Jump to content

IKnowPhysics

Members
  • Posts

    7,302
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by IKnowPhysics

  1. Well, he's not listening then. Nothing new.
  2. This this this this this. Propellantless thrusters with regard to spaceflight are generally thought of by scientists to be on the same plane as cold fusion with regard to commercial energy production. I don't have the time or energy to debunk all of the crackpot theories that exist, but for educational purposes, I'll instead point people towards a well-written blog entry from a while back that succintly details the Seven Warning Signs of Bogus Science. The first two are often the easiest to spot. For #1, if the information isn't presented in a peer-reviewed journal, or if one isn't linked to in a press-release or news article, that should be an enormous red flag. For #2, that's usually the big sign of the conspiracy theory crackpot ######. The others can be more subtle, depending on the scientific literacy of the reader, but understanding #1 and #2 is a great start for most readers. As for the EMDrive, a wiki entry on the device has been around for a while:
  3. "We're all told at some point that we can no longer troll online about the children's game, we just don't... don't know when that's gonna be. Some of us are told at eighteen, some of us are told at forty, but we're all told." -Moneyballs
  4. They just need to hire EA Sports to record his voice for computer generated sequences like Jim Hughson, et al. Then, using the new puck microchips or FoxTrax or whatever, just have Robo-Rick call the game. Have Rick record all the individually pronounced syllables, so Robo-Rick can generate new player names in the future too.
  5. Right in the link: Bmwolf21.
  6. I don't mind the black and red jerseys from the goathead era. They were a good jersey in a time when weird 90's styling was creeping into NHL jerseys. If there's a downside to those for me, it's not the logo, it's the poor trend of removing color from jerseys and and heading to black/white/red that so may teams did. So much black/white in those days. And that's the reason I like the third from that era- the red was a flash of color in an otherwise dreary NHL jersey landscape. In hindsight, I think these jerseys take a little extra flak because they were also the Adelphia corporate colors, but they still hold their place as the uniform of an amazing few years in the franchise. My favorites, though, are the classic home and away and the present home and away. For the classics, they're the genesis of the brand of Buffalo NHL hockey, plus the six-stripe socks were the . They did evolve from 1970-1995 in small ways. The final iteration had lots of great elements was elegant. The modern era isn't perfect -maybe the blue's a little dark and maybe the grey is pointless- but they're a great modern look at the beloved classics. They're the jersey we had really been waiting for after so many years of weird sluggy Reebok-designed dog crap. They're better than a lot of jerseys in the league. The turdburger's the worst for me. It's a trainwreck of questionable and risky design elements. A mostly-gold jersey would have been much, much better with a simpler, classier approach. It'll forever be associated with the worst years of Buffalo hockey. Also terrible is the slug, especially the road white. It came about from ownership accepting the fans suggestion that the franchise return to blue and gold, but then absolutely failing the design phase- opting to go with new Reebok fancy design instead of returning to an elegant classic. The designer of the slug logo has since publicly acknowledged the fact he up. Those terrible jerseys might not have been as terrible if they were centered with the present day logo.
  7. PM me with things you've worked on and things you'd like to work on.
  8. You're welcome. That's the fun part about analytics: it doesn't care about any of this. Player X scores Y PPG then goes to the NHL and scores (Y PPG x 82 x NHLe factor). Ain't no Z age. Ain't no W height. Ain't no R fatass. It's predictive, and there are limits, but the player could be scoring two points per game in juniors while shitting his diaper, and the math wouldn't care.
  9. Johnny Gaudreau posted 80 points in his 40 game junior season with BC. His NHLe based on that season was 67 points. He scored 64 points in his 80 game rookie year for Calgary (82 game equivalent would have been 65.6 points).
  10. That amateur blog reads like bad breakup poetry.
  11. I get the impression Eichel's physically stronger on and off the puck.
  12. But with, you know, Sabres colors.
  13. Lulz. Even after making my avatar, I still can't get enough of that vine.
  14. And that player was Grayne Wetzky,
  15. And then two weeks later, when they lose against another Canadian team, all the defeat ____tions.
  16. Yeah, he got ###### on. Also reminds me of Will Forte on Conan as the Buffalo-riding Ted Turner: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHZuIETVEIo
  17. I had heard that too. I'm enamored by the one-two-three punch of Eichel-Reinhart-Girgensons. Great two way ability. Could be like having three Joe Pavelski's of varying bullishness. I think I missed all this. I just decided to jump in with an NHLe update without knowing I was being summoned. Apologies, I stealth linked it twice up there somewhere. Here it is explicitly: The first post is here: http://forums.sabrespace.com/topic/22787-current-carrion-hockey-league-standings/?p=644457 The meaty post with the corrected NHLe method is here: http://forums.sabrespace.com/topic/22787-current-carrion-hockey-league-standings/page-52?do=findComment&comment=644774 The mathy explainies is here: http://forums.sabrespace.com/topic/22787-current-carrion-hockey-league-standings/?p=644781 The short version: NHLe averages all players that make the jump from juniors/college/AHL to NHL, but the top draft choices -the best prospects- perform better than that average. It's likely due to a) being better, b) getting better opportunities, linemates, and more ice time, and c) better situational usage for scoring points. The normal NHLe doesn't accurately account for the abnormally elite prospects' rookie years. But if you check back on that link, I proposed a way to correct for that, looking at the history of each of the top five draft picks taken since Crosby. In subsequent posts in that thread, I explained how I came about it and posted some raw data for the interested. If you have any questions, let me know. The method is a little ham-handed compared to some fancy stats, but it does seem to work reasonably well, at least for our fun consideration.
  18. Sabres blueline in two years. All day, erry day.
  19. MacKinnon's NHLe was 40 points before he knocked in 63. The corrected NHLe would have been 61 points. His point totals also regressed in juniors this past year, down to 1.38PPG. Not sure what's up. But he does have 2 points in 1 AHL game. So he's got that going for him, which is nice. I think he will, as long as he earns his quality opportunities and usage.
  20. Looking at his last two years, Reinhart's NHLe is 37 points, but the corrected NHLe is up around 48 points.
  21. Take note, I made a math error: Eichel's new NHLe is 60 points, still behind McDavid at 61. I used an NHLe of 0.44 (AHL) instead of 0.41 (NCAA) for Eichel. My bad. The corrected NHLe for Eichel is 66-77, with a zany high ceiling of 92 points.
  22. Well, we can look at player comparisons to see what's possible in terms of comparing the rest of the team or league. Examples: Crosby finished his rookie campaign with 102 points, good for sixth in the league (that was the year Thornton and Jagr pulled away from the pack with 125 and 123 points). Crosby led all other penguins by at least 44 points (Gonchar, Recchi, LeClair were next highest with 58, 57, 51). So that's possible. The same year, Ovechkin finished ahead of Crosby with 106 points, good for third in the league (behind the aforementioned). The next best Capitals were Zubrus, Halpern, and Willsie with 57, 44, and 41 points. Also impressive. Patrick Kane finished with 72 points in 82 games, which put him at 32nd in the league in scoring, but it made him the Blackhawks point leader ahead of Sharp, Toews, and Lang with 62, 54, and 54. Stamkos finished with 46 points, mostly playing second line minutes behind Lecavalier. His sophmore year he would rocket up to 95 points (5th in the league) with Vinny gone. It's unlikely that a rookie takes the scoring title, IMO, especially with the overall downturn in points lately. But these kids are good, and their comparables and stats say it's possible that they could both land top 20 in scoring as rookies. If top 20 is the bar, that'd be a 70+ point rookie season according to this year, which is certainly within the realm of possibility based on the corrected NHLe.
×
×
  • Create New...