Taro T Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 In today's Buffalo News, there is an article stating that Connolly is still suffering effects from the concussion and may not be ready to go in 2 weeks. Link This would put a serious damper on expectations that the Sabres will win the Northeast. I don't see this effecting their chances of making the postseason, but can definitely affect their seeding. If it's true, Danny had better find a winger that he feels as comfortable with as JP, because the Sabres will need him to earn that $5MM the arbitrator gave him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 In today's Buffalo News, there is an article stating that Connolly is still suffering effects from the concussion and may not be ready to go in 2 weeks. Link This would put a serious damper on expectations that the Sabres will win the Northeast. I don't see this effecting their chances of making the postseason, but can definitely affect their seeding. If it's true, Danny had better find a winger that he feels as comfortable with as JP, because the Sabres will need him to earn that $5MM the arbitrator gave him. This is not a surprise. When he got hit, I thought it could last a year (given his history) and could even have a chance of ending his career. Hope the worst won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hopeleslyobvious Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 In today's Buffalo News, there is an article stating that Connolly is still suffering effects from the concussion and may not be ready to go in 2 weeks. Link This would put a serious damper on expectations that the Sabres will win the Northeast. I don't see this effecting their chances of making the postseason, but can definitely affect their seeding. If it's true, Danny had better find a winger that he feels as comfortable with as JP, because the Sabres will need him to earn that $5MM the arbitrator gave him. Definately bad news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frisky Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 Well, since they gave him a new contract, it sounds like they are optimistic that he's eventually going to recover to the point that he'll have impact. I think if the team felt that he possibly/probably might not recover they would just say f*#! it and ditch him like with Patty. So, I think that is a good sign in that respect for the longer term. But with these kinds of things you never know. I hope he comes back and performs like before. I'd hate to see it turn south and end a blossoming (finally) career. At this point I don't expect to see him for a significant amount of time and a fair portion into the regular season at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 For Darcy's sake, Connolly better come back to play fairly early in the season. Golisano coughed up 9 mil(all guaranteed) for the guy when he was still suffering symptoms. He better get healthy or this looks look one of the dumbest signings in Sabre history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shrader Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 For Darcy's sake, Connolly better come back to play fairly early in the season. Golisano coughed up 9 mil(all guaranteed) for the guy when he was still suffering symptoms. He better get healthy or this looks look one of the dumbest signings in Sabre history. Unless there's an insurance deal that we don't know about. I find it hard to believe they would move forward on a deal like that without some kind of plan. If it's true, Danny had better find a winger that he feels as comfortable with as JP, because the Sabres will need him to earn that $5MM the arbitrator gave him. It's in the best interest of the team this season if that forward ends up being Vanek. Pominville would be a good secondary option though. Hell, now that I think of it, I'd love to see those 3 click together as a line, if we can find a way to balance off the rest of the team. That could be one of the more dynamic lines in the league. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hopeleslyobvious Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 Unless there's an insurance deal that we don't know about. I find it hard to believe they would move forward on a deal like that without some kind of plan. I agree. They wouldn't have given him 3 years if he was questionable at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 I agree. They wouldn't have given him 3 years if he was questionable at all. If he still has concussion symptoms today, several weeks after signing a contract, wouldn't you call that questionable?? :huh: :huh: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hopeleslyobvious Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 If he still has concussion symptoms today, several weeks after signing a contract, wouldn't you call that questionable?? :huh: :huh: I was referring to Shrader's comment about insurance. Let me clarify. I highly doubt they would have given him that long of a deal unless there was a plan. Just doesn't make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nfreeman Posted August 29, 2006 Report Share Posted August 29, 2006 FWIW, Darcy specifically stated during the press conference after the signing that it was not possible to insure this risk. He sounded very confident in the medical advice the sabres had received -- ie this, and not insurance, was the basis for the decision to sign him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hopeleslyobvious Posted August 30, 2006 Report Share Posted August 30, 2006 FWIW, Darcy specifically stated during the press conference after the signing that it was not possible to insure this risk. He sounded very confident in the medical advice the sabres had received -- ie this, and not insurance, was the basis for the decision to sign him. After re-reading the article, FWIW it says that Connolly is still on the recovery schedule the doctor's gave him before the signing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro T Posted August 30, 2006 Author Report Share Posted August 30, 2006 After re-reading the article, FWIW it says that Connolly is still on the recovery schedule the doctor's gave him before the signing. Not exactly. He's "kind of" on the original schedule, which I read as "he's not on schedule, but we are hoping like heck that he gets back on schedule". "He's not working out yet, so it's kind of still in line with what the specialists thought it would be, from a timing standpoint," Regier said. "He's still in the range of where he was not expected to be working out yet. But he's moving in the right direction, I think." I hope your hope is warranted Hopeless, but I'm not as hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hopeleslyobvious Posted August 30, 2006 Report Share Posted August 30, 2006 Not exactly. He's "kind of" on the original schedule, which I read as "he's not on schedule, but we are hoping like heck that he gets back on schedule". I hope your hope is warranted Hopeless, but I'm not as hopeful. I am worried about when he will be back. What I am more worried about is how he will be playing when he gets back. He is not going to have the benefit of all the conditioning he did last off season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eleven Posted August 30, 2006 Report Share Posted August 30, 2006 DaveB--since you're the resident CBA expert (well deserved rap from what I've read)--what's the cap hit when Connolly is on the NHL equivalent of IR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro T Posted August 30, 2006 Author Report Share Posted August 30, 2006 DaveB--since you're the resident CBA expert (well deserved rap from what I've read)--what's the cap hit when Connolly is on the NHL equivalent of IR? The team will take the cap hit for him regardless of whether he is active, on IR, or on "Bonafide Long Term Injury" IR. But after the team Dr. certifies that he will be out for at least 10 games and 24 days, the team can exceed the salary cap by whatever portion of his salary being replaced would put them over the salary cap retroactive to when he was injured. (Huh?!?!?) Let me try to restate that a little clearer. Connolly's average annual salary is ~$2.97MM (I will call it $3MM for simplicity). If, with Timmy on the roster the team's average annual salary is $44MM, then they can replace him with a player (or players) with an aggregate average annual salary of $3MM. And counting Timmy's $3MM, the Sabres effective salary cap becomes $47MM ($44MM + Timmy's $3MM). That's simple enough. But if the team's average annual salary at the time they put him on BLTI-IR is only $43MM, then the team could still replace him with a player (or players) with an aggregate average annual salary of $3MM. Which also is simple enough. BUT, the Sabres effective salary cap is only $46MM. The 1st $1MM of Timmy's salary isn't replaceable because it didn't exceed the team's salary cap at the time he was placed on BLTI-IR. The other $2MM that DOES exceed the salary cap IS replaceable, and the Sabres effective salary cap becomes $46MM until he is ready to come back from BLTI-IR. So, in case 1 not counting Timmy, the Sabres team salary cap is still $44MM. But, in case 2 when Timmy's salary isn't included, the Sabres salary cap is ONLY $43MM. I doubt that the Sabres are as concerned about the salary cap repercussions as they are with the actual cash flow repercussions. If Timmy isn't ready to go on October 4 (and in a worst case loses an entire season), then they would be paying Timmy $2.2MM with absolutely no return of value on that money. Also, the player doesn't have to miss 24 days and 10 games to be put onto BLTI-IR, but he must be certified by the team physician that his injury will keep him out that long. If the league questions that decision, a physician brought in by the league will examine the player and determine if the player's injuries will likely keep the player out that long. Once a player has been placed on BLTI-IR, he cannot rejoin the team until 10 games or 24 days have passed even if he heals up quicker than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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