SabresBillsFan Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 Just waiting for this team to get the mumps so they can start a nice long losing streak. I know that's bad to say but gee why in the world are they playing this good now. They ain't making no playoffs with this squad and I don't want to lose out on one of the big two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwampD Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 Let's start with where they play. In North Carolina. If there's a restaurant in that state that doesn't have laminated menus, I haven't heard of it. Are you kidding? Does Ohio have restaurants without pictures of the food on the menu? :lol: :lol: :lol: :clapping: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted December 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 6 points, carp! I know, many teams to jump, but that's why we have your charts. Come on, man! OK, OK. It's there. But as I said, the Rangers and Panthers need to play more games. Through 28 GP, we can say that the Sabres were 10 points out. Depending on how the Rangers' and Panthers' 29th and 30th games go (and Capitals' 30th), they will be 6-10 points out through 30 GP. If either team picks up just one point in the two games (playing fast and loose with statistics, I'd say about a 97.5% chance), they will be no closer to the playoffs than they are to the bottom (they are 7 out of the bottom through 30 GP.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LastPommerFan Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 Are you kidding? Does Ohio have restaurants without pictures of the food on the menu? Maybe it was just Cincinnati. But the food there was fantastic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 The real interesting thing about the Charts right now, is that although it's clear we are a longshot for the playoffs, there's also pretty much no way we're getting back in the tank race against Edmonton and Carolina. In fact we could very easily play ourselves right off the tank chart. So 9th place here we come, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted December 15, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 (edited) The real interesting thing about the Charts right now, is that although it's clear we are a longshot for the playoffs, there's also pretty much no way we're getting back in the tank race against Edmonton and Carolina. In fact we could very easily play ourselves right off the tank chart. Probably not, but we were 6/7 points below Edmonton and Carolina only 12 games ago, so you never know. The Sabres went from an 0.44 points/GP over the first 18 games to 1.50 points/GP over the last 12. Carolina has averaged 0.4 point/GP over their last 15 and Edmonton has averaged 0.45 points/GP over their last 22. Those paces put teams in the 30's over the course of the season, so it's unlikely that they will maintain them. Edited December 15, 2014 by carpandean Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 It's happening! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlueGED Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 It's happening! Why do you think this spike is more real than the "worst team in history" dip to open the year? I think the "truth" is they're somewhere in between, which is right around that historical 65 last overall mark. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 Why do you think this spike is more real than the "worst team in history" dip to open the year? I think the "truth" is they're somewhere in between, which is right around that historical 65 last overall mark. It's harder to win than it is to lose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlueGED Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 It's harder to win than it is to lose. I could easily argue that makes this run *less* likely to continue than the opening run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LastPommerFan Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 I could easily argue that makes this run *less* likely to continue than the opening run. What's the worst 10-game record you see this team generating in the final 50? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 I could easily argue that makes this run *less* likely to continue than the opening run. That's pretty much exactly what I'm saying. Which is why this run is even more impressive than you want to admit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlueGED Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 What's the worst 10-game record you see this team generating in the final 50? I have no idea. 1-9? Sure, why not. I see no reason this team can't drop 9/10 at some point if they can win 10/13 while generating 37% of the shot attempts and with a 105 PDO. That's pretty much exactly what I'm saying. Which is why this run is even more impressive than you want to admit. Oh, I'm certainly impressed that they have continued to defy logic and reason for this long of a stretch. I'd be *shocked* if after 82 games this run bears any resemblance to where they finish in the standings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 I have no idea. 1-9? Sure, why not. I see no reason this team can't drop 9/10 at some point if they can win 10/13 while generating 37% of the shot attempts and with a 105 PDO. Oh, I'm certainly impressed that they have continued to defy logic and reason for this long of a stretch. I'd be *shocked* if after 82 games this run bears any resemblance to where they finish in the standings. Alright Spock. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlueGED Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 Alright Spock. The "I told you so" tour will be long, and it will be annoying :nana: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 The "I told you so" tour will be long, and it will be annoying :nana: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LastPommerFan Posted December 16, 2014 Report Share Posted December 16, 2014 I have no idea. 1-9? Sure, why not. I see no reason this team can't drop 9/10 at some point if they can win 10/13 while generating 37% of the shot attempts and with a 105 PDO. They have not been nearly as badly out shot in Intraconference Home Games. And they have a lot of those. I don't think this team can go worse than 3-7 over 10. I don't think they can replicate the Messy Beano stretch, unless injuries or further roster manipulation. Given the apparent CHL strength of some of these teams, I think the Sabres will finish in the bottom third, but not the bottom 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted December 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2014 I don't know Eleven ... er, Santa Claus ... that playoffs chart isn't getting any better. Still 10 back and only 1 point in the two games where 8th is not yet determined. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted January 1, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 End-of-year update. A tiny bit of life on the tank chart over the last three games, but still 7 points above Edmonton. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpandean Posted January 10, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 (edited) The real interesting thing about the Charts right now, is that although it's clear we are a longshot for the playoffs, there's also pretty much no way we're getting back in the tank race against Edmonton and Carolina. In fact we could very easily play ourselves right off the tank chart. So 9th place here we come, right? Probably not, but we were 6/7 points below Edmonton and Carolina only 12 games ago, so you never know. The Sabres went from an 0.44 points/GP over the first 18 games to 1.50 points/GP over the last 12. Carolina has averaged 0.4 point/GP over their last 15 and Edmonton has averaged 0.45 points/GP over their last 22. Those paces put teams in the 30's over the course of the season, so it's unlikely that they will maintain them. Pretty much no way, eh? :P Edited January 10, 2015 by carpandean Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wjag Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 Pretty much no way, eh? :P I like the addition of the tank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spndnchz Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 I like the addition of the tank Almost spit my coffee out when I saw it. Nice Carp. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPie Posted January 12, 2015 Report Share Posted January 12, 2015 Pretty much no way, eh? :P Keep diving, just a little more and the fire will be out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IKnowPhysics Posted January 12, 2015 Report Share Posted January 12, 2015 Time to go to crush depth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksabre Posted January 12, 2015 Report Share Posted January 12, 2015 Time to go to crush depth. We've definitely reached the point of no return. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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