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JujuFish

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Everything posted by JujuFish

  1. I'm just gonna say it. I want to be above Deluca 500 for Christmas. Let's go, Buffalo!
  2. It's a real possibility that Cincinnati doesn't take their division. If Baltimore wins their three non-Cincinnati games (@Cle, Atl, Pit), all very winnable games without Lamar, and if the Bills beat the Bengals in their week 17 match, then Baltimore takes the division even with a week 18 loss to Cincinnati, due to a better divisional record (5-1 vs 4-2).
  3. The Bills are 2-2, The Dolphins are 2-1. With a Bills win, that becomes 3-2 to the Dolphins' 2-2. However, in order to end up tied in that scenario, the Bills would have to lose out (which means losing to the Patriots), bringing their divisional record to 3-3, and the Dolphins would have to win out (including beating the Jets and Patriots in the final two weeks), bringing their divisional record to 4-2. I do think Miami is likely to win out (vs GB, @NE, vs NYJ), but I find it incredibly unlikely that Buffalo would lose out (@CHI, @CIN, vs NE). Obviously Cincinnati will be a very tough game, but if they were to drop both games to Chicago and New England, I'd say they don't deserve to win the division.
  4. That is the exact situation I'm talking about. If the Bills win next week and still end up tied, Miami takes the division.
  5. Not quite. Miami would hold the tiebreaker with a better divisional record should they end up tied (Buffalo would have to lose to the Patriots).
  6. 1 revenge game down, 1 to go. Go Bills.
  7. If it's a partial tear, why would he be shelved for over a year? (Genuinely asking; I don't know much about this stuff.)
  8. I was going to mention that it could still get past head-to-head tiebreakers in a 3-way tie, buuuuuuut Buffalo and Cincinnati have both beaten Kansas City and Tennessee, so the 6-6 Chargers or 4-8 Jaguars would have to somehow not only win their divisions (both teams are 3 games behind in their division), but the Bills/Bengals/Ravens would have to also lose a bunch of games to actually end up in a BUF-CIN-LAC or BUF-CIN-JAX tie, which I'm honestly not sure is even possible.
  9. Conference record is next, which we own over Cincy. That said, we play @Cincy for our penultimate game, so that will take precedence.
  10. No, he's still in the process of establishing possession at that point. He doesn't maintain it, and therefore it is not an interception. A better argument for it being an interception, I think, is to say that he appears to have tucked the ball away before he contacts the ground, which is explicitly written as satisfying (c) in the rule, as you've pasted earlier. Now that I think about that, I think I might change my mind on the ruling.
  11. He was falling to the ground. He needs to maintain control through the fall, which he did not.
  12. If by "more cachet" you mean "more money to offer", then sure.
  13. He bobbled the ball out of bounds. To me, that isn't in an interception, nor should it be.
  14. I never watch soccer. I checked out the last 15 or so minutes of USA/Iran. Is diving really this blatant? Does soccer have diving penalties? I'm completely ignorant here.
  15. I think it's highly unlikely that we end up tied with the Chiefs and don't win the division. In fact, if the Chiefs only lose 1 game for the rest of the season, it is impossible to tie them without winning the division.
  16. Only the 1 seed gets a first round bye these days. We need the Chiefs to lose 1 more game than we do, which is a tough ask since they have a pretty easy remaining schedule and Mahomes is playing like an MVP.
  17. Getting pretty tired of this defense being anti-clutch. Thank you, Allen, for taking care of business in the end.
  18. Your lack of logic is shining through. First, 75% of the 6-4 teams in the league is currently holding a playoff spot. Second, those stats indicate future success. A 6-4 team with a negative point differential and has beaten 5 bad teams? Probably not going to end up with a record as good as a 6-4 team leading the league in many key stats. Third, when you actually look at how well 6-4 teams have done (e.g. see https://www.nfl.com/news/2022-nfl-playoff-picture-making-the-case-for-against-seven-fringe-teams), then you'll see that 6-4 teams make the playoffs nearly 60% of the time. Fourth, I did an internet search for NFL playoff odds, and all three links I clicked (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/playoff-odds and http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nflpostseasonprob.html) had every 6-4 team with greater than 50% odds of making the playoffs.
  19. Someone is lacking common sense here, and it isn't me. You, for some unknown reason, think a team that is leading the league in point differential (2nd in PF, 5th in PA), leading the league in total DVOA (6th offensive, 3rd defensive, 3rd ST), and is leading the conference in strength of victory is probably going to miss the playoffs if they're 6-4. Get real, here.
  20. It's 4 losses in a 17-week schedule for a good team. That is most definitely not *probably missing the playoffs*.
  21. You don't seem to realize that the fact that they play them both again means they control their own destiny, even at 6-4.
  22. Why hello there, today's asinine statement of the day.
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