carpandean

If we only lose 1 more, then it won't matter. The leads are 3 and 4 points, 2 more doesn't hurt us.

Now, that would be tanking!

Traded!

Neuvirth to Isles.

But even in the best case scenario, we are four times more likely to get Eichel than McDavid. Eichel would be just a little less thrilled than McDavid. Any of the other three would be a lot less thrilled than even Eichel.

While the extra 6.5% chance at McDavid is nice, it's the extra 66.5% chance of getting McDavid or Eichel that I'm aiming for.

In fairness, I believe Flynn's jersey was tucked in at the time.

The Jets' war room had more guys with computers. Has to better, right?

Do you think this is the "can you believe that I'm calling you about this guy" player that GMTM was talking about?

Hopefully, just the start.

Well, maybe not literally two seconds, but perhaps figuratively (like "a cup of coffee") ... ;)

Maybe Boston will trade Connolly to Buffalo for Stewart.

Is it me or does this trade deadline eve (heck, the whole weekend) seem particularly active?

Your answer lies above. :P

I doubt that it's at any cost, but I would bet that it is a factor.

I think it's 12-7, but their %'s are basically the same.

Interesting ... Arizona has gotten 38.0% of points against the EC and 36.8% against the WC. Sabres have gotten 36.6% against the EC and 29.5% against the WC. Sabres have 13 games against the EC and 6 against the WC (including Coyotes twice.)

Of course, that means that being in the EC actually makes our record that much worse (i.e., the Sabres have benefited from playing in the weaker conference.)

By the way, Sabres went 2-15-2 over their final 19 last year. Do that again and we'd only need Arizona to pick up 2 points and Edmonton to pick up 3 points to finish last again. Edit: Oilers might need 4 if both our wins are ROWs.

No, we could easily finish above Edmonton and Arizona, and then there is a better than 50-50 chance (1-0.2-0.135-0.115 = 0.55) that we pick 4th .

May very well come down to the two head-to-head games. If we win both in regulation, then all-else-equal (i.e., the other 17 games), our lead would be down to the ROW tie-breaker only (currently 16 vs. 12.) As I said in another thread, if Neuvirth starts either, then somebody should be fired.

Exactly my thoughts.

That only works if the team at 2 is willing to trade out. Even if it's Edmonton, I can't see them trading. They'd take Eichel and then trade one or more of their other top picks for a dman.

Last year, the chance was 75% that we drafted second, which they increased to 80% this year. So, since they are independent draws, the chance that such a team would draft second twice is: (.75)(.80) = 0.60 60% ETA: 35% chance of drafting first once and 5% chance of winning both lotteries. And, no, losing last year does not affect the odds this year, so conditional on losing it last year, the probability of losing both is 80%.

In the remaining 31GP that season, though, he had 21G, 36A for 57P, which pace-wise would be 26G, 44A, 70P in 38GP. That's very comparable to the paces of everyone other than McDavid. Admittedly, I haven't checked to see what the rest did over the remainder of their seasons.