ska-T Palmtown

She really runs the spectrum for me ... As an entertainer and business person, she absolutely slays. (I think I used that correctly?). As a singer, she does not do it for me. Very middle of the road - which is obviously 1000 levels better than me, but on the radio - it is meh. Songwriter - two or three years ago, I pretty much dismissed her. (Not that she or any of her fans would care) - it felt to me like so many of her songs were just retreads of previous breakup or jilted lover songs. Her latest stuff, however, shows signs of evolving and has a good deal of lyrical interest. To me, at least.

If everyone but Buffalo plays 0.500 points % hockey from here out (not actually that big of a stretch when you look at how inconsistent all these teams have been), the Caps would top out the group at 90 points (for WC2 ... TB seems to be running away with WC1), lowering Buffalo's magic number to 20 instead of 22! Woo! Let's hear it for the mediocrity of the WC teams in the East!

So tonight we cheer for the BJs, Hurricanes, and ... NJ? Pitt? Anything but OT? (After being lazy, I looked - I think we cheer for NJ. If they win, they are still 1 pt behind us with same games played. Pitty, with a win, would be same points with a game in hand pending the outcome of our game.)

lol - you know he's clicking on the "you've been quoted" notice 🤣 No one ever stays away when they say they will.

Anyway, I have a 10pm (central) game myself - so odds are I don't get home in time to see much of the game. I look forward to all the Sabres goal memes from @Doohickie (hopefully none, or at least very few "welp!"s)

Haven't you learned that the Internet does not like nuance? lol. You cannot possibly think Adams did a bad job during the offseason, but also cheer for the team, AND also be willing to say that if they make the playoffs this year, that this year was a success (on at least some level). Preposterous! Heresy! You have said (I think, but go with me here) that Adams botched the goalie sitch this past offseason, so you are not allowed to be happy UPL/6k is doing well this year. This is how it works! /s

To me, little old me, I think there is HUGE gap between you, Mr. Thorns (and those of your general ilk) and those that I find insufferable. Yet, I don't begrudge The Insufferables their natural birthright and civil duty of bitching on the internet. I don't like living in bubbles/silos/echo chambers ... I really like knowing about, and attempting to understand, the point of view of others. I don't personally understand the point of just coming to the forums to constantly bad-mouth the team ... but again, those who chose to do so are free to do so and as long as it is well thought out, I probably read it. (lol, as if they care ...) 🤷‍♀️

It is in my nature to be generally positive. (As a very youngest child, I developed some excellent coping mechanisms which include finding the joy in little things) - but I can see how venting online to a group of people who have a far greater than average appreciation for this particular sports situation may be helpful to some people. In the last game thread I asked about the ignore feature - added a few people who did not add anything of value, to me, to the discussion and am quite happy about it. That said, I am the guy that says "Hey, if the other team hung 5 goals on us in period 1, nothing says we can't hang 5 on them in period 2." I don't say it here, cuz no one wants to hear it, lol. So, until the math says "nay" - I say "yay"!

asking for a friend ... where is the ignore feature again?

So, I did some initial simple math, got sad, and stopped: The Sabres have 15 games remaining; 3 outcomes per game means 3^15 possible scenarios ~=14.3M different W/L/OT combos. In only 46189 of those scenarios does Buffalo earn 24 or more points (93 pts total) ... that is 0.3% By contrast NYI earns at least 21 points in its remaining 17 games a whopping 26.2% of the time. (In a blast back to HS math, did anyone else realize there are 61880 ways for a team to go 12-3-2????? I had to look it up, it is factorials and all that fancy statistics math.) I would not even begin to imagine how to account for the 16 games the 6 teams in contention play against each other ... I am guessing it helps the Sabres somewhat by cutting out swaths of potential scenarios that cannot coexist.

I wanted to do the actual math - or at least run every possible point scenario for games that matter between now and the end and see in how many of those the Sabres make the playoffs ... alas, there are 1.33E+39 possible point scenarios just involving 6 teams 😞 Tomorrow alone has 324 different, 5 games with 3 each (although when any of teams play each other, there are 4) is 3^5. So, there are 82 games of interest, so 3^82 ... and that number is low because it does not do 4 for each head-to-head. I am guessing that either the professional folks use either full brute force and say in 3.2% of those 1.33 duodecillion (new word! how fun!) scenarios, Buffalo squeaks in? *or they have fancy probability models that look at other factors to greatly reduce the computing power needed. Maybe I will try the next two days, lol.

I was a smartass? That is generally all I am and all I do, so I must assume that is what it is 🙂 Edit: I had to look up 'recrimination' cuz I very much doubted myself and shocker I was wrong ... so despite my fear of now recrimination against you ... I don't think I recriminated in my post? I admitted to being lazy and was definitely snarky about a topic I thought the smart folks around here had already put to bed. I throw myself on the mercy of the court!

I legit don't know if I did something wrong here. 🤣😥🤷‍♀️

Too lazy to find one of the "Benson needs to be in the AHL next season" posts - but I thought we established he will still be too young next year (see: Savoie) and it is NHL or juniors for him. Am I misremembering? Do we need a thread with the title "Benson can only play in NHL or juniors next year" to keep it straight? lol

fashion is ... subjective? I mean, I never said everything about them was good 🙂

I was told he was the Good Vibes Captain?

and Gus came flying in ... I am actually glad we did not trade him.

LOL - always hated Roy when he played and he is still just a bitchy goalie behind the bench!

haha after I finished by borderline unhinged rant, I contemplated complaining about myself going off on a weird rant in response to a post from a week ago 🤣🤣 Hope the back feels better.

I know this was last week and it is probably a giant faux pas that will get me forever banned from the complaint thread - but this is such total and utter non-sensical silliness. I am pretty sure that the cranky old farts a generation ahead of me would have said the same things about my peers - my peers and I that ended up spending over a decade of our lives collectively shuffling in and out of the Middle East. I think the real problem is that older generations had/have lower emotional intelligence and thought it was some sort of effed up badge of honor to "grin and bear it" or "suck it up". Not too long ago it was commonly held that "men don't cry" and other toxic crap like that. I think it is great that the current crop of youngsters has no problem telling their elders when the are wrong, are behaving poorly, and generally have no clue. I see a genuine effort from them to avoid the mistakes of the past. Good for them.

I know he did not "get in trouble" for it - but again, this is the second time that idiot has made a Devils' player bleed from a hit to the head in the 10 games he has been in the league. I know there were caveats to the first one (guy had his head down or whatever) - but to me this incident does not seem to be a "first time". So, yes - he should get suspended for purposefully hitting another player's face with his elbow in a situation where it was 100% avoidable. I, for one, am glad to see a departure from the "he's not a repeat offender because we never actually punished him before" mantra.

Am I the only one that gets actually excited about "hey, we could maybe somehow do this!!" then gets really mad that they waited this long again this year? It's maddening because other than BB, this was here all along ...

Point % in El Thorno's dream scenario vs today's: Prettttttttttttttttttty happy with how that is trending. Still a steep climb, but one step at a time, I guess.

Isn't this the second time he has made a Devil bleed? Guy's probably buying into his own hype at this point. Good to knock him down a peg or two.

My work computer won't let me do gifs, but I promise you that Daffy Duck one (you know the one) belongs in any response to your post.