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LGR4GM

GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550

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We play the New York Rangers tonight. The Rangers are bad. They have an expected goals for at 5v5 of 1.8 compared to Buffalo's 3.1. Further our PP is 10% better than theirs and Rangers seem to top out at 2 goals a game. These are trap games for top teams but games if we truly are a top team we should win. 

Records

Rangers: 2-4-1 

Sabres: 8-1-1 

Fancy stats:

Rangers: 2.71 goals for, 1.8 xGF, 0.913sv%, 44.4cf% @5v5, 20.83pp%, 77.42pk%

Sabres: 3.70 goals for, 3.1 xGF, 0.929sv%, 47.5cf% @5v5, 30.77pp%, 76.67pk%

 

Image result for sabres rangers

Edited by LGR4GM

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41 minutes ago, LGR4GM said:

We play the New York Rangers tonight. The Rangers are bad. They have an expected goals for at 5v5 of 1.8 compared to Buffalo's 3.1. Further our PP is 10% better than theirs and Rangers seem to top out at 2 goals a game. These are trap games for top teams but games if we truly are a top team we should win. 

Records

Rangers: 2-4-1 

Sabres: 8-1-1 

Fancy stats:

Rangers: 2.71 goals for, 1.8 xGF, 0.913sv%, 44.4cf% @5v5, 20.83pp%, 77.42pk%

Sabres: 3.70 goals for, 3.1 xGF, 0.929sv%, 47.5cf% @5v5, 30.77pp%, 76.67pk%

Thanks, I really like this addition to these, helps for me to put them in comparison. I'm surprised our CF% is that low though, I thought we've been outshooting teams almost every game

That being said we should dominate this game tonight. Expecting Ullmark in net for this one

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8 minutes ago, WildCard said:

Thanks, I really like this addition to these, helps for me to put them in comparison. I'm surprised our CF% is that low though, I thought we've been outshooting teams almost every game

That being said we should dominate this game tonight. Expecting Ullmark in net for this one

Keep in mind that is at 5v5 specifically. While I would like to see it edge higher, I suspect that due to our team holding leads and being shelled late in games, our 5v5 corsi is down slightly. 

Side note hockeyreference where I pulled the xGF stats from just lost its mind. So I might need to update those numbers. Evolving wild actually figured out that the NHL shot tracking computer was calibrated incorrectly so I wonder if this is the retroactive update to fix shot locations. 

Edited by LGR4GM

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15 minutes ago, WildCard said:

Thanks, I really like this addition to these, helps for me to put them in comparison. I'm surprised our CF% is that low though, I thought we've been outshooting teams almost every game

That being said we should dominate this game tonight. Expecting Ullmark in net for this one

The athletic compared these ten games to last year’s streak with some fancy stats yesterday. One of them was CF% by situation. We have plus CF% when tied and trailing and are below 50% when winning. 

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3 minutes ago, #freejame said:

The athletic compared these ten games to last year’s streak with some fancy stats yesterday. One of them was CF% by situation. We have plus CF% when tied and trailing and are below 50% when winning. 

Thanks I missed this. Reading it now... 

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1 minute ago, #freejame said:

The athletic compared these ten games to last year’s streak with some fancy stats yesterday. One of them was CF% by situation. We have plus CF% when tied and trailing and are below 50% when winning. 

Ah that explains it then, Liger was right. I wish sites like hockey reference showed those stats

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The Rangers are doing terrible, but I feel like this is our first big "trap game". A coworker said they were the team that ended the 10 game streak last season too.

 

I'm hoping to see another good road game. We should win this by a goal or two. I'll say 3-1.

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3 minutes ago, WildCard said:

@LGR4GM Those charts show we're still not there on offense. I'm gonna guess that's Oloffsson and Sobotka for 5v5

Probably that and our defensive shell. The Lindy Ruff Alamo Mode or LRAM for short. 

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I think that passes the eye test. We're defending better and playing a better team game, but the offense at 5v5 still leaves something to be desired.

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1 minute ago, WildCard said:

@LGR4GM Those charts show we're still not there on offense. I'm gonna guess that's Oloffsson and Sobotka for 5v5

So you're saying put Sobotka on the top line?

Edited by Mustache of God
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Let's go, Buffalo! The Rangers are, low-key, a team I get extra amped for. An original-6 thing, no doubt.

Also: Sometimes Tierney's charts confuse me. I don't comprehend (all of) the team stats heat map.

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I hate the Rangers because I still have bad memories of Jagr doing bad things to us when he was with them.

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2 minutes ago, darksabre said:

I hate the Rangers because I still have bad memories of Jagr doing bad things to us when he was with them.

I hate the Rangers because I hate watching games in MSG on tv

Just now, That Aud Smell said:

Is the heat map as simple as blue=good; red=bad?

And don't talk to strangers little Smell

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3 minutes ago, WildCard said:

And don't talk to strangers little Smell

Ha!

No. But seriously. Please clear it up for me.

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1 minute ago, That Aud Smell said:

Ha!

No. But seriously. Please clear it up for me.

The darker the blue the better you are. The darker the red, the worse

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I'll be there tonight in section 103 where the sabres shoot twice. Rocking my new golden jersey. Would love to see oloffsson blast one in real life.

Edited by Mustache of God
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Another hockey night for Buffalo. 

Not ready to call them road warriors yet but they are playing solid on the road just 1 game better at home.

I would love a Sabres score fest road game so i can razz the Sh!t out of my Rangers fan B-in-law. 

This is the team that can do it. 

Please make it so Lets go Buff-a-lo ! 

 

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Category 2018 2019
Shot attempts -59 (29th) -23 (24th)
SAT Tied -18 (25th) 5 (14th)
SAT Close -39 (28th) 28 (7th)
SAT Ahead -44 (29th)

-23 (25th

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3 minutes ago, WildCard said:

I hate the Rangers because I hate watching games in MSG on tv

For me I hate it because my hockey package seems to think MSG and MSG-B are the same channel so they shouldn't bother with whoever is the away team. So I'll be stuck listening to the Rags commentators tonight.

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Not much to add...

Except, just win baby!

 

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