carpandean

True, but even if it were a perfect predictor, it wouldn't be useful on its own. "See, coach, all we have to do to go far in the playoffs is score more and - I know it sounds crazy - get scored on less. So, let's do that." 😁 Not far off! 👍

Logically, 'dominant' scores more than it gives up, so we probably didn't need a chart to tell us that they will go far. I was more interested in the 'run-n-gun' vs 'boring', as they could both also be called 'balanced' (the middle box is really just balanced with average scoring for and against.) Anyway, here's last year's final values, along with their playoff finish (thicker circle = went further): What I really find interesting is that the run-n-gun quadrant is basically empty. Will that happen every season as the league "tightens up" for the playoffs? Side note: the cutoffs between quadrants are roughly the mean and median values, which have vary between 3.0 and 3.07. I should just pick one - say, 3.0 - and stick with it, but then the asymmetry throws off the feng sui. Oops, they fell off the other axis (scoring against > 4.0.) I'm tracking the min and max now, too, to avoid these embarrassing snafus. I've posted an updated chart in the first post.

Good catch! They fell off the bottom (2.28 RGF/GP.) I'll have to adjust my axis.

Been watching this for a while, but decided to share. It tracks regulation goals for per game vs. regulation goals against per game (note: reverse axis, making upper-right the best.) To me, what happens in OT/SO is different. Anyway, we've been in about the same spot for a while now, but did dip a little below Edmonton and Boston on the GF side. Boston is just a freak team. Current chart:

I had to miss it live, but hoped that they would replay some of it when the game came on again. Unfortunately, they didn't, so thanks for posting it.

I wish the Bills, themselves, had a passcode to that game ... Sunday's going to be a tough one.

Jack wouldn't either if he were just producing 0.8 ppg more (1.83 vs. 1.03, this season.) 😉

You were both right. They were 4th in total yards, but 2nd in yards/game.

231 yds passing, 42 yds rushing The crazy run backs after the interceptions gave them great starting positions on both. And, of course, there was the fumble for a touchdown.

Speaking of Daboll, he's moving on to the next round, too.

They should be well-rested since they didn't play last night. 😒

I'm sure that the refs could have found a penalty one each, if they had wanted to. 😉

😯

Yeah, we start with redundancy, but once you lose one ...

If they don't play the Bills-Bengals game, then as far as Chiefs vs. Bills for #1, how you count a skipped game (tie or no contest) wouldn't matter, regardless of what happens in Bills-Patriots and Chiefs-Raiders ... Chiefs win% would be: Win: 14-3 (14/17 = 0.824) Loss: 13-4 (13/17 = 0.765) Bills win% would be: Win: 13-3 (13/16 = 0.813) or 13-3-1 (13.5/17 = 0.794) Loss: 12-4 (12/16 = 0.750) or 12-4-1 (12.5/17 = 0.735) So, the Chiefs would get the #1 seed unless they lose to the Raiders and the Bills beat the Patriots, irrespective of whether you count it as a tie or as no contest. In essence, it would count as loss by the Bills in the Bills-Bengals game for this purpose. Unfortunately for the Bengals, in the case where the Bills and Chiefs both lose their final games, but the Bengals win theirs, the missed game would also count as a loss for them. They would miss the chance to take the #1 seed by beating the Bills. (Note: Bill-Bengals for #2 vs. #3 would come down to the third tie-breaker, common game win%, since they'd both have the same conference record in this scenario.)

I feel like Tage is a character on Warehouse 13. One of these days, Pete and Myka are going to show up looking for his artifact.

For the playoffs? They don't even know who's playing against whom, or when. I'm not talking about giving them this coming weekend off, but rather playing Bills/Bengals on a short week (if they'd prefer more rest before the playoffs) and then pushing off the first week of the playoffs.

They could schedule the makeup game for Thursday (1/12) and give the league the weekend off, so that the Bills and Bengals at least have 9 days (10, if you want to force their respective games to Sunday (1/22). Not perfectly fair, but at least it would reduce the benefit (plus, some say the week off makes it harder for the team with the bye to be sharp.)

Took a while, but they finally made the right decision.

So ... he's done for the season, then?

Throwing to McKenzie with two DB's in the area ... not a good strategy, Josh.

SDS has one on the front page. We'll see about the others ... True, and I also seem to remember him being pulled off of Jack's line in the second half (I think).

Remember when Skinner has 26 goals in 37 games and didn't hit 40 until game 82? 😉

Freakin' Texans. Stop Mahommes in OT, only to fumble it away deep in their own end.

Technically, they don't, right now. They're 15-14-2, so they've lost 16 and won 15. They're listed as W and L, but while W is all wins (Reg, OT, SO), L is only regulation wins.