Broken Ankles
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Posts posted by Broken Ankles
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Building a Culture? More like ....
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NHL – Wayne Gretzky.
MLB – Deadball era (Ruth), modern (Mays), post modern (Trout)
NFL – Brady (as much as I hate it)
NBA – Jordan
Golf – Nicklaus
Tennis – Serena Williams
Boxing – Ali.
Beach Volleyball - Walsh/Treanor
Curling - Kevin Martin
Rollerball - Jon-a-than
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22 hours ago, North Buffalo said:
MLB: Hank Aaron, Tom Seaver
NFL: OJ just to be a homer troll
NBA: Bill Russell
NHL: Mario
Soccer: Pele
Tennis: Jack
Boxing: Ali
Nascar: Earnhardt
Indy: AJ Foyt
Dodgeball: Patches
"Remember the 5 D's of dodgeball: Dodge, duck, dip, dive and dodge."
- Patches O'Houlihan-
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I think @SwampD asked for this earlier in the string. Both are from Natural Stat Trick - The first one is Risto only and his partners.
The second one is various partner combinations.
Some of the metrics suggest D-men like Pilut and McCabe played better with Risto than Bogo. McCabes numbers with players other than Bogo or Risto are also better, but is it b/c of a smaller sample size and heavy offensive zone Faceoff's? Risto and Pilut seemingly dominate play from a CF/FF perspective. They also have a positive High Danger % for and against but they get outscored. Go figure. Looks like Risto played about two games worth with Hunwick. Results on CF/FF are good. HFCF% - positive, HDGA - even. Protected minutes with 56% Offensive zone FO's yet badly outscored when on the ice.
For me it comes down to Dahlin. Huge sample size with Bogo and Risto, and better with Bogo. Add in Dahlin assuming the PP#1 minutes, and gradually assuming PK minutes translate to a diminishing asset with a steady and high AAV. We don't need to pay a #4 D pairing $5.4M.
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1 hour ago, thewookie1 said:
Scandella played well his first year and Pommers had his moments. Having a plan fail to pan out is different than doing nothing.
I wouldn’t say Scandella ever played “well”. He was/is replacement level his entire time as a Sabre I always liked Pommers and happy to have him return, but I liked Foligno more considering his age, term, his style of play and his AAV. You are absolutely correct it was an attempt to do something which should not be dismissed.
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17 minutes ago, GASabresIUFAN said:
Scandella, Pominville and Baloo
Like Dudacek said, he did NOTHING his first year.
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11 hours ago, Zamboni said:
I don’t like buyouts either. Hell we’re still paying Hodgson!
Can you find and post a link to JB being “on record” saying he doesn’t like buyouts?
https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/hockey/news/sabres-vladimir-sobotka-wont-face-buyout/
Hammy got this from the JB presser on June 21st which is still archived in the WGR/Radio.com App. Under Sabres Hockey folder. Around 9 minutes in was asked about Vladdy and then in general and said he does not expect using any buyouts.
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7 hours ago, triumph_communes said:
I think you're attributing coaching effects with GM effects. Also, NJD had a great cap situation like when Murray started the job. Botterill needed time to get over the mess that was Murray's choices.
+ 1 to this point. If I recollect, the NJD were under the Salary cap floor with $30M to spend in 2015. Conversely JB had cap hits like Moulson, Okposo, Pommers, Georges, Bogo and others which takes time to correct. Of course he did not help himself with adding Scandella and Pouliet to the mix.
other points:
- Fun fact. Las Vegas has the NJD Win total at 88 points for 2019 and Sabres at 84. How is it that a team adding an all world D-man PK Suban, the league MVP who missed all last year, and the #1 overall is only 4 points better than the Sabres?
- This is Shero's 5th year. Palmeiri was added in 2015. the additions were over those 5 seasons, not three.
- Their awesome playoff run was losing in the first round 4 games to 1.
- I don't watch junior hockey but most of the sites I read do not have their farm system above the Sabres. In fact, Shero should be highly criticized for the failure of the 2015 draft where he drafted Zacha over about a dozen others more highly regarded. We all know the names.
- His 2016 first rounder looks suspecious. Six goals last year in the AHL for Binghamton?
- The trade for Mirco Mueller (2nd +4th) highly questionable.
- The Vataneen and Hall trades were highly successful, and should be louded except their are both UFA's and will be expecting significant pay increases next season.
To me Shero is comme ci, comme ca. Not reading his book on how to be an NHL GM.
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2 hours ago, Tondas said:
Can't argue with 9 of your 10. I would swap in Ovi for Bergeron for 3 reasons:
1. He's a Bruin
2. He's a Bruin
3. At 34, I think this is the year where he loses a step.
Isn't the marker for decline 30? Both Ovi and Patrice are same age - 34. Since turning 30, Ovi has averaged 47 goals a year, 80 points a year, and 20 minutes of Ice-time. Which is exactly 17 more goals a year, 13 more total points a year, and almost a minute of TOI than Patrice. Also more durable playing an average of 9 more games a year than Bergeron. He's a Captain, and has more cups during this period (2015-present). Ovi is in the top 5 until he isn't. Showing no signs of decline. If anyone is going to fall off, it's Patrice
Oh, and if hasn't been mentioned, he's a Bruin.
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1 hour ago, shrader said:
Well you made a long journey from Milan to Minsk, Rickard Rakell.
Sorry, I can't help but sing it every single time I see his name.
Rochelle Rochelle - good movie, but perhaps a better Broadway musical adaptation, starring Bette Midler. Either way, I prefer Checkmate.
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1 hour ago, dudacek said:
The reason that Shattenkirk shouldn’t affect Risto is the same reason few of the others have: he’s too soft.
Risto puts up 40 points while being a total dick on the ice.
Mock them all you want, NHL GMs care about such things
I guess that means GMs are “people” too. ?
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15 minutes ago, darksabre said:
The Risto trade is coming
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17 minutes ago, apuszczalowski said:
Except I think Clarkson is only owed like a million or so of his contract IIRC, it was front loaded so it mostly just cap hit with little cash needing to be spent.
I had Cap Friendly open, so I pulled his contract terms. Not sure how the signing bonus works. Could be paid each year.
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1 hour ago, Taro T said:
Disagree. Would rather have the full $3.5MM off the books next year when Reinhart & Montour will be due big paydays.
We have $33.4M coming off next year. Reinhart might be $8m, and Montour $5-6m? What's $1M going to help next year when there are no UFA's worthy of chasing?
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19 minutes ago, Taro T said:
Completely uneducated guess - Sobotka would wind up an AHLer rather than becoming a KHLer.
This was my assumption as well, which is why I think the buyout is a better option. Two million this year (or $1.1m more than waivers) is better than having all $3.5M next year. With all the other contracts coming off the books (Hunwick, Scandella, Bogo, Sheary) coupled with an extremely weak UFA market, I'd rather free up as much space this year and take the extra $1m next. Plus its sending a message to those who are perceived as just cashing a check. If I am the owner, and I can save $1M knowing this guy will not help our team this year, I buyout 7 days a week. Keeping him is a gamble I would not take. Bigger upside, but probability is lower.
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1 hour ago, Taro T said:
Not sure about your question.
GA's desires not withstanding, really doubt Sobotka gets bought out. (Don't see a solid reason to extend his cap hit out to 2 years from the current 1 year, as Pegula has repeatedly said winning is his primary concern.)
With that being the case, there are 4 reasonable scenarios for how Sobotka slots in. (Trading him isn't realistic as he'd either bring in a failed player or Botterill would have to give up a pick to get somebody to take him. If Botterill wanted him gone that badly, he would've heeded GA's advice.)
1. Under new HC, he gets look at a lower 6 role and does well enough to keep it.
2. He gets that look, but can't keep the role and gets slotted as 13th F.
3. He gets that look but ends up ~15th F and is Ra-cha-cha bound.
4. The 3rd scenario plays out but he refuses to drive 70 minutes down the road.
Were it not for him having arrived in the same package Berglund came in, really doubt scenario 4 would be getting much traction. Hoping for scenario 3 (or better yet 4), but would guess he'll land in scenario 2.
Having watched him last year, can't see scenario 1 happening. Will definitely cause Kreuger to be viewed with a jaundiced eye should that occur.
I see 1 & 2 both unlikely, unless other pieces are moved. Leaving #3 as most likely. My question is do the Sabres feel if push comes to shove, your 4th scenario plays out. It's unlikely he can collect a $3M salary in a European league, so is he content to play it out in the AHL? Or is the quality of life and a lower salary make #4 more enticing. In other words, an educated guess that Sobotka might walk could pay off for getting him off your roster, with zero long term cap implications.
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16 minutes ago, Taro T said:
The Regular Season Waiver Period opens 12 days prior to the beginning of the regular season and ends the day after an NHL ream has played its last game of that league year.
@Taro T - Question: If we believe JBot has no intention to buyout Sobotka's contract, is this a game of chicken whereby a player could be waived, and we assume unlikely picked up by any other team, and instead of reporting to Rochester and playing out his contract for $3.0m ($3.5M cap), he decides to play elsewhere? Thereby saving the team the $3M and the full cap hit? With a downside of having him report, and saving about $900K on the cap but paying the full $3M.
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3 hours ago, triumph_communes said:
Pretty unfair to put guys with injuries on there.
He’s not on LTIR. Yes, oft injured, but has played parts of every year with the ducks. Which is why I think it qualifies as a bad contract. As opposed to say Nathan Horton who we know would never play but is not disadvantageous to his team because he doesn’t count against the cap.
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How is Ryan Kesler not in this list? His last two years have been invisible to the Ducks. He is 34, has three more years at $6.875m (almost a mill more than Kyle). Okposo has averaged almost 40 points his last/only three years with the Sabres vs Keslers 25. And he is three years younger.
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11 minutes ago, MakeSabresGrr8Again said:
I liked Zadorov when I saw him at D-camp and Samuelsson reminds me of a more skilled and more mature Z.
Named Captain of Western Michigan as a Sophomore. And his pedigree is superior, which is undervalued.
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11 hours ago, Neo said:
Fifty years ago, tonight, my grandmother put me to bed. I was eight years old. She woke me and my sister several hours later. We went into the living room and sat Indian Style in front of a black and white Zenith with tubes inside and an aerial on top.
Seven years earlier, a young President, a member of the greatest generation, gave this speech. He fought in World War Two. Among others, he returned, married, went to work and raised kids. The speech is as remarkable as the daring engineering feat it set in motion. Imagine the courage necessary to aspire, call, inspire and act.
I am one of the kids who watched this at the beginning of my life. I am one of the kids raised by those people.
Today, I am abandoning my tribalism and deferring the urge to make points. Today, I’m not letting blemishes confuse my view of murals. How small that seems.
This is my America, and it is great. Here’s to the will to keep it that way.
@Neo Thank you for this post. I’m in Washington DC with family and we just watched an amazing program put on by the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum at the National Mall. Video and audio of the take off, landing and then parachuting back to earth. The video was displayed on big screens throughout but the masterpiece was how it was shown on the Washington Monument. Wish you were you here to share the good feelings with 100k+ who came out to watch. They will have a second showing of the video that starts at 10:46pm so the moon landing scene is exactly 50 years to the second.
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6 hours ago, dudacek said:
November 2031, when he and Kim clash over whether or not to trade two-time Conn Smythe winner Jack Eichel and launch a full rebuild.
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6 hours ago, TrueBlueGED said:
Did you ever think it was going to happen? Hope sure, but not for a single second did I think Botterill was going to bring someone in. He gave Hutton 3 years and an asset to protect Ullmark. No way was he bailing on that plan after one season. He's banking on a new goalie coach fixing it.
This is spot on. I would only add that his changes on Defense & forthcoming changes on Defense also reveal it too was a contributing factor in his mind, and can be improved upon. JB is tied to this duo for at least one more year, and probably two as a bridge to UPL. If either goalie fails next season, it’s a huge black eye for him.
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1 hour ago, Brawndo said:
Honest question, does the disparity of total salaries between the two leagues play a role? Any of the Top Five Highest Paid Baseball Players Salaries would take up almost 50% of this years salary cap in the NHL.
AJ Pollack who you cited has one All Star Appearance and a Golden Glove, makes over one million dollars more per year than Connor McDavid.
Who would be McDavid’s Comparable in the MLB?
Mike Trout perhaps?
Granted there is an Apples to oranges comparison based on salary discrepancy but consider this: with no real salary cap, it would make it more probable than not for an MLB team to offer a large contract (I.e. Tyler Myers $6m aav) to a player with a below average WAR as there are no implications other than luxury tax penalties, verses an NHL team based on a hard cap. But they don’t. Significant contracts are only awarded to players who demonstrate above average WAR. What other rationale would explain why an NHL team would spend 7-8% of their payroll on a player that by the implied nature of the calculation is unworthy of even $2m? We could say GM ignorance, and maybe this would apply in Vancouvers case. But using the scenario which sparked this entire debate (Jake), if the WAR calculation and all the charts created by EW are to be assumed definitive, then his contract should be within 15% of Karlsson. Trouts contract (Whom I agree with @FreeJame is a unicorn) was only 14% more than Machado, and Mannys was 15% more than Harper. And that is the sequence in Descending order of WAR for positional players. If I’m to accept the proposition that the EW perception of skill is 100% valid then Gardiner needs to see a $9.5m AAV offer for at least 6 years. If not then I thinks it’s fair to debate how they arrive at these numbers. I Want to re-iterate how appreciative I am for the introduction to the various sites and metrics referenced by the community.
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Does Risto want out?
in The Aud Club
Posted