shrader

My house is new construction, about 6 months old now. I'm starting to get random baseball size spots in the ceiling paint in a few rooms that is very rough, looking something like sandpaper. Otherwise, the ceilings look smooth like they should. It wasn't like this before. Is there anything other than just a really crappy paint job that could cause this?

He'll probably wind up being replaced by Kuznetsov, who is actually ahead of Ovechkin in points, 5th overall in the league. There's a good spin he can put on this if he wants to, letting his more deserving teammate get some well earned recognition.

The other angle does make it a bit more interesting. The play is coming directly towards them, which could give some reason for his change in direction. I do to some degree believe that he wasn't totally aware of who was there. That and I don't believe that a player who has something out for the refs is going to go after a linesman. It makes no sense at all, they don't do the things that will put a guy over the edge. He was angry and a bit out of it from the hit, so he took out the first guy he could find, without realizing who it was right away. That said, he's going to have to pay dearly for this one. Even if there was some level of accident to it, the league needs to protect their refs. The discussion probably needs to start with at least 10 games. They'll need to send a very clear message here.

Right, you do have a better chance of being drawn second GIVEN that you've already missed out on the first pick. What the table shows though is the overall chance of drafting second in all possible outcomes. If you win the lottery and pick #1, you can't pick number 2 as well. You're missing that possibility in your logic process. The same idea will follow for picking 3rd. That number is showing the chance the team had at picking in the top three given the way that specific simulation played out. I'm struggling to find a useful meaning to that number. It is saying that if Buffalo won the lottery, Edmonton picked 2nd, and Toronto 3rd, Columbus had a XX.X% chance of being drawn at some point in that process. It has no meaning whatsoever given that the drawing has already been made. If I told you you had a 1 in a million chance of winning the powerball last week, why do you care? You've already lost.

The 2016 lottery uses the same exact probabilities as the 2015 one. The only thing that has changed is that those numbers are then carried over for the 2nd and 3rd pick as well (excluding the winner of the previous picks). So there is no issue with that at all. As for the sheet itself, you'll just have to take my word for this, but I have wasted some time and verified their numbers for the 2nd overall pick. Doing the same for the 3rd pick is a bit more tricky and I don't have the time for it right now. Maybe later, but I'm given reason to believe their work. Instead, you're going to have to stick with me on a non-math explanation: Hoss previously stated that the NBA lottery has a 35.7% chance of the worst team winding up with the 4th pick. I'm going to accept this since that lottery has been in place for a while and I'm sure the number is referenced online. Take a look at their structure: Last: 25% chance of being drawn 2nd last: 19.9% 3rd last: 15.6% Those teams have a better chance of being drawn than the NHL teams (20%, 13.5%, and 11.5% respectively). So the worst teams in the NBA are going to have a better chance of winding up in the top 3 than they will in the NHL. Better chance of being drawn = better chance of going in the top 3 = worse chance at picking 4th. So if that worst team in the NBA has a 64.3% chance of picking in the top 3, the worst team in the NHL is going to have a lower number than that.

I just dug this one up through google. I'm not going to put in the effort to verify it, but it looks good. So freeman was pretty much dead on, with a 47.5% chance of the worst team drafting 4th.

I said the early 20-somethings, so that covers both Kane and Lehner. Bogosian's on the bubble too, but I wasn't including him in my mind when I said it.

I just want to see positive growth from the early 20-somethings (and the teenager). That's what this entire season is all about. There's going to be plenty of growing pains, but these are the guys we need to turn this team into something in the future.

Wouldn't pulling for the local kid actually factor into homerishness? Yes, it's a word now.

I saw that 2nd anniversary thing earlier this week. We may actually head there friday night instead to avoid the crowd. And I think they're pretty much all going to have food trucks on saturday, I know I've seen a few listed. If I want food though, I may have to hit up those Aviator wings. I'll also be making my first (finally) visit to CBC.

A friend who is a home brewer is visiting this weekend so we are trying to hit as many of the local breweries as possible on saturday. There are 5 within about 5 minutes of my house, so that's what we're focusing on. And bonus points to the fact that his wife is pregnant. Hooray designated driver!

I have no doubt that it's out there, but it's never mentioned in the doom and gloom media coverage. I also have no doubt that the rate is higher in those football players, but I still want to see the exact numbers. That doesn't make someone click on a link though, so that info will rarely be mentioned.

The name threw me too.

Well yeah, the knee's not supposed to twist.

I'm sure the info is out there, but we never actually hear it. CTE is found in a lot of football players, we get that at this point. What they need to start mentioning is how often it's found in a normal person's brain. We need that comparison for this to really set in.

I was joking... mostly And that one assist was Lehner.

If it was really a matter of intelligence, wouldn't you want to question the guy fighting someone twice his size?

Should a guy with a concussion history be head butting his teammates without his mask on?

It sounds like you may have broken a law or two if you actually voted for Bill before.

They haven't actually gone on sale to the public yet, so you may not even have to go the contacts route. Of course, that suite option would be a much better one.

Yeah, the wife. She's spoiled, has never seen them before and will be on the floor. This will be my 7th or 8th show and I've never been anywhere near the stage.

I can't help but remember Lehner's last start against Ottawa.

Ignore the numbers. They only serve as something to fixate on. If you're feeling better and you've tightened that belt, you're on the right track. Just keep working at it and everything will take care of itself.

The auto-correct on my iphone capitalizes windows every time.

Is it a fee per scratch?