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IKnowPhysics

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  1. From wiki: "The 2020 NHL Entry Draft will be the 58th NHL Entry Draft. The draft is tentatively scheduled for October 9–10, 2020, and will be held virtually after initially being scheduled for June 26–27, 2020, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec." Worst Zoom call ever. Knowing the NHL, it could work great, or it could be so shoddy that the frustrated Sabres draft Taro Tsujimoto Jr to make a point.
  2. By the way, with the possibility of Olympics comes the possibility that not only is Jack on Team USA, but by 2022, he's potentially the captain of Team USA.
  3. It's summer. Best *****-tier pisswater. Go. Personal Top Rankings: Blue/Blue Light Yuengling Canadian Genny O/Cream Ale Gansett Miller Lite PBR High Life Old Style Modelo Coors O Hamm's Tecate Corona XX Worse/worst: Coors Light Bud Heavy Bud Light Keystone Steel Reserve Kirkland Light
  4. That's a nice thing. I wish him well. I also like NJD hiring a rival NYR assistant coach. But according to the Devils website and wikipedia, Tom Fitzgerald is still only the interim GM. Interesting to see an interim make a permanent head coach hire.
  5. It is. Speaking of which, Dominik Kahun finished the season with 3.36P/60, which was good enough for 15th best in the league. If he plays the same time on ice per game as Eichel, he should finish next year's 82 game season with 101 points.
  6. Interesting read, but the method is shady AF, which the author recognizes, but then ignores when wielding judgement. The author lays out the weakness: But then smashes Buffalo for taking Brayden McNabb instead of Mike Hoffman, because defensemen don't score points. Additionally, the method characterization is not performed round by round, because it loses, badly, where it counts. The Sabres clearly beat the hell out of this method in the first two rounds. Summing up the WAR for the top-60 picks, the Sabres outscore this method by 22.6 to 8.3. It's an overly simplistic approach and the author over simplifies the analysis of its effectiveness. It also ignores many real draft pick benefits not measured by NHLe, such as, meeting organizational depth needs. I'm not sure Rochester would ever get any defensemen if BUffalo exclusively used this technique. However, like any good fiction, it does raise an interesting philosophical question. Regarding later rounds, should teams ignore organizational depth needs in later rounds to try to swing for the fences for the NHL team?
  7. In happier(?) news, the NHL is attempting to schedule three games per day in the two hub cities, at 12pm, 4:30pm, and 9pm local time. This means that if you're on the east coast, you could be seeing games nonstop from noon to 2am, as Edmonton is 2 hours behind. TBD how many games will be nationally broadcast. If you were jonesing for hockey and you wanted to get your hockey fix, that would do it. https://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-41095824-4
  8. [trigger warning: this will make you mad, one way or another, and it's too heavy of a post for the "Around the NHL" thread] My .02. Gary Bettman is a coward and a liar, who held bias at a critical moment when courage and objectivity was needed, damaging the sport and effectively making him a cheat. I will hate him until he admits and apologizes for "No Goal," which I do not expect he will ever do. I will never forget Jim Kelley's recollection of his experience that night. An excerpt: The fallout of that night stretched on for months, if not years. Bettman's character was exposed in the weeks after that night. From a Jim Kelley article: Bob Swados intimated in his book that Bettman, driven by television ratings, never wanted the Sabres to win that series. A published review of that book: The closest Gary Bettman ever got to apologizing was in 2012, on an episode of "Costas Tonight," when he admitted that the rule (but not the incident) was one of the worst mistakes of his career. Some say that the league assuming control of the franchise operation after the Rigases until finding a new owner was Gary Bettman's penance for No Goal, but I think it was his penance for John Spano, the would-be Islanders owner who swindled Bettman just five years before. Just as in Long Island, Bettman needed to find an owner that would revitalize the Sabres and he personally needed to oversee a heightened level of due diligence investigation into potential buyers to avoid another Spano- especially with the mess left by the Rigases and the money owed to Adelphia. This was mostly to protect his own employment and to protect the league from massive financial loss. To do otherwise would have resulted in enormous disaster as a lose-lose-lose for the fans, the league, and his career. And he still bungled it somewhat. The league turned down Golisano's initial bid, then entertained Mark Hamister's bid that needed $40M in public funds, only for those funds to be rejected, causing Hamister's creditors to pull out, and Golisano successfully submitting a revised lower, but realistic, bid. Golisano protected the Sabres. Bettman protected the league. Some other fan bases have rational reasons to hate Gary Bettman too, and I support them. He's been booed since the '94 lockout. I've booed him several times. In the recent years, he seems to revel in the booing, like a cartoon supervillain gloating about his misdoings.
  9. Some WOWY with Jeff, Jack, and Sam. Short version, in terms of CF%: When the three of them are together, they are great. Almost unstoppable. Eichel benefits from having either Skinner or Reinhart (benefit is mutual). When Reinhart or Skinner play without Eichel or eachother, they basically play as good as the rest of the team does without Eichel on the ice. This is subpar and needs improvement. When Reinhart and Skinner played together without Eichel, it was atrocious. The sample size was smaller here, but it was still measurably bad. I don't know what positions were played when this occurred.
  10. The agreement today freezes the cap for the next two years and includes no amnesty buyouts. Teams that are cap-strained and signed recent long-term contracts with the expectation of future cap growth/relief may feel an additional crunch.
  11. I knew I was forgetting someone.
  12. It's so easy, it's almost as if, if it didn't eventually happen, there would have to be a good reason for it not to have occurred. I mean, it's such a slam dunk, there's no possible way he doesn't get added to the front office, unless there was a bulletproof reason why it doesn't happen. I mean, you'd have to be such a god damned moronic idiot that you drool and eat wings with ranch to NOT do it, that if you DIDN'T do it, there was probably a reasonable explanation for not doing it. I mean, you'd have to know that hiring him would likely bring about the 2nd coming of Jesus, Grand Unification Theory, and a cure for the Rona that also solves homelessness, wherein, if you DIDN'T hire him, you had good confidence that you knew what you were doing.
  13. Apologies. The bulk of that question was really for the other poster, and wasn't intended to admonish your efforts. I tagged you to gather your opinion about how you might expect an official source to answer a question they don't want to answer, be it during the middle of an internal confidential personnel decision process or a potential "no truthful answer will make for good PR" situation. This isn't criticism of the the act of asking the question or the question itself; hard questions are paramount to journalism.
  14. Ryan Smyth Joe Sakic Joe Pavelski Patrik Elias Martin St Louis All leaders. All hard working. All exceptional skill or exceptional ability to outwork. All outstanding members of the community. Honorable mentions: Chris Pronger dominated during his time, but he was an ***** on and off the ice. Mark Messier calling the series in '94 was legend. Patrick Kane's skills may be world best.
  15. At the very least, it saves on JetA for XSR960. But grit and a mean streak are useful qualities in players, maybe even coaching staff or a player mentality/culture. Not sure you want a mean streak in the front office environment. Passion, hard work, dedication, and history are quite important, however. They'll find the right fit.
  16. ***** yes. Enough with the short-term money grubbing. Get the best players onto the best world stage for sport. Grow the game.
  17. We're not in 100% agreement on the premise, but I agree 100% with the conclusions. Cozens is NHL ready and, based on NHL Equivalency, and has more NHL potential this season than Casey MIttelstadt.. Ideally, our roster needs to be improved so that Cozens will not have to be the 2C. He needs sheltered time -time against manageable quality of competition and good offensive zone starts- with quality veteran support on the wings. And because we have some options with him, he'll need to continue to work hard to demonstrate he's ready for the NHL.
  18. When Ron Francis left after the ownership change in CAR, Don Waddell moved from team president to team team president and GM in 2018, and his first move was to hire longtime friend Rick Dudley as Sr VP of Hockey Operations. Duds' contract with CAR was up today. Dudley has done just about every job in hockey. He's also worked with just about every NHL team in the league at some point or another. He's a wealth of knowledge. His resume is borderline silly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rick_Dudley; https://www.eliteprospects.com/staff/1265/rick-dudley He's also self-admitted to be a very intense personality. Knowing that Krueger, the Pegulas, and potentially Adams, highly value trust, honesty, communication skills, and interpersonal skills, they should definitely be talking with Dudley to see how the fit is. He has hockey knowledge that'd definitely be useful for Adams and Krueger, but everyone needs to be on the same page with regard to vision and communication in order for his hire to benefit the organization. Who else with that level of hockey knowledge is floating around out there that's not already retired? Jacque Demers, John Muckler, and Scotty Bowman are all retired. Craig Patrick has come and gone (he's a scout with PIT now). I sifted through the list of recent former GMs and pulled names. Of the those that are not currently NHL-employed, not many, if any, of them seem like good fits: Burke, Chiarelli, Howson, Nieuwendyk, Rowe, Gauthier, Pleau, Gillis. Dudley may be the best bet.
  19. Public schools sometimes have large parking lots in ok condition if they have buses. Usually no cars on weekends or after hours, or, now being COVID/summer, maybe anytime.
  20. Somewhere, the NHL has written -but not publicly revealed- a contingency plan with no postseason in 2020. And if they stray from the current announced plan, which requires a postseason be played, they will have to decide on a different plan that determines how the 1st overall is awarded. It's shady AF to make a mid-course change to the plan once Phase I of the lottery has been completed.. I wonder if the Winnipeg Jets are screaming behind closed doors, lobbying the NHL about what they think the contingency plan should be. Phase II of the draft lottery has them split the odds of winning 1st overall (12.5%). But they finished the regular season as "Team E," who won the Phase I lottery for 1st overall. I wonder if the teams in the qualifier round but outside regular season finishers Teams A through H are arguing for extended even odds (6.25%) to all 16 qualifying round teams upon postseason cancellation.
  21. Gotta believe this has no impact on the cap. Escrow is only a mechanic on how players get paid and how much real salary they earn, not how much the cap salaries count against the cap. Giving players the option to defer is smart- they could pay in a lesser percentage of real salary into escrow next year, and, depending on how it's worded, the payout might be better next year because hockey related revenue will damn sure be higher than this year. It's good for owners/franchises as well, as it might delay a chunk of real payroll until next year with better team incomes. Depending on specifics, could be a win-win. On general labor peace: I think both the league and PA are aware of the consequences if a) the league revenue gets hurt by COVID long term, b) a lockout flubs the Seattle expansion and related revenue, and/or c) the lockout undercuts the TV contract negotiations and revenue. It's good to see them work together, even if it's dolla dolla bill y'all.
  22. Yep. Britt and Jess are good friends of mine; high quality people. Not sure if I've ran into Tim yet (we have three teams and obv haven't played or gathered in a while).
  23. Nice. I helped get Madison started in their first years, played with Chicago and Minneapolis here and there, and now play for LA. I've heard nothing but great things from teammates about NY and the Chelsea Challenge. We might have some mutual friends.
  24. Knowing we had a majority chance (53.6%) of moving down 1, 2, or 3 spots, I am also glad we only moved down 1. This play-in loser gets first overall is bad, and the NHL should feel bad. It incentivizes teams to bail out of the first round. The odds are now 12.5% for the 1st overall pick, which in a recent year, would be the 1st overall lottery odds for somewhere between the 2nd and 3rd last point finisher. To move from from 9th-16th overall (0.37-0.30) to 1st overall (1.00) is basically worth three picks from that range according to NHL pick values: https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/analyzing-value-nhl-draft-picks/ You can't convince me that of 16 middling teams, not a single one doesn't want a 12.5% chance to triple their pick value and grab Lafrennierrenene. And how many of the bottom eight teams will suddenly lobby to cancel the season? Will the NHL adjust to 16 teams? The NHL ***** the bed and now they have to sleep in it. Boo to the architects that created this mess and boo to the owners that approved this shoddy plan.
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