Jump to content

triumph_communes

Members
  • Posts

    2,686
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by triumph_communes

  1. Tuch bandwagon has no room for doubters. Get on or get out of the way. Yee haw Its evident in the way he talks, participates to date, and how Vegas looks lost since he left.
  2. I remembered wrong off top of my head thanks for correcting. Anything beyond 2 years is starting to create trouble, 3 is stretching it. 4+ off the table.
  3. KA did the right thing with Ullmark. The most important thing is not having him get in the way of our goalie prospects 4 years from now and he demanded 5 year term. It’s within his right to demand the term and it was the right thing to walk away.
  4. Tim Murray really had an eye for subhuman players.
  5. I never said suspension. I don’t see how teammates or other players will let him coexist.
  6. Not sure how he can step on the ice after that ever again
  7. Yeesh Montreal looks bad. And that team nearly got a cup last year. Goes to show what the stars aligning can do
  8. They forced the run enough early game to give them the space. And enough throws to Diggs to open it up deep. Not sure if the Pats will bite on this though. Glad that no interception in red zone record got broken in an inconsequential way.
  9. Now Boaton is going to have their ammo ti write the narratives all day. Great. McAvoy turned last second and Girgensons never even followed through. Bad luck not vicious but hey don’t let that stop them. At least these ***** know they don’t get a freebie. our forecheck was pitiful this game and we weren’t winning even without Dell. Needs addressed.
  10. Buffalo had a bonafide 1C and the leagues best “2C” did nothing. Edmonton has a generational 1C and elite 1W and has done nothing. That 2C went on to become a 1C and win a cup. It’s about coaching and teamwork, not top end talent. Top end talent just let’s you get away with deficiencies in some areas.
  11. Was promoted too early by a desperate GM. Upside is obvious, he’s the real deal. Always takes long necks longer to get comfortable with their body.
  12. Puberty varies by years kid to kid so there is still going to be a preference they can’t control. Reducing the range will help minimize some, but hockey players who go to the NHL almost all skip a bunch of leagues anyway so this wouldn’t affect the top. Leaves us joe smhoes worrying about our kids going nowhere and that’s wasted effort imo Yes organizations are trying to do that work, I’m intimately aware. The only thing worse than not using statistics is improperly using statistics to make decisions. Corporates and upper management are notorious at doing this - it takes a lot of work that the type of people attracted to management don’t have the attention span for and if you take shortcuts you do more harm than good. The new analytics the NHL is collecting such as player and puck position at any given time has the ability to develop algorithms to start measuring the “it” factors. Makes it much easier to come up with metrics tracking all defensemen to tell whether they always shoot the puck when they get it like Miller, continue the cycle d to d and hope someone else makes the move like most our replacement level defenseman, or break down other teams with crazy passes like Dahlin does regularly, as well as tracking success rates and taking advantage of massive sample sizes. I’m sure there’s at least a few people out there pioneering that kind of work and making up some funny KPIs
  13. Ah yes, that’s a different context altogether though it does loop back in. Does the NHL choose the develop older players or taller players and that’s the root cause? Statisticians have looked at many things and the one that stands out the most is date of birth. They made correlations over many different sports over the decades and found links that the older a player is for any age bracket (Jan or July depending on locale), the more likely they are to go pro. Ultimately they’ve tied it all back to the more physically mature players get more coaching attention. The amount of coaching attention one gets throughout their career is the strongest indicator for success than anything else, and coaches will usually give more attention to those more physically mature. This is the argument one always should have about players needing key minutes and they won’t develop while suffocating for 8 minutes a night. So if the league selects (drafts) larger players then they’re going to have a better chance at development and it was a self fulfilling prophecy, not an indication on size itself. Again the answer here I believe has changed with time as the barriers/privileges for success for smaller players has gone away over the years and the results speak for themselves. A relevant case study I think is with goalies. The league absolutely drafted tall goalies only, our very own GM calling goalie drafting voodoo magic so he left it to raw attributes and luck (and boy have we suffered from this). Despite this trend, large goalies have turned out to bust more often than not and a lot of teams have been burned by this approach the last handful of years. Size and fundamentals can get goalies pretty far, but to compete in the NHL it can fall short wildly quick. The best goalies have the ability to track the puck and where it’s going next without seeing it, and they don’t need to be 6’7” to block that. A few more inches of height and Dell would not have made that save in the final seconds last night, he was off the mark by a few feet. So does size matter? Yes. Does simply drafting someone because they’re bigger mean success? No. Are there small towns full of 5’9” Martin St Louis’ out there grumpy that they didn’t get drafted and their height was the reason? Nah, he’s an outlier and they always will exist. Look at Gretzky or Lemiux numbers sometime versus any other player of their respective time period and those numbers shouldn’t exist in the eyes of statistics. There’s too much there in the mythical ‘hockey sense’ to throw off any model ever created which is proof alone that your factor of choice should not be enough to overcome a well informed gut feeling. This isn’t baseball, where nothing actually matters other than being able to hit the ball or not. This is why it was able to be moneyballed. Anything else can be coached up to passable. Silly sport, but I digress.
×
×
  • Create New...