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Everything posted by dudacek
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This is where the disconnect comes for me. The chance has become more and more negligible as time has past and Skinner's slump continues. The Jeff Skinner of the past year smells a lot like the Kyle Okposo of a few years ago, without the excuses of "injury" and "good teammate" propping him up. I'm not sure why you are giving as much weight as you are to the small sample size of Skinner's early season analytics. I have not seen Sheahan/Lazar to be less effective with Asplund or Mittelstadt than with Skinner.
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I don't think Skinner scoring 4 goals in a month is bad. Disappointing by the standards he previously set, but not bad. Scoring 4 goals in 46 games, or 7 in 60, that's bad, especially for a guy who is in the league for his offence. That's a look at your other options level performance. I actually thought Jeff's work in the details of the game were as good as I've seen them in the first half-dozen or so games this year. And even as his production sucked over the past year, Jeff still did two things really well: draw penalties and generate a high number of shots in high danger areas. But (again, over the past year) I struggle to see where else he has helped the team. Generally speaking he doesn't get in hard on the forecheck and retrieve pucks. He doesn't get open for tap-ins or burying one-timers. He doesn't support his linemates well by getting open for them, finding them when they are open, or rotating to fill the holes when they attack. His passing is outright bad. He will make some really nice steals from behind at times, but he's not winning a ton of puck battles, or providing good puck support for his teammate's battles, and he is generally the last man back on the backcheck. He is non-entity on zone exits, doesn't carry the puck much through the neutral zone or shine on entries. He doesn't wear down the opposition physically, block shots or win faceoffs. He doesn't kill penalties and has not added much to the PP those times he's been on it. Is his overall play "worse" than the other guys rotating through the bottom six? Not really. Should he have been tried earlier and more sincerely with the talent more than the 5 periods he got this year? Yes. Has he been doing more than Lazar, Sheahan, Reider, Mittelstadt, Cozens, Olofsson, Hall, Reinhart, Okposo, Thompson or Asplund? Maybe Thompson and Okposo. Has he contributed more than your typical bottom-sixer? No. And sitting out a bottom-six player isn't worth losing your ***** over.
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That Ullmark sequence and Sam's lacrosse goal were those moments where you stop and “say how did he do that?” It is so sad they were squandered and will vanish from our memory banks in the quicksand that is Pegula Sabres.
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I think Asplund has been pretty good too, in a 4th-line kinda way. Really, all of Sheahan, Lazar, Eakin, Rieder and Asplund have been solid in the kill-penalties, win face-offs and don’t ***** things up kinda way coaches like from their fourth liners. But a good team only wants two or three of those guys in the lineup at any given game, rather than four or five. We have a lot of guys that can play centre, but it’s still our weakest position. The majority was right, in that Eakin hasn’t got the 20- to 30-point upside we had hoped, and the majority was wrong that Staal could fix our 2C issues. The brain is still there, but the body is not. There is an opportunity for Casey, should he grab it.
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Ullmark OUT at least a Month/ Eichel Day to Day with a Lower Body Injuries
dudacek replied to Brawndo's topic in The Aud Club
Of course it adds up. The whole hockey world saw Jack’s leg bend awkwardly and him favouring it afterward. He missed the morning skate to rest it, tried it in warm-up and decided not to go. Krueger lied about it to the media because hockey culture says admitting your injury in this kind of instance gives up some kind of competitive advantage. Nothing to see here except the normal eye-rolling NHL coach speak -
If Casey continues playing like he has his first five games he should stay in the lineup. It’s certainly been the best stretch we’ve seen from him. He looks like he has a better understanding of how the game works at this level - where to go and what he can and cannot do.
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@IKnowPhysics I don’t expect everyone to read all my rants, especially when they are as unpopular as my opinions on Skinner. But your stat breakdown fails to properly address Skinner’s first Krueger season by looking at it in linear fashion, the way a new coach would. October: Skinner scores 7 goals in 13 games while getting 18 minutes a game November: Skinner slumps to 3 goals in 14 games, but Krueger keeps playing him 17 minutes a game December: Skinner’s slump continues. He scores once in 12 games putting him on a two-month streak of 4 goals in 26 games, and 11 in a row without scoring before he gets injured in a Dec. 27 game against Boston. Krueger starts cutting his ice time more as the streak continues and he ends up averaging a shade under 16 minutes - still top six minutes - for the month. January: Skinner averages 19 minutes in his two-game return, but is -3 without a point. February: Skinner’s goalless streak grows to 22 games where his stat line reaches 0/3/3/-17 before he finally scores. Skinner’s stat line for the month ends up 3/1/4 at a little over 14 minutes a game. March: Krueger, perhaps encouraged by a brief spark of recent offence, gives him more ice time - 18 minutes a game over 4 games. Jeff responds by going -5 and pointless. To me it looks like a textbook case of a player who played himself out of his coach’s good graces and then failed to play his way back in. What am I missing? https://www.espn.com/nhl/player/gamelog/_/id/5540/year/2020/jeff-skinner
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GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
Just because people keep saying this doesn't make it true. Skinner continued to play close to 18 minutes a night in November and December last season despite the fact he only scored 4 goals in that period and started what eventually became a 22-game goalless drought. Skinner stopped scoring well before Krueger started "jerking him around" -
Ralph Krueger should have given Jeff two weeks straight with Jack at some point over the past 50 games in order to see what would happen. Jeff Skinner sucks, I never wanted him on my team, and his first three months in Buffalo were a mirage. Framing this as "one of them has to go" as the reason why this team is good or bad is a false argument
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GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
Skinner got 7 of his 14 goals in the first month of the season, playing with Sobotka and Johansson. He got 12 goals in Housley's final 41 games playing mostly with Jack and Sam. Krueger has not done everything he could to restart Skinner's game, but Skinner stopped scoring long before Krueger got here. And you don't think the numbers I posted have anything to do with it (the benching, I mean)? -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
My question was about how much more leeway does he get? He's had one good month out of the past 10. When does his current performance start outweighing his past performance? -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
Okposo was recovering from injury and Skinner's stretch of bad play stretches back way further than Kyle's -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
How much more? Jeff Skinner's monthly goal totals since the second half of his last season in Carolina (the bolded marks his first three seasons in Buffalo: Jan. 2018 3 Feb. 2018 5 Mar. 2018 4 Apr. 2018 0 Oct. 2018: 6 Nov. 2018: 14 Dec. 2018: 6 Jan. 2019: 5 Feb. 2019: 5 Mar. 2019 1 Apr. 2019: 3 Oct 2019: 7 Nov. 2019: 3 Dec. 2019: 1 Jan. 2020: 0 Feb. 2020: 3 Mar. 2020: 0 Jan. 2021: 0 Jan. 2021: 0 Think a graph might show and interesting trend? He's had one good month out of the past 10, four out of the past 19. Kyle Okposo has a good history of scoring goals prior to turning 27 and signing a big contract. EDIT: Also, interesting to note that his second-best month came playing under Ralph (italics)with Sobotka and Johansson on his line. -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
Maybe I'm off here, but could it have something to do with the 4 goals and 7 points in 46 games? I mean 4 goals and 9 point in 31 games got Casey Mittelstadt sent to the minors...? -
Travis Yost on WGR-550 Today; Worth Listening To
dudacek replied to Kruppstahl's topic in The Aud Club
Thompson was dropped from the Eichel line partway through the second game of the season and got another two periods with Jack a few weeks later. Skinner played five periods with Jack before he was dropped back down and then sent to the press box. The production of Thompson and Skinner this year has been identical with similar ice time and similar usage, except Thompson was benched a half-dozen times before Skinner was benched even once. -
Travis Yost on WGR-550 Today; Worth Listening To
dudacek replied to Kruppstahl's topic in The Aud Club
No, it's all Krueger's fault. How can he bench a player that hasn't done his ***** job in a year and a half? Now I'm off to the Eichel and Dahlin threads to complain about how Krueger hasn't benched them yet. This board (not you, and you are right on the money with this post) is so schizophrenic at times. -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
4 goals in his past 46 games has nothing to do with it? -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
When was the last time Jeff Skinner was clearly playing better than the guys who are dressing ahead of him? We're talking October 2019, right? -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
Six weeks into the year and we've only seen five teams. -
GDT 2/25/21: 7pm ET, NJ Devils @ Sabres, local TV and Radio
dudacek replied to jsb's topic in The Aud Club
This is good news This is better news. I am making up all sorts of wild rumours already. Eichel and Skinner to the Rangers for Lafreniere and their two worst contracts, confirmed. -
Travis Yost on WGR-550 Today; Worth Listening To
dudacek replied to Kruppstahl's topic in The Aud Club
It's funny, Curtis Lazar hasn't had trouble scoring goals playing on the Sabres fourth line — has nearly twice as many over the past calendar year as Jeff. Zemgus too. Stop making excuses for Jeff Skinner. -
I know everyone looks good compared to the Sabres, but in the past 10 years, they've missed the playoffs four times and won three playoff rounds
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Another buy high sell low special, eh? With Risto and Jake out it will be a sign of tossing in the season.
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Eye on the C — shift by shift breakdown of Eichel's game on Long Island
dudacek replied to PASabreFan's topic in The Aud Club
Nice work. The lack of authority with which he is moving and protecting the puck (feeding the high number of turnovers) are the in-game manifestations, but the most troubling thing is the body language. The number of times he projects '(deep sigh), what's the point' on a turnover, a rush, a puck battle, a backcheck, or even skating to the bench tells me his mindset has approached Sabrespace levels of fatigue. Have you seen this dramatization of Jack's career? -
Feel for Jake. Guy can play for my team any time, and deserves better than what the Sabres gave him. This might improve our chances of re-signing him, because I was more or less convinced he was heading to Chicago this summer.