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mjd1001

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Everything posted by mjd1001

  1. They honestly don't have a lot of young talented guys, and they are relying on a lot of good-but-not-great veterans to carry this team. -Lucas Raymond has taken a half step back this year compared to last year. 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 10 games. Sophmore slump...maybe. But they must be a bit unhappy with him as his ice time is down also. -Seider is the other young guy they wanted a big step from but he is slumping badly over the last 12 games. 1 goal and 2 assists over his last 12 games, and a -9 over those 12 games. -Rasmussen is their version of Mitts. Former top 10 pick who hit 15 goals last year and they (at least the fanbase) thought he would build on that this year. Only 4 goals and 10 points through 28 games though...with 1 goal and ZERO assist in his last 10 games, and a -8 over that same time. -Chariot I think they expected more out of. Plus/Minus we all know has limitations as a stat, but he is a huge minus player this year and he is getting 2nd or 3rd pair minutes lately for them. Not bad, but certainly not the 20+ EVERY game some expected. -Vrana a lot was exptected from. I think he is close to returning though. They aren't putting the young guys out there a lot. If you look at who has the most minutes up front, other than Raymond (who is slumping big time) it is all the veterans. And to be honest, they don't have a lot of high end talent on that roster. Raymond and Dylan Larkin. Who else do they have that has the more potential than the 6th or 7th best guy on the Sabres? I don't think really anyone. They are in a slump for sure, but as I am writing this and looking at their roster, its not a high end roster. For Detroit to be a good team long term, they need Seider and Raymond to turn into Stars, and Edvinsson and Kasper have to develop quicly and have at least 1 of them turn into stars. Beyond that, this roster and the young talent in their system is a roster that CAN make the playoffs if everything falls right, but I don't see much beyond that.
  2. Similar with us. We have an 'event' we needed to go to this weekend, could have done it tonight or tomorrow but had to schedule in advance. We did tonight so I woulnd't miss a game. Oh well.
  3. This year he has taken a step back for sure so far. He is even gettin his ice time cut.
  4. Its as if when Adams took over, he was told, or his own stategy was simply "a lot of young guys with talent are in the system, get rid of anyone who doesn't want to be here or who might be resistent to 'change' and simply wait, wait a couple years for the prospects to mature and fill the holes you create by getting rid of who doesn't want to be here" To me, it doesn't look like much beyond that. I think it might be fair to say he hasn't done a lot yet (although that might be the strategy) but he also hasn't made many huge mistakes. Risto, Eichel, Reinhart, Montour, and McCabe were the top guys on this team that he got rid of. Some of them are in better situations for themself, but I don't think anyone can say without a doubt that any of them are producing much better than they were here, or a that the teams they are playing on are a lot better than they were as a result of those guys being there. Eichel is Eichel, Reinhart is barely producing at a 50 point pace this year and his ice time is being cut. Risto looks like one of the worst 'high paid' D-men in the league, Montour is actually playing well but I don't hear many cries of wanting him back, and McCabe is...McCabe, a serviceable-at-best 2nd or 3rd pair guy. Anyway, I thik Adams is doing what he planned to do all along.
  5. That is the exact way I said I viewed the tie-breaker on this, but I picked the opposite, Dahlin. The Sabres have other players that can score. Tage would be missed, but missing Dahlin, you would be creating a massive, 23-26 minute per game hole of moving the puck out of your own end, not making mistakes back there, and being the one who often starts the rush or makes pinpoint passes that allows the forwards (including Tage) to score.
  6. I didn't even pay attention to him there. Giveaway on the board by him that 'looks' like he didn't put much effort in. The play I was talking about was on Tage's goal. He was around the puck 2 times but didn't really engage anyone. Before Mitts makes the pass to Tage, Makar comes to the board and just kinda waves his stick at Mitts, doesn't engage him in any way and simply allows him to make the pass.
  7. I don't watch every Colorado game, but through some regular season games and a lot of post season, I have seen a lot of Mekar. To me he is not much different than Karlsson....he is great offensively and skating, but he is actually pretty bad in his own end. Out of position a lot and he seems to give more effort in the offensive end than his own end. One of the Sabres goals last night, he playing more like a winger than a D-man---on the boards making a stick check on one of the Sabres players, then he chased toward the blue line..and ended up trailing the goal scorer from behind. A lot of other people say he is good in his own end and that his positioning is actually good. I haven't seen that, to me his positioning is bad but he makes up for a lot of it with his speed and acceleration. But again, I have probably seen him play 20 games, not every one he plays.
  8. Late 40's. I have some faint memories of listening to Ted Darling. This may be blasphemous to some, but I actually preferred Darling over RJ from what I remember.
  9. Agreed. I don't expect them to talk MORE sabres than the Bills, but how about a little more balance. As others have said, they pick the top 2-3 stories about the Bills and just hammer them over and over and over, then they have guest after guest talking about the Bills (and a lot more talkign about NFL gambling). Again, how about mixing a little more Sabres talk in after a game?
  10. One that comes to mind is Lawson Crouse in Arizona: -11th overall pick but many had him going even higher when he was drafted -His first 5 seasons, a lot of healthy scratches. 281 games played. 36 total goals (about 10 goals per 82). When he wasn't scratched was getting very low ice time. Widely considered a bust. Averaged only about 13 minutes of ice time per game played. -In season 6 (last year, I think he turned 24) the light went on. Over the past 2 seasons now...33 goals in 91 games (about 30 per 82 games). Hes now on the PP and getting top line ice time (17-19 minutes usually). An Even +/- player on a minus team. Not only does he play the PP, he is a top penalty killer and in the short list of forwards the team trusts in overtime. Maybe Sean Couturier: -8th overall pick, just like Mitts. Played his first full season at age 19. -In his first 6 years, never scored over the teens in goals, was under 40 points every year. -wasn't until his 7th year, at age 25, over 400 career games played, when he crossed 30 goals and 70 points. Mitts has only played 225 games so far, is 24 years old. Mitts career numbers per 60 are slightly better than Couturier's were through is first 6 seasons.
  11. I am leaning Dahlin...because if I can't decide who is 'best' i try to think who is more valuable as the tie-breaker. Now I may be wrong this way, but this is how I think of it....if the Sabres were starting a 7 game playoff series and ONE of the two was going to miss the entire series, who would I want? Both would be a huge loss, but I think the Sabres could get by a bit better with Dahlin and no Tage, but if Dahlin were not there for a playoff series they would be in a bit more trouble.
  12. Who does everyone think the Sabres best player is right now? Tage Thompson: -Currently 3rd in the league in Points, 2nd in Goals -His current year 82 game pace is for 66 goals and 60 assists (126 points) -His actual last 82 games played (going into last year) he has 57 goals, 48 assists, 105 points. -At times if he has the puck in the right place he seems unstoppable in terms of scoring goals. -Scoring both on the PP and Even strength Rasmus Dahlin: -2nd in the league in D-man scoring, but in 2 less games than the leader -Current year 82 game pace is for 28 goals, 71 assists, 99 points -Actualy last 82 games played is 20 goals, 53 assists, 73 points -over 25 minutes per game played, he is hitting, rarely makes a mistake in his own end causing a goal, and by being so good at getting the puck out of the D-zone he is setting up a lot of chances for the forwards. -Plays in all situations, in all zones, controls the game in almost every way from the back end.
  13. I'm not sure how you would shadow a D-man...plus its not really needed. First, the best way to take away chances from an opposing D-man is to limit odd man rushes that he can join, and to play positionally sound in your own end (something you try to do all the time anyway. Plus, while he's a great player, I don't know if I want to go out of my way to shadow a guy who has scored 34 goals in his last 105 games. Good for a D-man, sure is, but not someone I want to handicap myself in other areas to stop. He gets a ton of ice time also. Not only would you have to employ that strategy with a couple different guys...you also again would be doing so to stop a guy who scores even strength .66 goals per 60 over the past 2 seasons. In terms of goals to ice time ratio, that would put him 10th on the Sabres over that time. Again, he is great, just the best way to stop him is to not make mistakes in your everyday game, not go out of you way to try something new.
  14. The Airline industry. Over the last few years, either together or on seperate trips for work my wife and I have had 20 flights (a flight for me is a scheduled take off and landing) between us. 3 of the 20 totally canceled and the next flight was a day later. 8 more delayed more than an hour. I wish trains went more places and were more available in this country.
  15. Thompson: 51 goals, 42 assists (93 points) in his last 82 games...if my math is correct. Sabres as a team are 35-38-9 over the last 82 games.....79 points.
  16. Yeah, they either don't care about that or they aren't worried. I'm not a guy who gives a care about where celebs/players live or hang out, but if you are even somewhat famaliar with that neighborhood/area, its pretty easy to pinpoint their exact place based on how much they showed. You would hope that you don't have to worry about that stuff, but its unfortunate that they should keep that in mind.
  17. Agree. I like seeing the 'behind the scenes' stuff with the players, but not much going on here. The ones I like a lot more are the 'behind the scenese' stuff with the coaches/management.
  18. Neither. I agree with the above almost 100% I am in the crowd that thinks this team is getting better as time goes by. Quinn, Peterka, Power, even Cozens and Dahlin are going to be better next year than they are this year. A lot more players are getting better than are getting worse due to age. Patience, while many don't want to wait anymore, will make this team better. I'm not saying this team should not makes moves/trades to get better, but I don't want to force them. I don't want to trade a 1st or Rosen or Östlund unless I am getting a legit star. No way do I think Demko is at the level of being a star. Chychrun, he is closer to that level but I'm not sure what you give for him will be worth it on this team. What this team needs is someone who will be comfortable slotting in the 3rd pair and will be a GREAT #5 or #6 D-man....or a very good #3/4 guy who is OK with getting 3rd pair minutes when everyone is healthy.
  19. I understand. Overall I agree with you that the performance of a team is generally more important than an individual stats. Its just still a bit of the "Eichel hangover" where when he was drafted many thought/were told he was going to be a top 5 scorer in the league, in the running for MVP most of the time, and carrying the team to the playoffs and deeper. Hes very good, but just not what many here had hoped.
  20. It does? OK I guess. Not for me. I'm not saying he is bad, good, great, someone I like or you like. All I'm saying is he is not the elite scorer many wanted him to be. After all, you know what means more than him being 'arguably' the best player on a good team in the West? Years and Years of stats where he was on good teams, bad teams, awful teams, below average teams, playing full seasons, partial seasons, playing hurt, playing totally healthy...etc. I'll take my 'stats' supporting a point about where he ranks as an offensive force in the league compared to any other forward...over how good of an 'overall' player he is based on less than 30 games in one particular season.
  21. Of course there are always exceptions to the rule..but the rule is very strong. -Last year in the East, every team that was positive made the playoffs. Every team that was negative missed -Last year in the West, 9 teams were positive, 7 of them made the playoffs. 7 teams were negative, 6 missed the playoffs. -If you go back to the last time we had a full season, 2018-2019, things are similar --Then in the East 9 teams were positive. The top 8 of those made the playoffs. All negative teams missed the playoffs. --In the west, every single positive team made the playoffs, every single negative team missed. So is it a perfect predictor? No, but if you are positive at goal differential, odds are GREAT you make the playoffs, if you are negative odds are you miss, and it is overall a good predictor of just how good a team is in the long run.
  22. At this point I think we can with confidence say we know what Eichel is, a very good offensive player, but falling well short of Elite. -This year he is 43rd in the league in points, 31st in points per game. -Since the start of the 2020 season, he has missed too many games to even see where he ranks in total points, but in that time he is 57 in the league in points per game. -his 2 most productive seasons were 18-19 and 19-20. Just taking those seasons (his two best) and he was 16th in points per game. -Since his career started he is 25th in the league in points per game. -Even his impact on Vegas has been marginal. The season before he got there and last year until he played, they won about 69% of their games. Since he started playing even with their very very hot start this year, as of today they are winning about 73% of their games. Not much of a difference in regular season performance. He is a good player, a very good offensive player. But he is going to be someone that you expect to be about 25th in the league in points, and if he has a great year he will 'top out' in the 6-12th in the league. Good? yes. Very good? yes. But not likely someone Sabres fans (for the most part) will miss and wish he was still here compared to not making the trade.
  23. Goal differential to me shows they are getting better. In the long run, it might be the single most predictive stat of how good a team is outside of record. The 'standings' dont' show an improvement, but goal differential sure does, and that is a team stat I like.
  24. The Sabres have a positive goal differential, yet a losing record. From the far-away big picture it is not they are playing bad, but they might be the most incosistent team: -They are 3w 9L in 1 and 2 goal games. 10w and 5L in 3+ goal games. That is a big difference. Not only that, but no other team has a greater percentage of all of their wins happen in 3+ goal games. -I just noticed this. Hits. Sabres are the lowest BY FAR in hits. I know recording of that stat can be pretty variable and Buffalo seems to have a reputation of not having the official scorer recording many in Buffalo, but they are very low. 406 on the year is last in the league, 72 behind the 2nd worst team. Top teams are at or close to 900 (Philly, Pitt, NYR). -Blocked shots they are 2nd worst in the league. Last in hitting, 2nd last in blocked shots.....that gives a lot of material to those who big on "team toughness, sacrificing your body" crowd. Personally those things don't matter THAT much to me, but either roster contruction or play style seem to lean in that direction.
  25. Its not just the glass half empty crowd. There truly is a middle ground called realists. And yes, to the optimist a 'realist' is looking like they ar half empty but they are not. So yes, there is a lot of hockey left. Yes, very often a team in the Sabres position this time of year DOES get really hot and does make the playoffs. Yes, it does happen and it CAN happen with the Sabres. But it is more than just '7 points out'. It is how many teams ahead of you that matters also. If you are 7 points behind one team with no one else between you, fine. But if there is a team 7 points ahead of you, one 6 points, a couple 4 or 5....then you have to pass all those teams for one spot When you are just chasing one team, you are hoping/betting on OTHER teams around the NHL to beat that one team so you can make up points. But when there are so many teams in front of you, those 'other' teams you need to beat the team 7 points ahead of you will be gaining points themself while doing so, making them harder to catch. Glass half empty..."Sabres have no shot, hole is too big." Glass half full..."they can do it, I can see a clear path to the playoffs" the truth is probably someplace in between.
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