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Be prepared for the worst, hope for the best

For all the talk about mediocrity in the East saving us, the final playoff spot if the season ended today would go to a team with 31 points in 25 games. It could be one of THOSE years where you need around 100 points.

Lol. For this very reason, I generally call that value "NHL .500" or "Bettman .500" And IRL, I call the other value "true .500."

lol, well played

For public models you are correct. I believe there are private models that take into account pre-shot movement and if the goalie is being screened. Basically you can categorize a shot as more than simply wrist shot, 21.6' from the net in quadrant B7. You can tag it as other stuff and build a more complex model but again, I don't think most of those are publicly available, although I think Micah McCurdy does incorporate some of that into his model which you can pay to access. The short version. We need to be careful about using xGF as some type of end stat, it's a better version of CF/CA.

Let Gary Bettman know ASAP.

Sadly it's the Flyers. Another bane of the Sabres existence... I don't have optimism for this game.

But it depends on the reason he’s getting low TOI. It would be appropriate for a 3rd line player who only recently came up from the AHL. He’s getting sheltered minutes as he probably should. Now, if you think he would be benefitting from increased playing time against inferior talent, then he should be sent down.

It's likely all moot... Somebody will get injured and placed on IR. It's been a few games, we're overdue

/s 60 points is first line numbers (76 forwards reached that bench mark last year).

Yes the Sabres are just unlucky. Look at who our GM is.

I just picked Colorado randomly. They have a 3rd line of Goaloffson, Drury, and Nichushkin. None of them have eclipsed 60 points in their careers. Carolina: Carrier, Staal, Martinook. None of them have ever reached 60 points. Edit: add Tampa Bay. Girg and Homberg. Speaks for themselves. Hannibal Gourde did have one great year of 64 points in 2017. All other years he’s around 30-40 points.

The Deluca .500 is the only .500 that counts IMO. Excluding OTLs doesn't seem right to me.

A win makes 12 wins in 26 games. The math isn’t mathing. Regardless, we’re going to take this one 5-2. Boys are buzzing.

I really like these lines. Outside the 4th line, any one of them can score.

Looking at the schedule they have a shot although they are a number of games on the road. Last two are the Wild and Utah they could be tougher. Never know what Islanders team shows up. That is next.

I like analytics and the eye test combined. The eye test tells you what type/style category a player falls into. This is important to note when it comes to roster construction. If you have 12 forwards with good analytics, but they all have the same skill set/playing style...your screwed. You need variability. A couple Doans here, a few Tages there and a handful of Benson's everywhere! You get the point... You need a GM that can identify player types with analytics to create the proper lines and pairings to compete league wide and season long....

Kevyn: “See guys? I told you so!”

I really doubt this is “coming to an end”. I hope this post doesn’t age well, but there has been a zillion of things KA has “tried” but never come to be. The only way around this is to just waive one of them and I don’t think KA has that in him.

There is little doubt that the team considers UPL their #1 for now, at least until he starts sucking again. Then he'll be their #? and the vicious cycle returns.

Re-energized by the norris return. I think they win this

LFG!