Broken Ankles

Dennis Gilbert Jr. - Former SJCI student, former Chicago Steel, former ND student, and current Rockford IceHog gets a start tonight against St. Louis Blues. Typical late season call up, but great opportunity for the kid. I went to St. Joe's with his father. Happy for the family. Hopefully he can help keep the Blues at bay, as we need them to lose out to maintain their pick! LW C RW Forwards DRAKE CAGGIULA Rating: 71.8#91 LW JONATHAN TOEWS Rating: 79.3#21 C PATRICK KANE Rating: 82.4#3 RW FL1 Rating Rating: 77.85#18 FL1 ALEX DEBRINCAT Rating: 80.1#9 LW DYLAN STROME Rating: 71.8#109 C BRENDAN PERLINI Rating: 71.0#104 RW FL2 Rating Rating: 74.30#18 FL2 BRANDON SAAD Rating: 74.9#38 LW ARTEM ANISIMOV Rating: 71.6#110 C DOMINIK KAHUN Rating: 72.5#90 RW FL3 Rating Rating: 73.01#13 FL3 CHRIS KUNITZ Rating: 70.3#118 LW MARCUS KRUGER Rating: 70.3#155 C JOHN HAYDEN Rating: 69.6#127 RW FL4 Rating Rating: 70.06#27 FL4 DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS Defense DUNCAN KEITH Rating: 74.2#44 LD ERIK GUSTAFSSON Rating: 77.1#21 RD DL1 Rating Rating: 75.65#14 DL1 DENNIS GILBERT BRENT SEABROOK Rating: 71.4#82 RD DL2 Rating Rating: 71.40#28 DL2 CARL DAHLSTROM Rating: 71.1#103 LD CONNOR MURPHY Rating: 71.9#72 RD DL3 Rating Rating: 71.52#17 DL3

it's in Hockey reference.

i was curious to see if there was any correlation to winning and hitting on Rounds 4-7. So I took the Draft database for 2010-2017 (no one playing round 4+ from 2018) to find the answers. So I ranked each team based on 4 categories. Sum of Total points, Sum of Games played, Count of Total selections or picks, and Average Position of draft #. (this normalizes for teams with more 7's than 4's). Results are interesting. Ottawa is first in points scored and games played. With moderate draft picks and position in the draft. While the Sabres rank dead last in Points and second last in Games played. That goes to Cal Peterson and Ullmark playing games as Goalies with negligible points. Let me know if you want the data swizzled a different way to help draw conclusions or validate your assumptions.

Thought the Wayne Redden rule says max 925k can be saved? That yields $2.675m next vs. $1.5m on buyout. Plus the cash saved ($1m) and not having him in system.

Supposedly in the locker room. But Vlad’s cancer is on full display each night he skates. Maybe that is why Armstrong insisted on including him in the trade.

This is the second time I’ve seen the recommendation of waiving Sobotka. His contract is perfect for a buyout. You pay 2/3 of a $3m base, and get relief on a $3.5m cap down to $1.5M cap hit. A waiver, b/c I assume there is no chance he gets picked up by any team, provides no cap relief. His play is cancerous and we need to end his ties to.Buffalo this June. I don’t want to hear his name this summer.

great observation! It's frying pan to fire....so to speak. Always good insight. Agree with all but Dahlin. My observation is he is the same. Flashes of greatness from the outset but mistakes continue to pile up in his own D-zone. I took his stats and split them for the first 39 games and the last 39. Takeaway improved. +/- is worse. As you might expect. Nothing jumps out either way.

I was around <5% watching Thursday. Now I'm 50/50.

Or fired for allowing his agent to force his hand and burn the first of three last year. Totally taken advantage of. Physically not ready. He should be in Roch and his entry level should be sliding.

Actually ROR, Kane, or Lehner are not the same. You make an assumption they are the same, and call Lehner an outlier b/c it fits your narrative. If you look at the of ROR compared to his last 5 years average he is playing significantly above them (statistically). 23% better in goals, 19% in Assists, and 20% more points. His takeaways are 28% better and giveaways down 5% (read improved). He still has 6 more games to improve all these. His average +/- @ 23 is in the stratosphere. Last year the Blues were bested by Vlady T with +15 and he plays zero PK and tons of PP. So it's factually not true to suggest they are the same player. All this improvement at the age of 28 by the bye. More of the same from Kane. 32% more goals, 35% more assists (9 more than his last full year with Sabres & 7 games remaining). His giveaways are up (not much) but takeaways improved significantly. Even strength goals are way up (that a good think the metric guys like). +/- is nothing great but then again San Jose gives up tons of goals. Hell, Joe Pavelski is a minus player on that team. The original post you responded to offered a salient point about minutes to players who were JB guys. Scandella not part of the Blues or SJ trade but a trade nonetheless, (one of which has not been discussed as in-depth as a the others, but seemingly looks to be one JB is on the wrong side of). I'd rather not have to think about Scandella and his $4M AAV next year when I have Pilut on an ELC. I think you know the reason why O'Reagan is not playing in Buffalo. But he was given a chance, which is more than we can say for Nylander. And that fits MY narrative of JB playing his guys over TM's. Or playing Casey when he should have been in Roch developing. My last point is that we have ALL been better off without the condescension of a certain poster, so for you to close with a Jame-like remark is just sad. You didn't appreciate it when it happened to you, and trust me, we all saw them. Why perpetuate this behavior? Be a better person.

He’s dreaming of his June buyout......and so am I ?

I guess PH didn’t get the “result” he was looking for, so change. I haven’t been on the fire Housley bandwagon but when you keep a line up bc you win and constantly change when you lose, that is not advanced level coaching.

Can I blame Sobotka for abandonment? He should know where Gallagher is at all times, not leaving a 30 goal man alone.

I expect Sobotka to be bought out. Unmovable contract and friendly buy out. I expect Rasmus and Scandella to be traded. Assuming an $83M cap (modest 3-4M increase) we have $30.6 M after the Skinner deal. Obviously need to conserve some as Montour and Reinhart get extended. And Dahlin in 2021. But there are no shackles on JB this summer in my opinion. He has the cap space to get $hite done.

I was just thinking about this point tonight. Do you think he was even with TT coming out of camp but Tage was part of a certain trade, and that was a deciding factor? I hate to think JB uses “his guy” vs “my guy” with prospects or players. JB guys like Bergland, Vlad, Tage, Scandella, Beaulieu, and Mitts......Disasters. I’d really hate to use Nylander as a ‘thrown in’ part of a trade (a la Guehle) this summer and he pans out.

Which he should on principle alone. If it goes past July 1st. He better have Plan B in motion when the clock strikes 12.

I'm not an advanced metric guy either. As part of the of the older generation on the board, I refrain from referencing but I was curious to see how the On Ice stats compared to what I was viewing since the Nylander call up. I just thought that line (+ERod + Sheary) was buzzing. I really would not be upset if they were a #3 line next year, with a new 2C (JT Miller trade?) centering Reinhart (RW)and M. Ferland (LW) as a second forward line.

How about some "fancy stats" to go along with @dudacek observations? The first is from Hockey Viz showing the utter domination of the Conor/Evan/Alex line against Carolina. Red being a good thing. Here is their on ice stats for Carolina. They had the best CF% and FF% of all Sabres forwards. And Nylander wasn't on the ice for the Goal against. Lastly note the HDCF% for this line. Fancy stat guys always suggest these will lead to more goal scoring. He was 7 to 1 in Carolina. Here is the on Ice stats against St. Louis. While the numbers bear out, as does the eye test, that our first line did create a lot of scoring opportunities with a high 60% CF, the E-Rod line did better, as they were comparable in CF% and responsible for 2 goals 5v5 (Nylander with 2 primary assists). In fact, looking at the HDCF%, our first line was "lucky" not to get scored against giving up twice as many chances and not generating enough. Numbers don't lie, right?

+1. Fans have had so little to cheer for in 2019 it was great to see emotion in the building during the 3rd/OT/SO.

Sheary-Rodrigues-Nylander line playing ok for second night in a row. I’ve jumped the Shark on Ristolainen. Time has come to move on.

The only thing a line with ‘17’ as Center would be the “best” at is negative goal differential. Regardless of his pairings he is just no good. He needs to be bought out and erased from our memory banks. And if not Rochester Line #1, then 37 should be line #4. Adding two scorers would not improve his skill sets. Skinner scores because of Jack. 37 was a fail at 2C. He would get crushed as 1C.

Agree with assessment on Murray, but not better than Darcy. Darcy made some horrible trades, bad signings, and was rightfully fired In 2013....however he lasted 16 years as a GM, had three great seasons, and had incredible success in the later rounds of the draft. For most of the 2000’s, players he drafted (and possibly traded too- which loses credit) had far more games played and more points than players drafted by his peers. He also worked for two regimes that were cash strapped and forced to make questionable decisions with team salary. He also was hired almost immediately after his firing in Buffalo. Doubtful Murray gets anything other than scout (if he can stay off the sauce) in years to come. 2016 maybe too early to call, but his other drafts were a bust. He is by far the worst GM in Sabres history...so far.

I guess we have to define underwhelming. Smith only played 11 games, scored two goals and did not have a negative +/-. He showed better than Sobotka, Zemgus, Elie, Tage and better than Sherie for stretches. But the entire Sabres team was “underwheming” so maybe he qualifies. For me, he was sent back only b/c you have so many other commitments. And to develop on a winning team in Roch. Next year, I would much rather qualify Smith and cut bait with some other RFA’s. For me this call up is different than all of the others we have seen this year. Based on the players age, draft selection and where they fit organizationally. I hope Phil Housley gives this kid a fair shake in terms of line combination, although past history suggests this probably will not happen. We all know Nylander is not JB’s guy, so maybe there is a bit of a microscope to see if he has any future here. Might also be a good move for ratings. I know I’ll watch, and not so sure I could have said that yesterday post game.

McDavid got two. Jack gets two.

Ferland shoots L and plays LW, same as Skinner. Therefore not playing on the first line. I would still love to see him him on the Left with Sam and real 2C. As in JT Miller, Hayes, etc. And if $5m AAV is overpaying, i’m in.