Weave

It was a reply to GA, who explicitly stated he wanted more ***** draft picks. Ok, the ***** part is my editorial.

It's not the same name, but this is what I see when I read his name.

Ah yes. The Pareto theory. What every manager learns. It seems to make sense on the surface anyway.

Moving 2-4 spots? Hell no. Take the player you want at the spot you're in. Trading down gains you a low % draft pick for the privilege of picking from whats left over afer the teams above you pick. The greatest advantage to picking 8 is you have more to choose from than the teams picking after you. A 2nd, or 3rd round pick with a 25% or less chance of ever making an impact is not good compensation for taking away the number of choices you have at 8 to get a player that makes an impact.

If Trump had shown any sign at all that he had empathy I'd say that the news he has contracted COVID would be good news. His decisions to date have universally lacked empathy, and a brush with the disease that he has very publicly marginalized might give him more empathy in his decision making about the disease from here on out. Not unlike Reagan's change of heart on gun control after the assassination attempt on him. But I honestly do not think a development of empathy is in his personality. No, this isn't an "I'm glad he got the disease" post. It's an "I wish there were a bright side to him getting the disease" post. I'm sure the level of medical care he is receiving is well above that available to any of us. I have no doubt he recovers quickly, risk factors aside.

No. You don't trade down in the NHL draft. The odds of a lower pick making it are so much worse in the NHL draft. Trading down gets you a lower odds unknown commodity. Select the best on your draft board or trade it for a player. Period.

Right. Lesser of two evils. Mine and Duda’s point exactly. It’s not a Stirling example of a guy coming in with enthusiasm and and emotional commitment to the situation. It could go either way depending on the way training camp goes and start the team has. My personal situation is a great example. My employer shut our doors and gave me an offer to relocate. I have virtually no interest in relocating. An alternative offer came with a company in very long commuting distance. It’s a role I wasn’t terribly excited to get back into, in an industry that I never really had an interest in getting involved with. As you can imagine, my enthusiasm and emotional commitment to the new role wasn’t high. It was going to take early signs of the right team and an expectation of success with the new team to build any kind of emotional commitment. Could go either way. I could get the sense that this team isn’t built to succeed, and I don’t ever develop the excitement for the situation, or there are signs of the right team in the right situation and I develop an emotional commitment to the new role. Staal is in a similar situation. It could go either way.

You’re stretching.

I don’t understand this. It wasn’t for Staal to agree or disagree. Buffalo wasn’t on his no fly zone list. They were free to trade him here. His choice was accept the trade or retire.

Its amazing how a tank can empty when enthusiasm diminishes. I don’t think we should underestimate this. Even hardened pros can lose enthusiasm in the wrong environment and begin to lose effectiveness. Looking at you, ROR. Not saying this is the case here. Am saying there is a real possibility that it could play out this way. As Duda mentioned, very plausible it goes either way. He didn’t want to be here. He’s coming because right now it is the preferred option for him. That isn’t a permanent condition.

My take is a little more conspiratorial than this is a result of more extreme positions among society. I think we have been in the midst of a coup of sorts for some time now. Republicans have been playing the long game. Control has been slowly compartmentalized and we are in full transition to an oligarchy. While they wanted no part of him initially, I think the GOP realized at some point that Trump is a useful idiot for their needs, and that is the reason why they haven't asked hm to step down like they did Nixon. He has managed to activate a base that they needed to wrest influence from certain segments of society and trivialize them. They needed him to pack the judicial branch with members sympathetic to the end game. And now that they have the judges, and have the armed alt right and law enforcement in their pockets......... this won't end well.

If I am comparing a guy, I am using a similar level as the comparison, not someone levels above. If we are saying that someone has Lidstrom ceiling, we are implying that he has a complete game, excellent skating, excellent decision making at a level Lidtrom was at, possibly GOAT. If we are talking about those same skills but at another level, Neidermeyer is a better comparable. Or Teppo. And much more reasoanble.

Spent the afternoon at a brewery in the southern tier. Wife's birfday. Headed off to a fancy restaurant shortly.

At 17 overall if they expected more than they got out of him their expectations were out of whack. That far into the first round the trend is for guys that make it to be role players. and even at that the success rate is below 50%. Draft picks are overvalued in general.

You think he has an HOF level ceiling?

Hustles, hits, forechecks well, good for a few timely goals, skates very well, not well suited to move up the lineup though. He's essentially a more talented version of Matt Ellis. Which isn't a bad thing. He fits the cheap 4th liner role. I think he has a bigger toolbox than Ellis had, but in today's NHL it isn't as effective as it would have been 10-12 yrs ago. I think his skating and skill level will fit what Kreuger wants to do better than Larsson's skill set will. But he doesn't have Larsson's pest-iness, which we don't have enough of already. Hopefully we bring that back into the lineup in another deal this offseason, preferably with a top 6 player instead.

So Risto's effect on Ovi would essentially be neutral then. But highly entertaining. So I say we keep him out against Ovi.

I'm pretty much where you are. For the first time in my life politics is affecting my personality and my sleep. It does feel hopeless right now. I can't shake the feeling that the America I knew is gone.

I want that job anyway.

Me too.

Agreed. Slaw > lettuce

How often do 8 OAL picks turn out good enough to be players that drive their line? I feel like by the time you get to 8 those players are not reliable to pick at that level.

I read this with Mike Tyson's voice in my head.

It would seem that you can teach a QB enough accuracy to be reasonably effective.

Kessel’s game is gonna fall off a cliff when his time comes. I don’t know that I’d want him for any more than a season at a time.