North Buffalo Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Yes, I thought about that also Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derrico Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? I don't think so. I think that's how they announce it with those dumb cards. But they actually select it beforehand from one to three. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro T Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Don't they pick the balls for three first, then two, then 1 and if the Sabres are not the last one they pick 4th? Or do they do it the other way around? No, that is not how they do it. 1 is the 1st combo selected, then 2, then 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shrader Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Pretty much. That ensures the highest possible amount of re-draws we could have So 1001 combinations, that means the Sabres get 185 of those (or just about), and the Sens get 135 of those. 1001-135 = 866 185/866 = 21.4%, Which would be our odds for choosing 2nd overall at that point. Though Eleven's link is telling me otherwise, so I'm probably missing something here Your numbers are fine. 11's link shows the probability as of today. It accounts for all possible combinations. What you've just typed up shows the probability assuming that the draw for the first pick has already happened. Think of it this way. If you flip two coins, the probability of getting two heads is 1/4. Now if you've flipped the first coin and it landed heads, what is the probability of getting that second head? 1/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Buffalo Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Thanks guys. So, it seems I can vent before my Ramadan break. Nice as long as you dont whine or be bitter like other religions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Nice as long as you dont whine or be bitter like other religions Deal. Actually, I'm not concerned with what happens in the lotto draw. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Buffalo Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Feel like you and I are on the same page/optimism level for both of these Buffalo drafts and we're the only ones :lol: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsb Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 We're winning this stupid thing. Just for once we're winning it. Feel like you and I are on the same page/optimism level for both of these Buffalo drafts and we're the only ones :lol: No I'm with you guys also. I'm expecting another Bills trade but I'm in on Dahlin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 No I'm with you guys also. I'm expecting another Bills trade but I'm in on Dahlin We're finally getting that QB and we're finally gonna win a lottery. 2018: The year of the Buffalo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sabres Fan in NS Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 We're finally getting that QB and we're finally gonna win a lottery. 2018: The year of the Buffalo I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rakish Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 Nah, judging from the reports from Syria, it's the year of the buffalo (again) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jsb Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. My Vietnamese buddy just said, YUP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weave Posted April 18, 2018 Report Share Posted April 18, 2018 I am pretty sure it is the Year of The Dog. So, Phoenix wins the lottery. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader1969 Posted April 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 What's your perfect draft day result? Mine: If they pick #1. Dahlin and doesn't matter If #2. Svechnikov and Tychonic If #3 or #4. Hughes and Noel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Dahlin and Sandin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inkman Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 My Vietnamese buddy just said, YUPSquirrel says it's the year of the cat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crusader1969 Posted April 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Dahlin and Sandin You are going d with both picks? I'm assuming Sandin is gone by 32. I would take him over tychonic and Noel as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 You are going d with both picks? I'm assuming Sandin is gone by 32. I would take him over tychonic and Noel as well You told me to dream so I did. Yes I would go defense with both. Other teams will buy high on wingers even though it's a defense heavy draft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bunomatic Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 We can manifest this thing. Put all negative thoughts out of mind and think Dahlin Dahlin Dahlin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Dahlin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Mayfield Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LGR4GM Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Dahlin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro T Posted April 19, 2018 Report Share Posted April 19, 2018 Mayfield, Dahlin'. :lol: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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