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TrueBlueGED

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Everything posted by TrueBlueGED

  1. TrueBlueGED
    I know you hate NYC, but the smell wasn't the city. It was the Sabres.
  2. TrueBlueGED
    What's that the sound of? That's the noise that Robin Lehner makes when he comes crashing down to Earth.
  3. TrueBlueGED
    He's a man in denial about what's going on up there. He needs to just cut the cord and shave it. Alternatively, he could beg Taro for a transplant.
  4. TrueBlueGED
    I'm not requiring TT's replacement to do that in the literal sense, but I want his replacement to be worth it. Using the link We've provided earlier, I don't think going from the 22nd best to the 18th best means much of anything. I think QBs are kind of like wine. You definitely want better than the bottom of the barrel, but unless you're hitting truly premium territory, there's not a ton of value in moving around the middle ranks. Good catch. This is my preference.
  5. TrueBlueGED
    It was your average Patriots game ;)
  6. TrueBlueGED
    Someone check on Liger.
  7. TrueBlueGED
    Because you're a soulless cretin.
  8. TrueBlueGED
    I can't believe I have to cheer for Georgia. Ugh.
  9. TrueBlueGED
    Smith may well come cheaper than a 2nd. I was just using the Garoppolo trade as an off-the-cuff benchmark. As to Dennison...I think he should be fired regardless of what happens at QB. Guy is a horrid play caller with unimaginative play design.
  10. TrueBlueGED
    Right, we save money on his contract by cutting him. But if we take on Smith, that'll be $21.6 million in addition to the $8 million dead cap. So $29.6 million for average quarterbacking versus $18 million for just keeping Tyrod.
  11. TrueBlueGED
    Putting aside that we clearly have different opinions on how good Smith is, I think it's a terrible use of an asset. Smith is a UFA after 2018, and surely the plan if we draft a QB in the 1st is to have him starting sooner rather than later. You want to get more out of a 2nd round pick than one season of marginal improvement. Smith makes $3.6 motion more than Tyrod, and if cut, Tyrod has a dead cap hit of $8.6 million. That's enough extra money for a really good starter at another position. So the calculus is really Tyrod, a 2nd, and a good positional starter, for Smith. Anyone would be hard pressed to convince me that makes us a better team than keeping Tyrod for one more year, getting a good free agent, and a possible starter in the 2nd. He certainly should. But the NFL is kinda dumb sometimes.
  12. TrueBlueGED
    Is somewhat better worth say a 2nd round pick and ~$5 million more? I also boldly predict everyone on board with Smith will hate him by week 8.
  13. TrueBlueGED
    Go ahead and do a Twitter search for mentally stable genius ;)
  14. TrueBlueGED
    Exactly this. Scouts are good at figuring out a group of players most likely to succeed, but really bad at discerning who among the most likely to succeed is most likely to succeed (I swear I'm, like, really smart. Bordering on stable genius, really). Put a little differently, teams effectively identify those who won't make it, but are basically a coin flip to identify those who will be good.
  15. TrueBlueGED
    You're directing this at the wrong person, as I don't agree with D4rk's analysis of Brady's college days. I was simply agreeing that scouting is flawed and nobody knows how to evaluate QB transition to the NFL with any consistency.
  16. TrueBlueGED
    Scouts and GMs have pretty significant stylistic biases, however. Generally they want guys who look "like quarterbacks" - stand tall in the pocket and try to make traditional throws. The success of those throws is almost irrelevant so long as the QB looks "right" trying. It's how somebody like Trubisky gets drafted ahead of Watson, and Joe Flacco ends up the highest paid player in the league.
  17. TrueBlueGED
    Correct.
  18. TrueBlueGED
    *raises hand* He just doesn't have an NFL arm. Even if a ball is placed well (which mostly they were not), the lack of velocity allows defenders time to disrupt the receiver, even if they don't get their hands directly on the throw.
  19. TrueBlueGED
    Which stats say otherwise? This year Smith was clearly better, but it was also the best statistical year of his career. Probably shouldn't bank on that repeating. TD and INT, QBR, traditional rating, Y/A, AY/A...it's pretty hard to make a strong case that Smith is a meaningful upgrade over Tyrod looking beyond just this season. They're very comparable. Again, if Dennison stays it might make sense...but Dennison should not stay. And really, with much better supporting casts than Tyrod had this year, all Alex Smith does is lose home playoff games. As to your second point, I hope that McDermott and Beane are honest with themselves about what this team is. We largely backed into the playoffs and had a lot to right this year. Our offense was putrid, our point differential really bad, and can very easily backslide record-wise even if the roster improves. I guess what I'm trying to say is that I think it would be a mistake to blow our resource load on a marginal-at-best QB upgrade when there are so many other issues to address. I'm perfectly okay moving on from Taylor, but it shouldn't be because he's not the answer. There has to be a logical plan in place to get meaningfully better while still being able to address the other holes we have. Anybody who really thinks we're going to go into next season with Peterman as the starter should be fired. No way does thus happen. And if by chance we actually do this, McDermott and Beane should be run out of town.
  20. TrueBlueGED
    I fundamentally don't understand why we'd go from Tyrod to Smith. They are on precisely the same level. Unless we're keeping Dennison, because I do think Smith is better suited for his offense. But if we keep Dennison, I may become homicidal anyway...
  21. TrueBlueGED
    I'm really not interested in any QB that's in the league and available. Cousins would be an upgrade, but nowhere large enough to justify the ~$15 million premium he's likely to get over Taylor. Smith is the definition of a lateral move. I'm okay trading up for a QB, but I don't think trading into the top-10 is worth it in this class; it's deep, but no obvious stud. Kinda reminds me of last year, to be honest. There's a reason to like a handful of guys, but they all have non-trivial questions. Plus, we really do have a ton of holes to fill. Pick volume is a nice thing to have given our situation.
  22. TrueBlueGED
    Smith? Kill me.
  23. TrueBlueGED
    If we trade up to #6 for Darnold and/or give a bazillion dollars to Cousins, I think I'll cry. Both would be such big mistakes.
  24. TrueBlueGED
    Peterman: still doesn't have an NFL arm.
  25. TrueBlueGED
    I'm not sure if I hate Taylor or our WRs more today. I mean, if Taylor had hit Thompson in the hands, I think he'd have dropped it.
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