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Thorny

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Everything posted by Thorny

  1. It’s not semantics, it’s just raw data. If you meant real-time points, they are 7 back from a tie with Tampa for WC2. Ticky tack? Sure, but it would feel disingenuous to undersell the gap even by a little when in reality the amount of teams we need to leapfrog is the main issue, and “only 6 points back” has a connotation that completely ignores that so…7 points. A better analysis anyways would be to take into account games played and look at actual points percentage, so if you meant that, in reality we are chasing NJ and they are 5 up with 3 in hand so in essence, 8 points up. It’s certainly not semantics. But maybe you deem the difference between 6 points and 7 or 8 irrelevant. Fair game. But I wouldn’t, considering it’s the exact gap we missed the playoffs by last year
  2. It benefits the Islanders, but there’s also something to be said for intentionally tailoring the build of your team to the format. They are in the business of achieving results after all
  3. Quinn is a big part of it. But like you alluded to, there are other big parts at play, too. That’s sort of the point: there’s almost always multiple variables, and in fact, after so much experience watching saviours fail, you’d think people would be fully on board with the fact it usually *requires* multiple variables to get anything done. There’s no magic formula, they’re a Quiga board. There are always a multitude of things pulling in any given direction when the team amounts to a win or a loss. Or an extended stretch of such.
  4. Don’t forget the schedule
  5. And don’t forget the issues that often arise with drawing such a strong causation from a small sample size. Samuelsson playing last year was apparently the simple key to success
  6. 8 loser points would get us to 96 points and a likely berth. There are 8 five-game segments left, so if we go 3-1-1 every group of 5 games we’d likely make the playoffs but not for sure. 3-1-1 per 5 the rest of the way is a 115 point pace And a .700 points %
  7. …even after which we’d need to play at a 109 point pace over final 36 to hit 94 points. It’s possible, don’t mean to be the bearer of (obvious, I’m sorry) bad news, but the math is a little more daunting than some are letting on. Another thing to keep in mind is that even math isn’t free of unconscious bias: you have to remember that if you are penciling in a 3 game win streak, that means you aren’t pencilling in a 4 game win streak, meaning you have us losing that next game. Because we need to factor that in, we’d actually be at 46 points after 47 games: which actually would need us to play at a 112 point pace after that streak and the game that ends it Otherwise, if you want math better than that, for the final 35, we actually need a *4* game win streak (or at least to lose that 4th one in OT) That the team needs to streak is only half of it, that’s the part that sometimes falls by the wayside. It’s the fact that even after you make up ground, the rest of your games have to statistically reflect the streak more so than the bulk: and that’s very mathematically unlikely. Combined with the multitude of teams you need to leapfrog in the process, it’s why you get playoff odds calculated at like 6% when you are “seemingly only” 3/4 games “out”
  8. Good is relative and we played Ottawa so. You do the math
  9. Increasingly incensed I guess, but this board is full of posters who realized exactly what we’d miss by not replacing him but overall, there’s no denying Quinn a represents a huge advantage for us going forward. Good player will, imo, be out best F
  10. Is this AI? The opinions on this account seem to 180 daily. Actually asking
  11. You make a good point I hadn’t considered..
  12. Broke: Brady T. Woke: T. Brady
  13. Good crowd here, prob a sell out
  14. Maybe the turn around starts today. As good a time as any. Go Sabres.
  15. Haha We want guys who want to be here
  16. Marek did say the classic Sabres logo was among the best all time in all of sports and he’s definitely right
  17. I love hockey primarily because I love the Sabres. It’s fun to watch the occasional game but the true passion for the product, the best memories, the reason when it comes down to it that I watch at all.. it all comes back to my rooting interest in the Buffalo Sabres, rather than specifically being enamoured by the game itself. And I’m not from Buffalo. Have never even been, so not a local team thing
  18. There’s a better embedded version
  19. Just hit play I would highly recommend watching and listening closely from :20 to 1:00
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