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Everything posted by Curt
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I don’t think the bolded is true. Based on their personnel, they should be able to be a strong team defensively.
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Vegas pick...do the Sabres want them to win the lottery this year?
Curt replied to sweetlou's topic in The Aud Club
It’s all I’ve got man. I bookmarked it years ago. Haven’t seen a similar analysis since. -
It was based on the 2000 NJ Devils. Why couldn’t this team be as good as that one, Barry?!
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Vegas pick...do the Sabres want them to win the lottery this year?
Curt replied to sweetlou's topic in The Aud Club
Misplace your eyeglasses? It’s right there plain as day. -
Vegas pick...do the Sabres want them to win the lottery this year?
Curt replied to sweetlou's topic in The Aud Club
Probably not. Here is a draft pick market value chart that assigns value based on what NHL GMs have actually paid in trades. I think it’s more useful for use to look at a chart based on market value as opposed to one based on actual draft pick results. https://www.broadstreethockey.com/2013/4/25/4262594/nhl-draft-pick-value-trading-up @IKnowPhysics -
Vegas pick...do the Sabres want them to win the lottery this year?
Curt replied to sweetlou's topic in The Aud Club
Question: how is 16 actually 18? -
Prove him wrong! Prove him wrong!
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Thoughts on an Alternative to the Draft Lottery Format
Curt replied to Taro T's topic in The Aud Club
I think this is probably the best idea around. Still rewards the worst teams with high draft picks, but also disincentives tanking. -
I guess we’ll see, but Laaksonen does not get good reviews. Offensive skill sure, but his defense is terrible. He is currently getting healthy scratched for AHL playoff games. Farrance seems to have developed very nicely in college. I don’t know that much about him.
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So much of it is not just the goalies. When a team plays consistently good, structured team defense it can make the goalies look really good.
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I don’t think he is eligible to play in the AHL next season.
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With Russians, I think the main risk is that they don’t come over as soon as you might want. They could be NHL ready, but end up staying in Russia an extra year or two. It’s not nothing, but it’s not the end of the world. Russia develops players just fine. I don’t think that players staying in Russia hurts their development one bit. Russian players do tend to honor their KHL contracts and stay in Russia until they are concluded, but I haven’t seen anything of Russia forcing their hockey players to remain in the country and play in the KHL. If that starts happening, it would be something new. TLDR: Russian players come with extra inconveniences, but if they are the best player on your board, draft them, it’s worth it.
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Ok. That’s not actually what I’m saying, but forget about you or I playing the lottery. I suppose it’s a useless tangent. The NHL draft lottery isn’t that. It’s one single lottery with two drawings. A lottery in which two winning numbers are drawn must have a higher probability of any single number(or set of numbers in this case) winning than the same lottery with just one winner drawn. No? Are you saying that the Sabres have just a 5% chance of moving up in the draft? EDIT: ok, reading back I do see what you are saying. The probability of winning the 2nd drawing does increase, but not that much.
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This is correct.
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So if I play the lottery 10,000 in my life, the probability of me winning a lottery drawing are no greater than someone who played the lottery only once in their life? I haven’t read the book, but I disagree. In this case, it’s not even like playing an entirely new lottery a second time. It’s one lottery in which two winning numbers are drawn. In a lottery with two winners drawn, there is a greeting chance of winning than in the same lottery with only one winner drawn. Lets not throw all common sense out the window.
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The odds remain the same each time, but of course increasing the number of times that you play increases the chances that you win. With the league drawing two lottery winners, the Sabres have a greater chance of winning a lottery draw than if there was only one drawing, and they have a lesser chance of winning than they would if the league was still drawing three lottery winners.
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What didn’t work for Myers all that well?
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Is Gambling Good For Professional Sports Or Bad?
Curt replied to bob_sauve28's topic in The Aud Club
What about the smokeless forms? Just as tobacco smoking is illegal in and around public buildings, it’s the same for marijuana smoking. I think going forward, I high percentage of legal marijuana usage will not actually be smoking. -
The new agreement with the SHL keeps non 1st round picks in Sweden until they are 24 IF they are still under contract with an SHL team. So, if the player has a SHL contract that ends when they are 20, 21, 22, they can come over then. They are not automatically locked in Sweden until age 24.
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What I’ve heard about him is that he was kind of meh to start the season, he was better in the middle, and has been kind of meh again lately. As far as #1 picks go, he is not high level. He needs to make an impact more consistently, but even when he is good he isn’t going to wow you with highlight reel stuff. It more like quiet 2-way efficiency with leadership qualities in the mold of a ROR or Toews or Bergeron.
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Thanks. I wasn’t sure when it was exactly.
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Regarding the bolded: is that really how that works? After the first draw, one set of numbers/ping pong balls/whatever is eliminated, so everyone else’s odds would go up some. How would they drop after the 1st draw?
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This actually isn’t the first letter that Okposo has written to the fans. He also wrote one last offseason I believe.