Thorny Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I'd like to think GMTM is better than average at finding talent in the 3rd round, but we just don't know yet. I suppose you could look back at the drafts from 2000-2010, and figure out what the odds are, but you'd also need to have a clear definition of serviceable NHL player. Maybe I'll look into it next week because it's Friday and 96 out, my sister is visiting and I'm sitting by the pool drinking. Don't ever tell me the odds. I HAVE A PALTRY BACHELORS IN MATHEMATICS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beerme1 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I HAVE A PALTRY BACHELORS IN MATHEMATICS Sorry but it's been shown in this thread over and over that it's not worth two cents because some think it's only worth one cent and nobody has even mentioned the values if they were in Canadian dollars or metric. Sorry. To recap: Analytics Mathematics Jimmy Vesey Let it go. Let it go. Good god get to the season please. Captain, the ship can't take much more of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weave Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I'd like to think GMTM is better than average at finding talent in the 3rd round, but we just don't know yet. I suppose you could look back at the drafts from 2000-2010, and figure out what the odds are, but you'd also need to have a clear definition of serviceable NHL player. Maybe I'll look into it next week because it's Friday and 96 out, my sister is visiting and I'm sitting by the pool drinking. Even if you looked into the draft history of teams GMTM was involved with it wouldn't tell you anything. This is the first team for which he has final say in a draft pick. Who knows how much influence he had in Ottawa or Anaheim? Maybe they took his opinion as gold. Maybe he was one of three people whose opinions were weighed. On a standard die the general formula for rolling at least one 6 in n rolls is 1 - (5/6)^n. 5/6 meaning 5 of the 6 sides are not a 6. So let's say each 3rd rounder is a 12 sided die, meaning a 3rd pick has an 8.3% of becoming a serviceable NHL player. If you roll a "12" that player becomes an NHL'er, and we have 4 3rd round picks, or "rolls". The probability of landing 1 NHL player out of those 4 picks is.... 1 - (11/12)^4 = 29.4% For 3 picks (rolls) 1 - (11/12)^3 = 22.9% For 12 rolls: 65℅ If you had all 30 picks: 92.6℅ There ya go. We traded away a 6.5% difference in likelihood a 3rd rounder makes it for a high reward possibility. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Dude. But what does mine say? SWEET. What about mine? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thorny Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 SWEET. What about mine? DUDE!! But what does MINE SAY! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 DUDE!! But what does MINE SAY!SWEET! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GASabresIUFAN Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I'd like to think GMTM is better than average at finding talent in the 3rd round, but we just don't know yet. I suppose you could look back at the drafts from 2000-2010, and figure out what the odds are, but you'd also need to have a clear definition of serviceable NHL player. Maybe I'll look into it next week because it's Friday and 96 out, my sister is visiting and I'm sitting by the pool drinking. Wait, are you saying GMTM is better than the mean, median or mode? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 (edited) Seriously, take 4m out of your day, this is beyond clever Edited July 23, 2016 by WildCard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I'm with pi on this one. Vesey is showing every indication that he is as sleazy as Matthews... Somebody help me out with this one, why is Matthews sleazy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Don't ever tell me the odds. (PHIL DAVIDSON) This man is a god Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pi2000 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Wait, are you saying GMTM is better than the mean, median or mode? Haha, all of the above! Somebody help me out with this one, why is Matthews sleazy? I don't know if sleazy is the right word. let's just say that they both have shown signs that they value money above all else... winning, team, etc Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pi2000 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 more Eichel/Vesey from summer league this past week.... https://youtu.be/5zwuM_Xr6Lk ..if you read the video comments, Paul Altmeyer, the creator of these videos says that he thinks he's signing with BUF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beerme1 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 more Eichel/Vesey from summer league this past week.... https://youtu.be/5zwuM_Xr6Lk ..if you read the video comments, Paul Altmeyer, the creator of these videos says that he thinks he's signing with BUF. Oh God. Another month of trolling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Jimmy Vesey But also don't score a lot of goals goals for us thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thorny Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Seriously, take 4m out of your day, this is beyond clever I like Bo Burnham. This man is a god We should bow down before him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woods-racer Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I've kept up on this thread on a regular basis and it has been, in my humble opinion, the best of the off season. The one naging question that no one has answered is .... Is PI's sister hot? Comedic relieve was intended. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PASabreFan Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Oh God. Another month of trolling. pi saw his shadow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K-9 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 pi saw his shadow? HaHa! But that might be impossible for someone that sleeps while hanging upside down and can't be exposed to direct sunlight. GO SABRES!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pi2000 Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 Is PI's sister hot? ...well, let's let's say each sister has an 8.3% chance of being hot, oh nevermind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 (edited) I like Bo Burnham. We should bow down before him. I believe Bo actually just retired from the public eye after his most recent show. :( ...well, let's let's say each sister has an 8.3% chance of being hot, oh nevermind. So you're saying I should trade your sister for an improved chance at a non cyclops and if I don't get it it wouldn't matter because it was worth the effort as I wasn't sacrificing much in the first place? Edited July 23, 2016 by Hoss Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thorny Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I believe Bo actually just retired from the public eye after his most recent show. :( So you're saying I should trade your sister for an improved chance at a non cyclops and if I don't get it it wouldn't matter because it was worth the effort as I wasn't sacrificing much in the first place? I just saw him a few weeks ago on a late nigh talk show, can't remember which, maybe Conan. Unless he retired after that.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildCard Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I just saw him a few weeks ago on a late nigh talk show, can't remember which, maybe Conan. Unless he retired after that.. His advice to aspiring artists on that show was hilarious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I just saw him a few weeks ago on a late nigh talk show, can't remember which, maybe Conan. Unless he retired after that.. I looked it up to see and it was apparently just some confusion about a few Instagram posts he made. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted July 23, 2016 Report Share Posted July 23, 2016 I just want to point out that the most recent flight was from Scottsdale to Kansas City. It should be pretty obvious that Pegula is orchestrating a trade of Luke Schenn to the Scouts. http://flightaware.com/live/flight/XSR340/history/20160707/1440Z/KBUF/KBOS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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