192020/PL020606.HTM Don't know, haven't figured out what's going wrong yet

Dahlin: shot by opp: team 9,68,26,33,40 opponent 13,86,63,97,25,29 shot by team: team 28,22,26,55,40 opponent 10,20,93,89,8,30 goal against team: team 28,13,26,55,40 opponent 11,14,28,25,9,79 Olofsson in roughly 6 minutes shorthanded has (according to me) only has 4 shots against, 3 went in shot by opp: team 9,68,26,33,40 opponent 13,86,63,97,25,29 goal against team: team 9,68,10,33,40 opponent 9,37,14,22,98,35 goal against team: team 68,13,10,55,40 opponent 37,14,18,22,98,88 goal against team: team 9,68,10,19,40 opponent 36,51,63,28,5,41

I have GA/60 while shorthanded, before Colorado last night, I haven't uploaded yet. A few notes. Johansson is the 'Don't Know' because players need to get a penalty (or shot, or hit, etc) before the system picks up their name. Smith and Frolik are together, because the player is only described by the number, and Curt has complained that since I'm adding 10 seconds, plus 5 seconds, plus 8 seconds (how the data is exported), that the time on ice isn't accurate, he's not totally wrong. Number-Name-GA/60-On ice goals 68 OLOFSSON 30.77 3 26 DAHLIN 19.25 1 58 GILMOUR 14.17 1 10 JOKIHARJU 13.54 13 6 SCANDELLA 11.77 12 13 VESEY 10.81 10 9 EICHEL 10.76 3 33 MILLER 10.68 2 90 JOHANSSON 10.58 3 71 RODRIGUES 10.13 4 74 ASPLUND 9.157 40 HUTTON 8.77 17 28 GIRGENSONS 8.67 23 55 RISTOLAINEN 8.47 25 35 ULLMARK 8.34 25 62 MONTOUR 8.27 7 22 LARSSON 7.85 19 17 SOBOTKA 7.25 3 19 MCCABE 6.80 20 24 PILUT 6.53 2 34 dont know 6.01 1 27 LAZAR 5.45 6 4 BOGOSIAN 4.71 4 67 SMITH/FROLIK 4.57 3 37 MITTELSTADT 0.00 0 20 WILSON 0.00 0 43 SHEARY 0.00 0 53 SKINNER 0.00 0 23 REINHART 0.00 0 21 OKPOSO 0.00 0

@WildCard got me to run my model midseason, I ran the top 60 off of EliteProspects. Historically (I've done this 5 or 6 years now), my top 10 isn't that good, it's really the later rounds that I do better, that said: 1 Marco Rossi 3299 2 Alexis Lafrenière 2594 3 Seth Jarvis 2580 4 Quinton Byfield 2578 5 Cole Perfetti 2453 6 Lucas Raymond 1882 7 Alexander Holtz 1624 8 Rodion Amirov 1542 9 Connor Zary 1466 10 Anton Lundell 1455

His 2018 wasn't good, so 2's a bit high, but his 2019 was really good.