pi2000
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Everything posted by pi2000
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...and 6 of those 14 wins (losses) are shootout victories (losses)... tied with EDM for last (first?) in ROW (ROL?).
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I'd go Marner over Crouse considering Buffalo's needs.
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Next game against CAR is absolutley gimongous. EDM picking up the win by giving up the losing goal with 30s remaining in the third. CAR gives up 3 goals in the third to win another 1 goal game... Unreal that team in one goal games they're almost unbeatable. The Hockey Gods have not smiled on either of those teams yet this season. Hopefully they have better puck luck down the stretch when it really matters.
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I wouldn't say they expect to be a playoff team, but they certainly don't expect to be in the basement. Their recent moves will certainly help... gone are some of the 1-way offenvise players (Perron, Arcobello, Draisaitl), replaced with some decent 2-way NHL veterans (Roy, Klinkhammer, Fraser). This will help cut back on their goals against, which was their biggest problem. It seems to be helping already. This gives them better matchups against opposing teams top lines and allows the Hall line to wheel and deal.
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He was playing well, but the reason they've been losing is the goaltending has cooled off. During their winning streak, they we're still getting badly outshot, however Enroth was playing like a generational talent. So unless Myers is Enroths gateway to Dominik Haseks soul, then I expect their losing ways to continue.
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Near term the Sabres may lose some ground to the Oil who play 4 of their next 5 against DET, CHI, STL, and TBL. However, the Feb/Mar schedule is highly favorable for BUF to move up the standings with only 4 home games in the month of March. Likewise, EDM has a 6 game homestand in March (7 total at home) against the likes of CBJ, PHI, COL, and DAL. I fully expect BUF to have their hands of stone firmly wrapped around The Shart trophy by April 1st.
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Moves will need to be made. They have 9 picks this year and already have the league max number of contracts (50) in their system. 10 of those are due to be UFAs, 13 RFAs. Sure they'll let some walk, but at some point they'll need to turn picks/prospects into NHL caliber players. If they land McDavid or Eichel, I see them moving one of Grigorenko or Reinhart as part of a larger deal for an established top 6 scoring winger. If they pick Hanifin, then a d-man will be moved instead. The important thing is they have a ton of assests (prospects and picks), ~30mil in cap space for 15-16, and an open check book. It's a GMs dream job.
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Analytics aside.... if you want to know who will finish last in the NHL, just look at team Goal Differential for past seasons. The team with the worst goal differential has finished last 15 out of the last 16 seasons. The only exception being 07-08 when ATL finished a league worst -56, yet had 5 more points than both TB (-44) and and LA (-35). Buffalo currently is worst at -59, a whopping 12 goals worse than Edmonton. If the Sabres keep up this pace (-1.475/gm), they'll finish -121. You would have to go all they way back to the 99-00 season to find a team with a worse goal diff (the expansion Atlanta Thrasher, -143). And if you want to exclude expansion years, you'd have to back to the 93-94 which saw Ottawa log a -196 in just their second season in the NHL. What really blows my mind is that ANA is only a +5 in goal diff, yet they sit atop the NHL with 58 points. How is that even possible?
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The hockey Gods are smiling upon us in 2015. For a new day has dawned in our pursuit of The Shart.
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Losing!
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A Mel Brooks pregame speech?
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Very good night in the CHL... Starting to tighten up at the top. Good time for a Sabres road trip.
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Perron epitomized everything wrong with the Oilers. Lazy one-way player, a -17 this season was 3rd worst on the team, and only scored 5 goals. Replacing him with Derek Roy will be an improvement as Roy is a much more responsible 2-way player. Roy doesn't have the offensive flair that Perron had, but that's not what the Oilers need. Good maneuver by the Oil, don't see it as a tank move,
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Oilers trade David Perron to Pitt for 2015 1st and Rob Klinkhammer.
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Just about all CHL teams in action tonight.... TB/BUF CAR/PIT MIN/CBJ NJ/DET ARI/DAL PHI/COL EDM/CAL Hopefully we ring in the new year with a regulation win for BUF, and regulation losses for EDM, CAR, CBJ, and NJ. And OT Losses for ARI and PHI or COL.
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That wasn't 716. That the sports bar in the Montreal Forum.
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Let's say last place comes down to the final game and Moulson is due up in the shootout. A miss and Buffalo finishes last. What does he do? Dump it in the corner? Fire it over the glass, then rip of his jersey to reveal a McEichel t-shirt? That's ridiculous. There's no tank in any of these players' game. They play for each other and the head coach.... that's it.
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Sabres are still in great position to make a run at the Shart. 10 points is only 5 games, and there's over half a season left. The Oilers can't get any worse and the Cane's glorious record in 1 goal games will ultimately even out dropping them out of Shart contention. Likewise Buffalo's putrid record in 1 goal games will also even out as they rocket up the standings. Almost have their wins have come in the shootout. 8 ROWs is second worst in the league... EDM with 7, CAR with 9.
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almost a perfect night in the CHL. at least Buffalo is staying within striking distance of the Oilers.
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Hell yes, draft Hanifin at #3. Probably the best D prospect in over a decade. He'll be better than Doughty... you don't pass that up. Or maybe the team at #2, Arizona or Carolina (or Edmonton), want Hanifin (they need D), so you could offer a package of Myers/Risto/Zadorov + Reinhart + Ennis and all 3 1st round picks to move up one spot to #2. If I'm EDM or CAR sitting at #2, that's a seriously nice package for what their needs are... and they get Hanifin as well. Buffalo has the talent pool and picks to put together whatever package they need to move up from 3 to 2.
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Canada's selection process is always in question. They seem to try to fill roles on the team so they end up cutting some kids with high level offensive skill for more defensive players. That's helps if you're playing a long grinding month long tournament, but they only play a handful of games over a couple of weeks. A hot goalie and some goal scorers can take you far in a short tournament. I thought Bailey deserved a shot on team USA, but he's only recently been hot, so probably wasn't on the radar long enough like some of the other prospects.
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It helps that Buffalo is essentially dressing an AHL lineup... missing Myers, Moulson, Gionta, Foligno, Mitchell and Weber (also Strachan and McCormick but I consider them AHL caliber). Should be interesting to watch the young guns tho.
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He had good chemistry with Grigorenko in the pre-season... and in Roch.
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So we're shooting for a Sabres win in regulation, a Canes OT loss, and an Oilers OT loss.... Sabres would pickup 2 points, while ARI/NJ pickup a single point, and EDM/CAR stay put.
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History has proven that the NHL standings ultimately shake out based on team goal differential.. namely the team with the worst diff always finishes last. Buffalo is still in last place... http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20142015&sort=standingsGoalDifferential&type=LEA some recent history: http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20132014&type=LEA http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20122013&type=LEA (wtf TB?) http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20112012&type=LEA http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20102011&type=LEA http://www.nhl.com/ice/standings.htm?season=20102011&type=LEA ..for that reason I'm not worried. ARI and CAR are better teams than their record shows... they'll move up, while I fully expect BUF to drop.
