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Everything posted by PerreaultForever
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O'Reilly is an interesting comparison for obvious reasons but there's 2 big differences. One, he's near the end of this contract and has a proven track record of consistency and two, he's a 2 way center paid for his defensive prowess as well as his scoring stats. Tage has one season of solid offensive numbers. He MAY live up to this contract, but after Skinner, I guess I'm just reluctant to pay anybody after one good season.
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So what you're saying is the comparables I listed are underpaid? I'm not really following the logic. Sam Reinhart puts up 82 points, he makes 6.5 million. Factoring in a small Florida tax discount it's a comparable salary so why doesn't Tage have to put up comparable points for those deals to have equal value?
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So basically Tage has to match the performance(s) of players like Landeskog, Connor, Barzal, Nylander, Reinhart (maybe skip that one) and such for this to be good value. Is that a fair statement? If he's about a point a game guy it's a win but if it's less, how much less determines how much he's overpaid. Reasonable? Unless of course he brings new intangibles like he beats up thugs from the other team or something. Value you can't really measure statistically. We shall see.
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I'd give them Rosen straight up. If they'd take it. Either that or picks down the road (not next year).
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Because he's a consistent performer and a character guy. He's basically putting up a point a game and that will almost definitely continue so fans in Vancouver are happy he's staying. Having said that, with his age, they might regret the term if he drops off after a few years. Tage's contract will be a great deal IF (and it's a big IF) he continues to produce at the same level as this past year but the question mark, as you well know, is because it's based on only 1 year of that type of production so it is a gamble. Calculated, and possibly a good one, but still a gamble.
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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #37 Casey Mittelstadt
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I "expect" him to do very well, or it's off to Rochester for the rest of his career as far as I'm concerned. It's time for him to show or go. What will he do? I have no idea. I still have my doubts on his work ethic, durability, effort and commitment level. Very happy if he puts those to rest this year. -
At his age it's going to be much easier for him to pull a groin or wrench a knee or have more trouble recovering from a puck to the mask or other concussion type injury. Past injuries will also be weak spots. Unless Comrie can somehow carry a huge load, and play well enough in that role, goaltending will be the achilles heal again.
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I think he's definitely better than Bryson and in the right system with the right coach I think he still has upside and more potential than Bryson. Long term you'd want to pair him with a shut down guy but imo he'd make us better. It sounds like he has issues with Gallant and maybe Gallant's hard ass approach so he'd probably respond well to Granato.
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I'd say that's fair, but what if you could get him for picks or prospects? If you could do that, he would make us a better team than we are. I'd certainly pick up the phone and ask the price.
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Anderson getting injured at some point is a more than likely scenario.
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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #29 Vinnie Hinostroza
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I'm hoping it's the third one. Not because of his poor play, but rather because the youngsters are just better. That's the hope I'm sure many of you share. -
I have zero issues with this. He's still young and can still become much better than he's been. Never forget, goalies are weird.
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Next Contracts: Cozens, Asplund, Samuelsson?
PerreaultForever replied to sweetlou's topic in The Aud Club
Ya, there's question marks on all of them so I totally agree with this. None of these three have proven themselves just yet. -
Contrary to what some people think I do not have a problem with the use of all these analytics and correlating all this data. Computers and programmers have revolutionized what can be done and you need to incorporate that into the mix. There is no way to humanly scout everything in person to the extent that these people can amass data. So you use it, and the Sabres definitely seem to have recognized that but other things still matter too. I'm not going to talk about Murray, he was simply a bad GM. In fairness to the argument though weren't Nylander's analytics good? He was fast, a good skater, scored at the junior level. I don't remember the analysis, I probably never looked at it, but I think analytical people had him ranked high. Similarly, JBot's picks were not all terrible and he seems to have combined other things in his decisions. I still believe in Cozens and think he was a good pick and his character definitely elevated him above his numbers. If I remember correctly analytics people thought Samuelsson was picked too high. He was supposed to not be a good enough skater and had flaws in his game that made the pick a reach in their minds. But he also had a work ethic and as we see, he's developing quite nicely. A good pick, so sometimes bloodlines work out and sometimes they don't. Is the current Sabres methodology good? Seems fine, but time will tell. I simply hope they haven't gone TOO far into the analytics and are not paying enough attention to personality, body type, character and so forth. A pick like Rosen makes me wonder about that. A pick like Kulich makes me think we're okay.
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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #28 Zemgus Girgensons
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
Overpaid for a 4th liner but he is what he is and will stay what he is. Until the trade deadline. -
I'm thinking the league looked at the time they had the break and figured out it works. I think the players love it. If you're not in the tournament you get a nice little mid season vacation. The league probably also sees it as a time for injured players to heal and then after the tournament is that more intense run towards the playoffs. They get more people interested in hockey with the tournament and can keep marketing during the break. and obviously, it's just more revenue.
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Wonder if they'll have Russians back in it by then?
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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #25 Owen Power
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I'm not saying like Dahlin on a day to day basis, just in that way rookies can have bad stretches. Power plays a completely different style. -
Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #25 Owen Power
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I'm not saying he will be awful all the time, but as a kid I expect him to have ups and downs and there will be games where he completely comes apart, much like Dahlin did. The question will be does he learn and bounce back quickly or does he lose confidence and fall into long ruts. -
Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #25 Owen Power
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I think he will get quite a few points because I think they will do that learn on the go thing and give him lots of ice time. He will however, also make a lot of defensive mistakes and be a minus player. -
Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #20 Lawrence Pilut
PerreaultForever replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
I didn't think he was any good before. I doubt he's gotten any better and the competition is stiffer this time around. He's below Fitzgerald imo. -
Multiple Goat Heads For Jerseys in 2022-23 Season?
PerreaultForever replied to Brawndo's topic in The Aud Club
I'm good with this. I just wish the comb over/slug would be burned, buried, and never spoken of again. -
I think, in time, Power will be better than Dahlin. How good he will actually be is hard to say. We may need a lot of money for those 2 to both stay Sabres, but that might be a nice thing to happen all the same. The price for big minute D men is definitely rising. Look at Tampa. They get slight discounts for tax reasons but Sergachev now makes more than Hedman. Hedman's a total bargain at 8 million by today's signings. 16 million for the two of them though. At this moment Power and Dahlin are not as good as those two obviously so paying them more than that would be ridiculous. Boston has total faith in McAvoy and locked him up at 9.5 which might be a bargain by the tail end of it. With Lindholm at 6.5 that's another top pairing at 16 million for the two of them. Colorado gave Makar 9 million. If Power is as good as Makar (wouldn't that be great!!!!) Maybe that's the true measuring point. Less or more than that depending on how he compares. I doubt they jump the gun though. They will play this out and only reward players after they are sure they have the real deal.
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So it still depends on how well he plays. If he develops as fast as some of those above he too will get his 10 million and term in a few years. If he doesn't and has ups and downs there might be a bridge deal or shorter term lesser dollar contract. We just don't know.