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Everything posted by nfreeman
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I hear ya, notwithstanding the strange new choice of omitting periods at the end of your paragraphs I agree about that 2-year run, although 2005-06 was much more magical IMHO than 2006-07. I was at game 3 of the ECF vs Carolina in 2006, in which the Sabres took a 2-1 lead in the series, and it was freaking amazing (although Tallinder broke his arm in that game, a huge loss and major step in the road to the D-corps ruin). I can't really fault you for being willing to pay any price to get that back. I just think it's so hard, and so random, to go on a deep run in the playoffs, that the right approach is to build a team that has a good shot every year for a number of years -- and trading away a top prospect for one year of a veteran goalie cuts in pretty much the exact opposite direction.
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Of course nothing is guaranteed. But as I'm sure you understand, it's KA's job to assess probabilities and act on them. Hello analytics. I think, and I'd bet that KA thinks, that it's much less likely that the Sabres get past the 2nd round with Helle than it is that JJP will become a player who is good enough that we regret trading him for one year of Helle. Similarly, the likelihood of Helle staying longer than 1 year seems quite low -- KA loves Levi and appears not to be interested in committing big dollars and term to any goalie, much less one that would box out Levi. Also, I don't see how you can say that you'd trade Östlund for Helle, full stop, and in the next breath say that you're actively seeking to not armchair GM.
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But that's not the hypothetical trade. The hypothetical trade is JJP, or similar high-value asset, for one season that MIGHT include a deep playoff run -- and we should be clear-eyed that the odds of winning more than 1 round with a team and coach this young and inexperienced are quite low. I think there is effectively zero possibility that they trade for Hellebuyck. The price will be too high, and KA IMHO has no interest in boxing out Levi by giving Helle the long-term deal he will demand. Now, if they could get Helle for a 2nd-rounder, or maybe by swapping #13 for #18, and enjoy the fruits of Helle's contract year? I'm in. But I don't think Winnipeg will go for that, and I'm not giving up JJP, Quinn, Kulich, Savoie, Rosen, Östlund or #13 for 1 year of a goalie, and I don't think KA is either.
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I agree on slowing it down, but it's way, way too early to come to any kind of conclusions on Rosen.
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He's a RHD, 6'2, 183 lbs, age 19 (turns 20 in January), and drafted in the 5th round in 2022. Born in Russia, he just finished his 2nd year in the QMJHL, putting up 39 pts and 60 PM in 62 games. As I said when the Sabres drafted him, he's to my knowledge their first ever guy named Vsevolod. FC Hockey, a publication I know nothing about, describes him thusly: I assume he'll be in Rochester next season. If anyone has seen him play -- let's hear your thoughts!
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What? Who said this? What exactly did he/she say? Please do not vomit up gibberish like this and waste everyone's time. What stats, specifically? I hope you have something better than plus-minus to support this. Here's what the Athletic had to say:
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No. Savoie is the exact opposite of a lock. He's about as big a maybe as can be. And do we know that's going to happen? i.e. is this another "lock" that the Sabres should make FA decisions based on? If Kulich or Rosen earns a spot, he'll have a spot. (This seems almost impossible in the case of Rosen, and possible but unlikely in the case of Kulich, IMHO.)
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I'll add that I think this makes a Zemgus return less likely, although not impossible.
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I think this is probably best viewed as a "continued cleanse of prior toxic culture/growth of positive culture" move. I don't disagree that KO's play declined last year but he still had 11 goals and 28 pts and played almost 15 min per game on a decent team. He's still an NHL player. And his teammates seem to love and respect him. I'm fine with it.
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Movies / TV Shows - I Have Watched / Plan To Watch
nfreeman replied to Sabres Fan in NS's topic in The Aud Club
I just saw Fast X. It certainly wasn't great, and you are probably a more discriminating viewer than I am, but I find all of them more or less the same level of "stupid but entertaining with great action sequences." I'm also interested in the increasing number of appearances by major actors/actresses. -
Maybe it was blocking the view of people behind them?
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I'd prefer Florida and Dallas to win, but I think it will be Carolina and Vegas baby Vegas.
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IMHO during the latter years of the Eichel/Reino era there was enough talent in the key positions, other than goalie until Ullmark's last year here, for a good GM/coach combo to have put together a consistent lower-tier playoff team here. Eichel, Reino and Montour are all upper-echelon NHL players, and there are a number of other Sabres alumni who are still solid contributors, many on playoff teams (McCabe, Bogo, Colin Miller, Lazar, Scandella, Sheary, Rodrigues, Vesey) But TM, JB, Howie and especially Kruger were all bad-to-terrible at their jobs in multiple ways -- none was even average! -- and this created an insurmountable obstacle. Totally agree. VGK and the Kraken aren't better than the Sabres because they got some kind of boost from the expansion draft rules. They are better than the Sabres because the Sabres were a terribly run franchise for a decade. I agree with this. I think you generally take a rose-colored view of Jack's behavior and leadership while he was here, but there is no question IMHO that the franchise failed him, that a decently run franchise would've gotten much more out of Jack than the Sabres got and that Jack made the right decision in asking to be traded (and that KA made the right decision from the Sabres' perspective too).
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What a play by Reino on that GWG. Lousy defense and goaltending by the Leafs on that play, but still a great play by Reinhart. Meanwhile, the Leafs are about to get bounced, and there is a very real possibility that they trade Mathews this summer, as he has 1 more year to UFA and it’s not clear whether he’s willing to sign an extension there.
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This Fla-Toronto game is a classic, tight, hard-fought, no-penalties-called, tense playoff game.
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Carolina is extremely well coached IMHO and executes a 200-foot game extremely well. A couple of summers ago I was hoping Carolina's owner would be too cheap to pay Brind'amour market rate and TP would swoop in with a huge offer. I'd probably pick Brind'amour as the best coach in the NHL. In any case, I think the most likely outcome in the EC is that Florida wins 1 of the next 2 at home and then finishes off the Leafs in game 5 or game 6, and Carolina beats Florida in the next round. FWIW, Carolina won 2 out of 3 vs Florida this year. On paper this is logical but every year, and especially this year, it becomes clear that there is an element of randomness in the NHL playoffs -- goaltending, injuries, puck luck, etc. -- that produces unexpected results. On the one hand it makes for excitement, but on the other hand it means the better team frequently loses.
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Kinda interesting how Drury has conducted the Rangers in a “business as usual” way. I would’ve expected better. In any case, his head is probably next on the chopping block if they don’t have a better season next year.
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So the EC Finals are looking like...Carolina vs Florida! And in the West...maybe Vegas vs Dallas? Garments will be rended and teeth gnashed in the GWN if that happens.
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Reino has been very good in these playoffs. I thought he was pretty quiet last night, other than that very sweet assist, but still effective. He has his limitations but It seems like he never makes a flat-out bad play, he pretty consistently gets the puck to the right spot and he wins most of the contested pucks. I'll even say that his skating is improved as well. He's just a very good top-6 NHL forward.
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This is maybe stating the obvious, but Tkachuk was the best player on the ice last night IMHO. Also, Bobrovsky has been up and down the past couple of seasons but is playing very well right now.
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That would be a very interesting line, to be sure. I think the broader point though is that the Sabres look to be loaded with talented offensive forwards as early as next season, so it's likely that Greenway will find himself with 2 pretty talented linemates. It's also likely that he'll end up on the 3rd or 4th line in terms of quality of opposition. The net result of those 2 factors could be a spike in Greenway's offensive production.
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BTW, the WR the Bills drafted looks reasonably fit: Holy mackerel.
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I am rooting for Lindy and the Devils, but they have a real hill to climb. I thought Carolina was, after Boston, the best team I saw in the NHL this year.
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There are about a million Canadian snowbirds and expats in Florida. I'd guess the arena will be over 50% Leafs fans.
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A tall dwarf isn't tall.