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LGR4GM

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Everything posted by LGR4GM

  1. Going to the driving range this afternoon, that's fantastic
  2. I think the bottom is gonna fall out again. I don't believe their team sh% over this stretch is truly sustainable and defense still sucks.
  3. Yes. Do you things with your kids when you can.
  4. Nay. You're there to experience a moment, to feel it. All your favorite artists already have music videos, no one wants yours. Live in the moment instead of worrying about a video you'll only watch 1 other time.
  5. It will only be getting worse. Portfolio is down 6.75% compared to 2 months ago now. My complaint is that there is nothing I can do and it sucks.
  6. I think the issue is when Tage or JJP are getting stopped we don't have a backup way of scoring goals regularly. All shooters go through cold periods and we've seen that. Buffalo is a one dimension offensive team still.
  7. xGF% is the division of xgf and xga. To answer your question, yes more shots against would raise the xGA and since Buffalo is not shooting as much you get that discrepancy. The way expected goals work, is each spot on the ice has a sh% more or less. So what is the average sh% from this spot in the ice over the entire league. This, as has been debated here, doesn't take individual skill into account so Thompson shooting from 10ft out is the same as Benson in the metrics. It helps to normalize and adjust for shots. The better models look at shot type, speed, and they are starting to examine pre-puck movement. xGF is basically better corsi because it doesn't treat all shots the same. Teams that are -xGF% (so they are below 50%) are the teams that don't make the playoffs and lose more games. That is the general correlation and takeaway.
  8. I firmly believe this board as delved more greedily and more deeply into the Sabres issues and remedies than the Sabres own front office has.
  9. They'll win the lottery this year or next.
  10. If it drags on long enough, I do believe the Sabres will be in jeopardy of leaving.
  11. I suppose we're talking Martone versus... everyone not named Desnoyers and Frondell? So there is a good list.
  12. Side note, 5th or 8th isn't making or breaking this team.
  13. You know how I know you're a Bruins fan?
  14. Sadly, the Sabres front office ignores inconvenient information.
  15. Yea, the team isn't good enough. I think we need to be open to moving a top 6 forward and 2 defenders or we're gonna be outside again looking in.
  16. No I'm saying using "single digits" and "over 12%" was a deliberate attempt to obfuscate the numbers. I generally feel typing 15 instead of 14 is just a mistake.
  17. Nashville might have jumped over us for a minute but I don't think so? That would have been it. We have been in 4th for quite awhile. Boston imploding is something to see though, 9 straight losses.
  18. This bothers me a ton. The Sabres mantra is just "we should sneak into the playoffs" as opposed to "let's win the GD league"
  19. Why didn't use the actual numbers? Why did you make it sound vastly different? Don't call me a schill when you deliberately obfuscated the numbers in order to attempt at strengthening your point. Zach Benson has .7 primary assists per 60 compared to .2 2nd assists. Kulich is .3 and .2 in the same categories all while playing with better linemates much of the year. Lets take out 2nd assists. That would put Kulich at 1.4pts/60 and Benson at 1.3pts/60. Kulich's most TOI: Thompson and Peterka at 137 and Thompson and Benson at 58 Benson's most TOI: Krebs and Quinn at 87 and Cozens and Quinn at 63.. followed closely by Kulich and Thompson Kulich has 3 gwg to Benson's 0. I didn't look at all the GWG to see if Benson had any fun assists in there. FTR, I don't think Benson is worlds better than Kulich. Kulich could 100% end up the better player long term.
  20. Also I am calling this out for being deliberately misleading and the type of ***** we shouldn't do. "Is shooting single digits" acting like it is some type of massive gap and OMG! when in reality if you had used the actual numbers... Kulich: 12.0%... not over, at. And he only has 14goals from everywhere I have looked so I think you accidently gave him an extra one. Benson: 9.7% They are 2.3% different in their sh% and you deliberately made it sound like a vast gulf. It was lazy and I dislike the subterfuge. It is a 2.7 goal difference for Kulich if he shot at Benson's level.
  21. No it isn't. His goal scorer is much better. Their production is about the exact same per 60mins of ice time. 1.6 Kulich and 1.5 Benson.
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