Brennan Huff Posted April 9, 2015 Author Report Share Posted April 9, 2015 And if we were playing out millions of simulations I believe you would be correct, the desired outcome would only occur less then 1% of the time. However, we are playing out 1 season with three teams stumbling to the gate and one team playing like a Stanley Cup champ. What happened the past 80 games means nothing at all. If I started arguing about a player based on 10 games you would be screaming about sample size, spouting regression and progression to the mean and the effect of randomness in hockey. I am just saying the same thing when it comes to predicting the outcome of less then 10 games. I still don't think it will happen mostly because I don't think Boston will hold up its end. Finally, what makes sports fun for me is because its not like playing the stock market or buying and selling a business. Its not about running a million simulations and assigning probabilities based on those numbers. And just to be clear, I understand the numbers and I understand people like yourself who are consumed by the numbers. My best friend is an analytics geek and is proud to say so. I wasn't referring to people like you or him. I am talking about people who come up with random equations and made up stats and then tell me that player X never made a pass that directly led to a shot on goal because his formula consisted of (X + Y) (number of assists) and he didn't understand that everyone that had zero assists would automatically have zero passes no matter what the other variables. Same guy tells me that team Y had a 100% chance of winning a game if they went for it on fourth and 5 with two minutes left because his probability was based on years of history. Yeah, and Grizzly Adams had a beard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tom webster Posted April 10, 2015 Report Share Posted April 10, 2015 Yeah, and Grizzly Adams had a beard Like I said, Boston was the problem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 (edited) Edited April 11, 2015 by Vlad Dangerslakov Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 new username Tank? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drnkirishone Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bob_sauve28 Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Boom! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Hi. I'm new here, Can we all be friends? HOLY THE SHART IS OURS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 new username Tank? Yeap. Childhood nickname. Wanted to get the new identity out there immediately. We DID IT. I love you everybody that hates me around here. Let's be nice and kiss and other stuff now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drnkirishone Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Yeap. Childhood nickname. Wanted to get the new identity out there immediately. We ###### DID IT. I love you everybody that hates me around here. Let's be nice and kiss and other stuff now. ok but totally hetro like....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 im so happy right now. I concur on the attitude change for everyone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WanderingEye Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PASabreFan Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 I feel relieved and I'm glad it's over. I'm also angry at this franchise and at myself. There should be no joy in this. Something nasty was required. I didn't agree with it, but the plan worked. I'll say this openly to any member of the Buffalo Sabres front office who might be listening. I wouldn't walk away from you after 40 years for one indiscretion. That would be like divorcing your wife after your first big fight. I promise you this, however: you pull this again, and I am gone. Ask the Bills. What you did to me was just shy of the Bills taking a home game to Toronto, and that did me in. Whatever. Good riddance, tank. Now go beat the Pens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deluca67 Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Hi. I'm new here, Can we all be friends? HOLY ###### THE SHART IS OURS Are we allowed to be Sabre fans again? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudacek Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 How long have you been saving that? It's so beautiful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 I was just explaining to my girlfriend how this could end up being the most important moment in sabres history....ya never know Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoss Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Can we promise that there's absolutely no anger allowed in here? More happy gifs please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wjag Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 I feel relieved and I'm glad it's over. I'm also angry at this franchise and at myself. There should be no joy in this. Something nasty was required. I didn't agree with it, but the plan worked. I'll say this openly to any member of the Buffalo Sabres front office who might be listening. I wouldn't walk away from you after 40 years for one indiscretion. That would be like divorcing your wife after your first big fight. I promise you this, however: you pull this ###### again, and I am gone. Ask the Bills. What you did to me was just shy of the Bills taking a home game to Toronto, and that did me in. Whatever. Good riddance, tank. Now go beat the Pens. This team will be vying for the number 1 pick again next year. This was just a warm up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Are we allowed to be Sabre fans again? yes we are. I love you, DeLuca. What are you doing next week? Let's get together and celebrate! HOLY THE SABRES WILL WILL !!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deluca67 Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 First of all I apologize if this has already been discussed somewhere. Obviously the odds are against it but..... http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/the-five-craziest-nhl-draft-lottery-scenarios/ Dream big or go home as they say. After 118 losses over a two season span, why not? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny DangerFace Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stads Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 So that one guy scored 5 goals tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBHockey13 Posted April 11, 2015 Report Share Posted April 11, 2015 (edited) So that one guy scored 5 goals tonight. And the other won the Hobey Baker today...as a Freshman...who let his team to the Championship Game. Edited April 11, 2015 by MBHockey13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.