woods-racer
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Posts posted by woods-racer
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Really have my doubts a fourth rounder will make it. What is nice, is the Sabres PR team makes sure that they get their social media presence out there in a very positive light for the team and their prospects. Has to feel great to him and his parents/siblings/friends that he is on the *big club's* social media pages.
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*Haven’t had a player in the system like him since Carrier. He’s 200 feet of banging with NHL hands.*
Hope the person that made this comment is a very truthful and a knowledgeable fan. I forgot all about him myself.
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7 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said:
Rust is a pt a game player 2 of the last 3 years. I guess this maxes VO’s contract at 5 for 5?
<PRE>
Per Per Per Per
Player Tm Pos From To Active GP S% TOI G A PTS S
Victor Olofsson BUF RW 2018 2022 4 188 12.5 3182 0.29 0.38 0.68 2.35
Bryan Rust PIT RW 2014 2022 8 424 12.9 7028 0.29 0.34 0.64 2.27
</PRE>Provided by <a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/sharing.html?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=Share&utm_campaign=ShareTool">Stathead.com</a>: <a href="https://stathead.com/hockey/pcomp_finder.cgi?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=Share&utm_campaign=ShareTool">View Stathead Tool Used</a><br>Generated 5/22/2022.
The bolded are per game. Goals, assists, points, shots. Per Stathead hockey.
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50 minutes ago, Buffano DeBoom said:
Those goalies look ridiculous with all that gear and tiny goal. What happened to the lean era of helmet chest protector cup & big cross?
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12 hours ago, Porous Five Hole said:
Crazy stat: Bowness has coached more NHL games than anyone else in league history, either as an assistant or as a head coach.
From Garret Morris.
Hockey ben berry berry good to him.
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2 hours ago, Indabuff said:
Protruding?
Some of us have problems that others are jealous of...
just saying...
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Wasn't there an episode on the Brady Bunch Eichel can relate to????
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*Mitch's Range Rover is highly sought after by people in the #Toronto area because it's unique. It has no cup holders.*
Best comment on that story.
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3 hours ago, bob_sauve28 said:
If I were the Leafs Id try and do an Eichel like trade and get a lot in return. But only two years left makes that harder
Malkin is a shell of his former self. Letang had got some serious game left.
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1 hour ago, Taro T said:
Surprised nobody's mentioned the guy that scored the most famous goal in Sabre history.
Butt goal?
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2 hours ago, nfreeman said:
Now that would be an all-time top-5 Sabrespace schizophrenia situation.
Only for you mods the rest of us would be...
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I love coming in here and finding my complete distain for the Leaf fans and being happy in their misery to be a natural and healthy thought process.
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Just now, Eleven said:
What in the world is going on in here?
It appears JW has brought out GoDD reminiscing. Coincidence? Cause and effect? We're all goofy?
All of the above?
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I hope GoDD is doing well. He made the MODS lives interesting. But, most of the time a very thought provoking poster. It was the rest of the time....
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30 minutes ago, nucci said:
Just a joke
I quit watching the game, I couldn't take it.
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21 minutes ago, Carmel Corn said:
You're all over the place. All I was saying was that JBOT was not a very good judge of talent when it came to the NHL draft.
He was slightly above average. If you look at his two draft classes he hit on some nice second round and later picks. Pekar, Johnson and Portillo are progressing quite nicely. Huglen is getting some attention now.
Bad was Tim Murray.
Darcy had better odds of hitting on picks without a scouting staff than Tim.
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14 hours ago, Eleven said:
That Rags game was annoying. Did Pittsburgh actually commit *real* penalties in the third period of an elimination game, on the road, in NYC?
I missed a lot of it due to phone calls associated with a family situation, but it seemed like every time I went back to the TV, the Rags were on a power play in the third.
Why is the ice green? I think you need to put your keyboard in C rather than in B-flat.
It was the worst officiated game that I have watched during these playoffs.
Malkin gets tripped, falls down the Ranger player falls on him then cross checks Malkin in the back of the head so his head hits the ice. That was a penalty on Malkin and not the Ranger player.
During that same play another Ranger player comes into that (third man in) so Guentzel comes in and grabs the third man in and pulls him off. No face washing or stick work just a simple hug off that we have all seen a thousand times before. Penalty on Guentzel, no Ranger penalty.
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3 hours ago, JujuFish said:
It's like you're aware of Gambler's Fallacy and you're overcorrecting. The odds don't change between plays, but if you buy 10 tickets right now, for 10 consecutive lottery wins, your odds of winning at least one of them are significantly greater than 1 in 300 million.
Are you saying that if I buy a lottery ticket for each of the next 10 weekly lotteries and I pick the same numbers for each lottery event and that the longer I do this the greater chances I have to win?
1 hour ago, kas23 said:Let’s use an extreme example. Suppose you have 2 people. Person 1 plays the lottery only once and has an odds of winning 1 in 300M. Now, suppose Person 2 lives for over 900M years (or better yet, has an infinite lifespan) and plays the same lottery once per day for their whole life. Person 2 does not have the same odds of winning over their lifespan (that’s the key here) than person 1.
The odds of a previous lottery winner winning again with the same set of numbers are the same as the odds of a person that has never one with every lottery played.
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10 minutes ago, Curt said:
So if I play the lottery 10,000 in my life, the probability of me winning a lottery drawing are no greater than someone who played the lottery only once in their life? I haven’t read the book, but I disagree.
In this case, it’s not even like playing an entirely new lottery a second time. It’s one lottery in which two winning numbers are drawn. In a lottery with two winners drawn, there is a greeting chance of winning than in the same lottery with only one winner drawn.
Lets not throw all common sense out the window.
Exactly. That is randomness.
Your are dealing with numbered balls popping up into a tube. Randomness. You can't put a linear equation into that and say that randomness will adhere to it.
You are saying that if your odds are 5% if you play the lottery 100 times you will win 5 of them. It's not how randomness works.
You can play it a 1000 times and not win, then win the next 10 in a row. Each time your odds of winning will be 5%.
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Speaking of gambling....
Anyone watch the most crooked rigged sport in the world yesterday?
Quite the finish for the 12th race at the Churchill Downs yesterday wasn't it?
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12 minutes ago, Wyldnwoody44 said:
I'm still bitter about all things Lucic 😜
I am quite surprised for as long as he has been in the league and the heavy game he plays how effective he is at his age.
Evgeni Malkin with the Penguins does not seem to have it anymore. He has not looked good in the series with the Rangers.
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21 minutes ago, Curt said:
The odds remain the same each time, but of course increasing the number of times that you play increases the chances that you win.
With the league drawing two lottery winners, the Sabres have a greater chance of winning a lottery draw than if there was only one drawing, and they have a lesser chance of winning than they would if the league was still drawing three lottery winners.
That's what the book discusses in great detail. It's not true. The odds remain the same, but you can't win unless you play.
Edit.
In the case of the Sabres and the NHL the second lottery is effected by taking one team off of the Lottery draw as explained by TaroT. He then states the given odds for the second lottery.
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In the simplest of terms..
If I play the Mega Millions lottery and the draw is once a week the odds of the lottery are 300 million to one for me this week.
If I play again next week, the odds are still 300 million to one for me again.
If I play once a week every week for 10 years, in 10 years the odds are still 300 million to one when I play.
Increasing the number of times I play does not increase the chances I win, but the only way to win is to play.
The odds are still the same odds no mater how many times you play, there is no increase in the probability of winning because you play more. It doesn't sound logical, but Mlodinow explains why.
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1 hour ago, JujuFish said:
I don't know what the numbers are, but if it's 5% in the first draw and ~5.4% in the second draw, then Buffalo's odds of winning one of the two draws is 10.13%.
On 5/6/2022 at 2:41 PM, woods-racer said:@SDS turned me on to a book a few years back called A Drunkards' Walk-How Randomness Rules Our Lives.
Talks all about math-probabilities-statistics and how swayed they are or can be. Quite eye opening.
Read it. You'll understand why it doesn't work that way.
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Around the NHL 2021-22
in The Aud Club
Posted · Edited by woods-racer
Rust vs Olofsson past three seasons.
<PRE>
Scor Scor Scor Goal Goal Goal Assi Assi Assi Shots Shot Shot Ice Ice
Season Age Tm GP G A PTS +/- PIM EV PP SH EV PP SH S S% TSA TOI ATOI
2019-20 27 PIT 55 27 29 56 14 30 18 8 1 19 9 1 151 17.9 244 1087 19:46
2020-21 28 PIT 56 22 20 42 9 18 16 6 0 15 5 0 154 14.3 258 1105 19:43
2021-22 29 PIT 60 24 34 58 7 14 15 9 0 22 12 0 180 13.3 302 1126 18:46 Total 170 73 83 156
2019-20 24 BUF 54 20 22 42 -1 6 9 11 0 16 6 0 127 15.7 228 993 18:23
2020-21 25 BUF 56 13 19 32 -23 6 6 7 0 11 8 0 129 10.1 228 974 17:24
2021-22 26 BUF 72 20 29 49 -16 6 13 7 0 23 5 1 164 12.2 293 1108 15:23
Total 182 53 70 123
GP Goals Assist PTS
Difference for Victor +12 -20 -13 -33
If Rust is being used as a comparison for a contract those are some striking differences not in Victor's favor. Rust started slow in his career and has improved steadily. Still believe Rust's contract is a slight over payment also. I'm not going into intangibles because I believe Rust's and Olofsson's game are similar enough that it is a mute point.
There have been a number of calls on here for a contract of 4 years @4.5 for Olofsson. I still believe that is a slight over payment but it falls in line with the Rust's new contract.