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DarthEbriate

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Everything posted by DarthEbriate

  1. Gotta go fly on a plane. Hopefully when I land, the Sabres are just about to, or have just closed out, a 4-goal victory. Enjoy the game, 'Spacers!
  2. Goatheads v. Mooterus. Make it happen. The League will fine you... so what? Entertain us!
  3. 1. I'm glad Muel is back in the lineup. 2. If Quinn is on the 2nd line with Cozens and anyone not named Tuch is on the top line with Skinner/TNT... I'm pretty convinced I'm already seeing the 2023-24 squad and Cozens/Quinn is the highest TOI at 5-on-5 and is the 1st line.
  4. The lack of ELC defensemen in Rochester is mostly on JBott at this time. Adams could have drafted a top European D instead of Savoie/Kulich/Rosen but they're in ROC as an underager which might be less likely than as a forward. His real lack of ROC contribution was his first draft in 2020 which had only 5 picks -- and 7th round Lyckasen is still in Europe. That's the draft we can argue should have a CHLer who is now in ROC. Adams could have traded for another team's top D prospect(s) in the Eichel or Reinhart deal, but opted for Krebs and Levi. He's also is very reluctant to give up draft capital and prospects at the moment. For JBott, you've got the 2019 and 2018 drafts that would primarily be stocking ROC with ELCs, but a 1 was traded for Montour, a 1 is still in the NCAA (Johnson), a 1 and 2 are on the Sabres top pair (Yay!) and a 3 was traded for Scandella who was later moved. Then... you get the bottom of 2018 draft with 3 European D-men. The issue there is JBott's refusal to draft in the CHL and diversify the stock. They might not be great but one of those picks might still be under team control in ROC. The bottom round European players may washout just as a CHLer/NCAAer might, but they also may simply elect not to come over and be an AHL-level player when they can stay home and play in SHL or Liiga. If JBott makes another pick for D in 2019 and a D CHLer in 2018 and sure, they're just JAGs, but they're Sabres JAGs who can be sent up and down without waivers. Unlike Fitz, Bryson, Pilut who can get plucked if another team is in an injury crisis. They may also provide diverse skill sets and sizes.
  5. Just a note that in the screenplay that has yet to be written, with Tuch Icewalker being the trade-son of Jackikin Eichwalker, TNT is currently some "Concept of" Tagebacca. It is TBD whether Skinner or Quinner is the Solo of the power trio.
  6. Fairly detailed article on The Athletic that uses GSVA (game score value add) to rank the top Norris contenders. https://theathletic.com/4289690/2023/03/09/nhl-norris-trophy-breakdown/ Firewall? Top 5 are all bunched together and covered in the article: Fox 3.8, Lindholm 3.8, Burns 3.8, Karlsson 3.7, Dahlin 3.7 Note the absentees who will garner some conversation: Hamilton (6th 3.4); Josi (7th 3.3); Makar (8th 3.2); McAvoy; Slavin; Morrissey Dahlin's case for: " Relative to teammates, it’s actually Dahlin who has had the largest impact of the five, allowing 0.35 fewer expected goals against per 60 and 0.4 fewer actual goals against per 60. His impact on goal differential is the closest to Karlsson’s (0.82 per 60 compared to Karlsson’s 0.96), but he does it at both ends of the ice. Dahlin has been on the ice for 57.8 percent of the goals, which isn’t completely far off from Fox or Burns. Dahlin’s expected goals percentage is 52.4 percent, the lowest of the five, but that may have more to do with the team around him than him. He also faces the toughest usage of anyone on this list." Dahlin's case against: PP/PK "Dahlin being part of an elite power play is a plus, but it also makes him a bit of a power-play merchant. That’s where 44 percent of his points come from... "...Dahlin has been on the ice for 11.9 goals-per-60 on the power play, but only 7.6 expected goals-per-60 which suggests he has some luck on his side in that regard, too. Dahlin also allows more chances while penalty killing than the other Norris contenders here. 5 on 5 D "... He has the best relative numbers, sure, but that’s compared to a very weak defensive team. Dahlin’s results are strong overall, but they’re not on the same level as the field here. Dahlin is not particularly strong defending the rush. He allows a carry on 62 percent of his targets, denies seven percent of entries and allows a scoring chance on 18 percent of his targets — all below league average. He’s also still a little risky when it comes to exiting the zone. Dahlin has a heavy workload there, but his 8.9 botched puck retrievals or failed exits per 60 is one of the lesser marks in the league."
  7. I want Levi to succeed. But I want that success to start with a 1-0 loss in which the puck that gets past him is deflected off his defenseman's skate. Northeastern is not invited to the Frozen Four tourney. He signs with Buffalo the next day. Buffalo sends UPL down to Rochester for "one day" to give Levi a game. Levi posts a shutout. Granato can't keep him out of the lineup. Levi goes 10-1-1 down the stretch with the Sabres and leads them into the playoffs. Then, I don't want to get too greedy after that. 16-3 in the playoffs. Maybe?
  8. I was hoping Quinn was going to start to look like this in the 2nd half of the season and become the Sabres ROY leader. Keep it going, Quinn!
  9. The Fasching goal was a kick. It's why the on-ice official waved it off instantly and emphatically. In real time, he saw the leg move forward. That's the kick. He doesn't have to swing at the puck or corral it and dribble it and then kick or do a Charlie Brown run-up. Fasching had to lift his blade off the ice and extend the leg forward in order to make contact with the puck. That's the distinct kicking motion. If he leaves his leg as is and just has it carom off him, the puck angles wide of the net. The only way you can overturn it is through slow motion replay and convince yourself that the movement wasn't enough, which is not how the rule is written. You could argue that in slow motion it's even more egregious because it become premeditated. Fasching sees the puck come off the ice and frees his hand from his stick to catch it. Then, he sees that the puck is dipping again and he won't be able to play it with his hand. And he has to move his leg independently of his slide in order to make contact with the puck. It's disappointing. And all that said... the Islanders were the vastly superior (and rested) team last night and earned their 2 points in the standings. It was a very bad trade. The Kings took Cernak with one of those picks (2015). The Sabres selected Brendan Guhle a handful of picks later. Roope Hintz and Jordan Greenway were picked in between them. In 2014 I'd have liked to be able to say the Sabres could've made a great pick had they kept it... but they took Jonas Johansson with the very next pick so that's who'd they'd have taken anyway. Merzlikins and Sorokin were the next goalies taken. GMTM liked his Swedish goalies.
  10. RJ yells, "Not out!" But this time there's a touch more desperation in his voice after the clearing attempt was intercepted at the blue line. The defenders are getting tired.
  11. Tough game. Playing a rested veteran grabby team on a back-to-back. What has changed? Now they need to win the games in hand.
  12. Lifted the skate off the ice to make contact with it. Gotta stick with the call on the ice.
  13. Apparently, the Sabres can shoot from the point and get tips and rebounds, too.
  14. The Isles are going to outshoot the Sabres by a dozen in this game simply by winning o-zone faceoffs directly to shots.
  15. The Isles have 15 PP and 5 SHG against this season... They're only +10 on the PP and only have 15 PPG. TNT has more than that by himself.
  16. Gah. If you break a stick you're getting the call. They're letting the other stuff "battle" stuff go. No high sticks and no over the glass. That's all that they'll call.
  17. The Isles are pushing. Sabres need to start moving their feet again.
  18. And Eichel needs to steal the puck from Reinhart, walk in and score the empty net insurance goal in regulation.
  19. We need to be worrying about this year. Never our minds on where we were. Hmm? What we were doing! Hmm!
  20. He was the original member! 7-6 OT W v. Ottawa Lydman - Tallinder Numminen - Kalinin Campbell - McKee (Fitzpatrick) 1-2 L v. Carolina Campbell - Lydman Janik - Fitzpatrick Jillson - Paetsch INJ: Numminen, Kalinin, McKee, Tallinder
  21. I expect there will be a lot of hand-wringing and name-calling amongst the fans next season when the Sabres score fewer goals... ...but play better defense and be a better team for it.
  22. The other part that opens eyes is a playoff appearance. The entire league is watching then. Quinn Hughes turned that 2020 expanded playoff into a showcase for everyone. Dahlin's hasn't had that yet. Wait until the world sees him control the ice for 28 minutes/game in a 7-game series. He'll be a Norris candidate for the next 10 years once that happens.
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