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Everything posted by nfreeman
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Interesting. I am of the opinion that Mitts is actually a pretty mediocre skater -- i.e. not quick in small spaces and not particularly fast when he gets going. However, last night he looked to me much more poised, thinking the game better and making better decisions and more accurate passes than ever (recognizing that there is much room for improvement among the entire team, including him). He also looked to me like he's in the best physical condition of his career. I agree about Tuch and the lines. It's too soon for panic but if TT and Skinner look lousy again tomorrow I'll be ready for Tuch to move back to their line.
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I agree with most of this except for your observations on Power, Joki and Mitts. As I mentioned upthread I thought Power was shaky for most of the game and Joki was solid. Despite being a longtime Mitts skeptic, I also thought that was maybe the best I've ever seen Mitts look, and I think he's going to have a pretty good season. I'm already looking forward to tomorrow.
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Annual expectations thread 2022/23: #77 JJ Peterka
nfreeman replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
Well, JJP looked really good last night, innit? He played 16 shifts in just under 12 minutes, all 5-on-5, and was tied for 2nd among forwards with 4 shots. More importantly, he and Cozens dominated most of their shifts with speed, range and forechecking, although they probably benefited from weaker matchups (not sure if that data is posted anywhere). Krebsie turned it over too many times, but he seemed pretty capable on that line as well. Suddenly I'm feeling pretty confident about JJP being a real contributor this year. -
Anderson played pretty well in most of his outings last season. As many have noted, it's reasonably likely that he'll deliver good goaltending IF they limit his workload.
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My 2 cents: - Very exciting win and great start to the season, as many have already noted. - The outcome could've easily gone the other way, as Ottawa had plenty of chances and probably more than the Sabres had (although the Sabres had quite a few). - Goaltending was the difference. Good for Anderson for delivering that gem at age 41 against his former team. The Sabres will need to give up fewer chances than that to win most nights though. - JJP was the Sabres' best forward through 2 periods. Cozens and Mitts were the 2 best by the end of the game though. But that was a terrific showing by JJP. - Did not like Skinner's game or TT's. As someone noted upthread I think those 2 are better with Tuch and hope DG switches Tuch and Olofsson, both of whom were OK but not great. - It was great to see Cozens looking like a force of nature (JJP was keeping up with him and the 2 of them were outstanding together especially in the 2nd) and Mitts looking consistent, focused and effective. Those are 2 great developments for this team -- really 3 because JJP should be included. - Dahlin looked confident, in control and frequently like the best player on the ice. Power was pretty shaky but Joki did very well covering for him on a number of occasions. Mule was very solid. Loobie was tough and made a few very nice plays but also a few brain locks. Bryson did fine and I think helped kill the first shift of the 5-on-3 and a good shift at the end before VO's 1st ENG. - The Zemgus-Aspy-KO line got better as the game went on and was very effective in the 3rd. - Ottawa is good. I think these Ottawa-Buffalo games are going to be highly competitive and entertaining for a long time.
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McTavish is a horse.
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It's a good question. I have been expecting, and still kinda expect, that Cozens will emerge as the clear #2 C this year. In the meantime, I still expect Cozens to end up with about as much ice time as Mitts if not more, although I'd guess that will vary from game to game depending on how the various lines are doing. I also think, as I've said previously, that DG likes Mitts more than I do. This is evidenced by Mitts' lineup slot, including his getting VO's slot in the right circle on PP1. I sure hope DG is right about him.
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I don’t think anyone is disagreeing about the contract being early. The point, as you know, is that early contracts on the right guys result in cap savings, which is one of the key factors in assembling long-term cup contending rosters. Cernak, who IMHO is a good comparable in terms of role and size, being well established is the exact reason he got 8 x $5.2 after a 1-goal season. Waiting for Mule to similarly establish himself, as I stated upthread, could easily drive his cost above $6MM per year. Also, if your point is simply that they should’ve waited until halfway through this season, or next summer, just to see how Mule does this season — there are a lot of factors that go into this. Mule was ready to sign long-term now. That might not have been the case in January. They also might be working on deals with other guys (like Cozens), whose decisions could be influenced by the fact that Mule has now signed. I understand your concern, and I think it’s valid in the abstract, but I think there are also good reasons to have pulled the trigger now.
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Lock 'em up early or later? Risk / Reward says sign early
nfreeman replied to JoeSchmoe's topic in The Aud Club
I am hoping one of your resolutions for the new season is the elimination of all of the “ha ha, some posters are so dumb” posts that seem to be your calling card. -
Great post, especially the comparison to McKee, who was worth every GD nickel the Sabres refused to pay him. Well, you may not be focused on points, but your position appears to be based on the assumption that points are the only factor that would cause Mule’s cost to rise. I think that assumption is faulty. If Mule signed a 2- or 3-year bridge deal, he’d be due for a new contract after 2 or 3 years. During that period (and I’d expect that KA is quite confident in this), Mule would’ve been Dahlin’s partner and the #3 defenseman, averaging 22-23ish min per game, on a hopefully ascendant powerhouse team — and at the end of that value-juicing period, the cap is likely to be spiking. As @Doohickiehas noted, Cernak, who is a good comparable, just signed an 8-year extension at $5.2MM per year. Cernak, who had 1 goal last year in 19 min per game, will be 26 when that contract starts. I think in that context it’s quite possible that Mule could’ve cost $6MM per year following a bridge, with the subsequent big contract covering fewer of his prime years and more expensive post prime years.
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So as of today, here are the guys who are signed long-term: Skinner TT Tuch Mule ...and that is it. The only other guys who are under contract past next season are Quinn and JJP. Cozens and Asplund are RFAs after this season, which jibes with @tom webster's post above about KA wanting to get them signed -- although I kinda doubt Asplund will get a long-term deal.
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Sir, you are a great poster here, but sometimes it's not a bad idea to just let something go.
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Marketing mistake. Good Sabrespace keeping-them-on-their-toes work there. They are on notice.