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nfreeman

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Everything posted by nfreeman

  1. First bolded -- do you not think economic activity -- i.e. millions of job losses -- affects public health outcomes? Second bolded -- no -- they say this, which I also quoted upthread: Third bolded -- I don't see any claim of a consensus anywhere in their statement. Fourth bolded -- the declaration doesn't claim to be a cost-benefit study that is submitted for peer review. Fifth bolded -- there are literally millions of people in this country who have acquired immunity at this point. I don't see why this isn't feasible. Sixth bolded -- what is your expertise in this area? Is it comparable to that of the authors? Last bolded -- no one is saying that the vulnerable should be "separated out." The point is that masks, distancing, visiting outdoors, limiting workers to those with immunity and other measures would be implemented to protect them.
  2. Well, I think you're right that the virus spread like crazy initially when there were no measures in place to prevent the spread, and it caused a lot of harm among the most vulnerable segments of the population when there were no measures in place to protect them. I think the point of the GB declaration is that now that the world has 7 months of experience with the virus, we are better off allowing schools and society generally to reopen, as long as there are well-constructed measures in place to protect the most vulnerable. In other words, if we protect the vulnerable, we can live with the spread of the virus among the rest of the population, since (i) doing so will get us to herd immunity more quickly and (ii) the virus isn't that dangerous to the rest of the population. I'm not saying that the GB declaration is unquestionably correct, although I tend to agree with it. I just think it's worth noting that there are a ton of sober, respected experts in the field who are advocating for this approach.
  3. Of course, and the devil will be in the details. There aren't many details on that website, although they do offer this: I think the main takeaway from the declaration is that these epidemiologists/HC professionals believe, as a scientific matter, that a broad reopening will have substantially fewer destructive consequences than a broad lockdown. This is certainly true, but I doubt you could find many epidemiologists at Harvard, Stanford and Oxford to advocate for a flat earth. Tupac, of course, is a different matter.
  4. nfreeman

    So #8

    The Athletic has Perfetti going #4, Rossi going #7 and the Sabres with... https://theathletic.com/2072618/?source=twitteradsbc&ad_id=29871744
  5. https://gbdeclaration.org/ This is a statement authored by epidemiologists from Harvard, Stanford and Oxford, and co-signed by 1400 other public health scientists and 1600 other medical practitioners.
  6. That contract is like herpes, but Schmaltzie has been in the NHL for 4 years and has produced at a 50-pt pace in years 2, 3 and 4, including for a crappy AZ team in year 4. He also had good Corsi and Fenwick #s this past year for AZ, FWIW. He's not super-fast but is a respectable skater, has good hockey IQ (at least on offense) and is pretty decent at both passing and finishing. OTOH, he's on the skinny side and averaged 1 hit every other game, so don't expect physical play from him. Also, he played 18 min per game in his 2nd and 3rd seasons but dropped to 15 min this past season. I like the idea of snapping up a good forward to round out the top 6 at a heavy discount due to highly unusual circumstances, and this could be an excellent opportunity, but I'd sure like to know what else is out there.
  7. Having now watched the entire presser, I agree with @dudacek's assessment upthread that KA didn't really make any firm statements on anything. I would add that I can see why TP likes him -- he's got that earnest, aw-shucks, clean-cut but competitive and (hopefully) smart quality that Brandon Beane and McD have. He might be the right guy. We'll see.
  8. It has to be said: if they sign Jesper Fast, and if he's really good, you will have earned a big, fat, juicy "I told you so" to everyone here. The men of the Night's Watch are keeping an eye on this. I think both are gone. Thank you sir. That seems quite fitting actually. No -- IKP has it a bit upthread -- but Zeisbarger was certainly a hearty fellow too.
  9. And who's the dude in the black beret and red tank top? Mike something?
  10. Here's the burning question I'm left with after watching the first 8 min of the presser: is @john wawrow better dressed or worse dressed than the average SabreSpacer at this point in the quarantine?
  11. Is he UFA at the end of it?
  12. How about Alec Martinez as an LHD stopgap? Here's Pierre Lebrun on Martinez: Martinez just turned 33 a couple of months ago. He's one year away from UFA. 6'1", 209 lbs, doesn't score much but is a good, solid defensive LHD (he's listed as an LHD by dailyfaceoff.com; based on Lebrun's quote above I expect he can play either side) and has played over 21 min per game for the last 5 years. And no NTC. If he's a cap dump with 1 year until UFA, he won't cost much.
  13. Good stuff, and I am reasonably confident that KA is indeed trying for this. Does anyone have any knowledge on how credible David Pagnotta is? I, too, am well put off by that contract. It has to be asked: could a trade for Schmaltzie presage a trade of Reino, on the theory that KA doesn't think Reino is worth what it will take to sign him?
  14. nfreeman

    So #8

    From the Athletic today: https://theathletic.com/2068947/2020/10/05/wheeler-final-2020-nhl-draft-thoughts-notes-and-predictions/ It just feels like they're going to keep the pick, take a forward, and that forward is going to turn into a very good player.
  15. To be clear, Danault is UFA after this coming season. So the Sabres wouldn't give up much in trade to acquire him unless an extension is part of the deal.
  16. Not much action around the league yet, and we're only about 44 hours from the draft, innit?
  17. Yes yes yes! The D played much better in the 2nd half, which speaks well of McD and Frazier. They got manhandled in the 1st half though. I freaking love Stefon Diggs.
  18. nfreeman

    So #8

    I'm not a fan of Harrington's, but there is some interesting stuff in that column. For example, I don't think I'd heard this previously: This I think is pretty out to lunch, given the glut of goalies that will be available: But this is a very fair observation: As is this: And this is a reasonable inference:
  19. nfreeman

    So #8

    FWIW, the NHL.com mock draft has 2 of their 3 writers predicting the Sabres take Perfetti, and the 3rd says Lundell. https://www.nhl.com/news/nhlcom-mock-draft-alexis-lafreniere-top-pick/c-319269974?tid=277764372
  20. Huge bonehead move by JA to take that sack.
  21. I think there will be plenty of good options. I do not want to commit to anyone for more than 2 seasons.
  22. Interesting (assuming you are referring to weightier discussions than those taking place here). Marchie would round out the Sabres' new and improved top 6 pretty nicely: Skinner-Eichel-Reino VO-Staal-Marchie Kahun-Cozens-TT XXX-Lazar-KO There are going to be a number of good forwards in this caliber who become available for cap/cash reasons, and I don't think the price will be much more than a 2nd-rounder and/or a Borgen-level prospect. I sure hope the Sabres scoop one up.
  23. This seems right and I sure hope it is — but I also want some action! Gimme at least one good trade by Tuesday night to tide me over and then I’ll be happy to play the waiting game.
  24. Eating one or snuggling with it?
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