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#freejame

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Posts posted by #freejame

  1. 20 minutes ago, SabresVet said:

    You still don't understand budgeting 101 and that's OK.  Not going to belabor it any further.   

    We all see ownership is bad and at some point post-COVID, they adopted a new fiscal plan with this franchise.  One that is damaging the on-ice product and driving fans away.    

    Prefacing this with my own “this is obnoxious,” but…
     

    I don’t think you have any understanding of finance or economics. I’m not saying I do, but at least I’ve got a degree in it and a bookshelf full of different peoples ideas on the topic that I’ve read. Go back to Dave Ramsey if you’re just going to talk about budgets. *****, Terry could budget out and invest the next five years of Sabres expenses and the return would more than cover cost. Or is that not the budgeting you want to do?

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  2. Just now, SabresVet said:

    You want the owner to, because his net worth is in the billions, lose money on your favorite hockey team.  Not going to happen no matter how many times you pound that sand.  

    The badly underperforming hockey team is under no obligation to lose millions of dollars a year as an olive branch to bring back fans and win more games.    

    We can all agree TPegs is not a good owner, is out of his element, doesn't know hockey like he thinks he does, etc.  Still doesn't mean he's going to open up the check book and splurge like he did back in 2011-12. 

    I think the issue is you and I fundamentally disagree on whether or not he is losing money on the Sabres. His asset is appreciating at a substantial clip. He can freely borrow against that asset at greater amounts than any single season loss. I would also reckon his asset increases in value by a more substantial amount than his yearly net loss. 

    The Sabres are a private company and are under no obligation to release finances, but there’s also a significant chance that spending an additional $5m per year would lead to more than $5m in additional revenue. Players do not collect from postseason revenue. My very much ***** back of the napkin math tells me that if the Sabres sold 18,000 playoff seats for two games at $100 per ticket (which is low), they would bring in $3.6m in revenue. You can take all of the other gains and throw them towards the expenses, I think it’s still safe to say that spending more would lead to a greater return. 

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  3. 57 minutes ago, SabresVet said:

    This is like saying you bought a home in 2011 for 150k.  You haven't been putting much into it, but it's doubled in value by 2024 because neighborhood sales are up.  

    As this occurred, you had to take a new job because the previous employer let you go in a cost-cutting move.  Your new salary is 20% less than the previous job.

    And you're not losing money because the value of your home is way up? Come on dude.

    They're losing money because a business has a budget that outlines projected revenue and costs.  And when costs exceed revenue, that's a loss.  Revenue does not include potential value of the business.       

    No it’s like saying you bought a house in 2011. The house has increased in value over 5x over and your other assets have increased in value from $3.8B in 2014 to $6.8B in 2024. Who gives a ***** if your job cuts your salary by 20%? Nobody in that stratosphere of wealth earns money through salary anyway.

    You are not a billionaire. I am not a billionaire. Money is not the same thing to us as it is Terry Pegula. This isn’t a conversation about the financials of the Buffalo Sabres anyway, its a conversation about Terry Pegula and his finances. The fact is that the franchise HAS AN UNREALIZED GAIN LARGER THAN THE GDP OF ENTIRE COUNTRIES. Buying the Buffalo Sabres has been incredibly beneficial to Terry and not at all so to the Sabres. 

     

    • Agree 3
  4. 17 minutes ago, Mango said:

    It is weird to me that you separated these two things, but attributed "winning multiple cups" to the path of the Sabres and not the Bruins. 

    Boston puts their young prospects in a position to succeed and win multiple cups. 

    Buffalo promotes prospects for "experience", putting them in a position to fail, and have struggled to finish a season 16th ot better let alone win Stanley Cup. 

    Perhaps I should have used italics or an /s.

    I don’t think the way we are developing prospects and talent will lead to multiple cups. I was just being facetious while using a common FO cliche. 

    • Haha (+1) 1
  5. 20 minutes ago, LTS said:

    Well.. he could have 0G.. so it means something.

    Relative to what you are looking for perhaps not.. but would you feel better he had shown no success?  It's just there for perspective.

    No, of course I want them to have success while they are developing. But any success while developing should be taken with a grain of salt until it leads to professional level outcomes. I do understand the point you’re making and am happy he is so far doing well. 

  6. 6 minutes ago, LGR4GM said:

    I would need him to bring in veteran coaches with Cup experience either coaching or playing and 5+ years of NHL level coaching experience. 

    I would prefer a veteran NHL coach as well. If that means that Appert ends up as the GMs assistant coach pick fine. 

    Prefacing this with I don’t want Lindy back in any role, but would you accept Lindy coming back in an associate role or would he not qualify?  

  7. 12 minutes ago, LGR4GM said:

    Pegula is not losing money. Let's say for arguments sake that the Sabres are a net -10million every year in real dollars because Terrry drove the team into the ground and ppl don't want to pay him money to be bored for 2.5 hours. Terry bought the team for about 200million and can sell them tomorrow for 1billion without any fuss. That means that it would take 80 years for Terry Pegula to actually be negative on this investment. It is a straight up lie he peddles that he is losing money on the team, he isn't. The asset he acquired has almost doubled 3 times in 13 years which is easily a top 1% in terms of ROI. So sure, Terry might lose a few million because again, he ran his team into the ground and ppl won't pay to watch his trash, but overall the guy is up hundreds of millions of dollars. Never believe Pegula when he claims he "lost money", he hasn't and he won't. Sports teams are a very rare commodity. 

    Let’s say Terry is actually running -$10M per year. He could more than likely easily borrow against the $800M in ROI he’s gotten. Let’s say he took out a loan for $500M of it. With some finagling, he could have thrown all that into the same 5% Certificate of Deposites that’s been roundly available to everyone and gotten 2.5 years of operating expenses for doing nothing! 

    The funny thing about this is it neglects the fact that Terry's money is almost certainly growing significantly faster than 5%. My 401k grew at 16% last year and something tells me he’s got better money men than I do.

    If Terry cannot invest in the Sabres, it’s because he either lacks liquid, foresight, or care. And honestly those are all pretty much the same thing when it comes to investing. 

    It’s a complete joke that’s being pull over much more than the eyes of Buffalo Sabres fans. Sometimes I think people have never played around on a calculator. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  8. I think Phillip Danault just referenced TRPM. 
     

    In speaking on awarding the Selke:

    ““We don’t know anymore,” Los Angeles Kingscentre Phillip Danault said. “I don’t know what the category is, really. Is there a Corsi thing? Plus-minus depending on the team, I guess. Good on faceoffs, I’m sure that’s part of it. Some great numbers defensively, I’m assuming.””

  9. On 4/13/2024 at 8:24 PM, mjd1001 said:

    Don't ask me why, but when the Tv started 'acting up', I replaced it with a 50 incher and a basic soundbar (no subwoofer even).  At first I was like...why did I do this, its not as good, but by 2 days later, I was totally fine with it and didn't even miss the old tv or sound system.

    This is how I feel about resolution, but not sound quality. I just bought a new tv that apparently is significantly better than my old in terms of picture quality, but I don’t see it. Things just look the way they do. Sound quality I notice immediately though and will usually pay for if it’s affordable. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  10. Just now, Archie Lee said:

    The Bruins would trade their prospects, including all those kids you mention, for Buffalo’s in a second. If the Bruins had our pool there would be 4-5 of our prospects who would have made their debut this year as the Bruins are in greater need of inserting a few players in ELCs.  

    Now, there is no guarantee that a team can turn its top ranked prospect pool into a contending NHL team. That is clear. It is also clear that having a low ranked prospect pool does not mean you have to accept that your just going to eventually be a loser. 

    Make no mistake though, no NHL GM would take the Bruin’s prospect pool over the Sabres’ pool, and there wouldn’t be anything that resembles a debate. Of course, you know this. 
     

    The difference between Buffalo and Boston is both teams could switch prospect pools and neither team would have a change of mindset. Boston would continue to put their young prospects in positions to succeed and Buffalo would continue to promote prospects to get them experience so we can win multiple cups…like Boston. 

  11. 9 hours ago, PerreaultForever said:

    So what you're saying is there's basically an inverse correlation between how good your prospect pool is and how well you do in the NHL, that correct? 

    Really, Boston is always ranked last and yet they have 3 new roster players that came from their pool (Beecher, Lauko and Brazzeau), a promising kid who looked NHL ready at 19 until he got injured (Poitras) and a top D prospect i(Lohrei) who can't quite crack the roster, and they top the division again but ya, they have the worst prospect pool. 

    If you don't count players who played in the NHL last year, Sabres had 1 prospect make the roster in Benson. Three if you want to count Rousek and Johnson. Four if you don't count Levi's games last year and add him in and we didn't make the playoffs. So even if we do have a great prospect pool, until they make the NHL it means NOTHING. 

    I wonder if you took all the teams and their rankings in terms of prospect pools and correlated it with their position in the standings I'd bet it's pretty much the same inverse correlation. 

    Also, if our prospect pool is so fantastic, Rochester should win the AHL championship right? Right? They're the dominant AHL team aren't they? Aren't they? Hmmm.

    It’s almost as if structure and support allows organizations to seamlessly plug holes with young players. Another way of saying this would be asking less of young players leads to more from young players. Crazy. 

    • Agree 2
  12. 11 hours ago, Thorny said:

    A declaration to fans who just don’t have the ability to see the big picture like *you* do, that they aren’t smart enough to see the “pretty obvious” path we are on.

    The best type of post imo. The type that’s literally bursting at the seams with excitement at the prospect of chastising fans in the future 

    Personally, and I’ve expressed this with pushback before, I think Terry “sees” (not literally) and hears posts and comments like the one you are replying to and takes them as justification to continue on his path.

    There is a significant segment of this fan base that thinks our performances have been acceptable. There is a significant decrease in critical press and radio time for the Sabres compared to a decade ago. There is plenty of tire pumping from fans and media about the job the Sabres are doing. 

    I don’t understand it and I genuinely believe that this organization feels no need to change because of it. Until all Sabres fans simply deem it unacceptable to miss the playoffs, it will not be unacceptable to the Sabres. 

    When ticket prices increase again next season, if the response is not that received by Thomas Hutchinson in 1765 for levying taxes on behalf of the king, this franchise will once again miss the playoffs. 

    Expectations are created and upheld by all. There are too many with far too low of expectations. The concerning part is how soft our players have become with such low expectations. It’s a huge problem that can only be fixed with success. 

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  13. 3 hours ago, dudacek said:

    This.

    I don’t think he put a number on it, but it was clear he was taking the long road of build from within.

    This is often what that road looks like.

    Carolina has made the playoffs 6 years in a row. Before that they missed for 9 straight years.

    Aho, Teravainen, Pesce, Slavin, Staal and Necas were all part of the team that missed that last year that led them to draft Svechnikov.

    Hanifan and Lindholm were also part of the team and were flipped (for Dougie Hamilton) kinda like Mittelstadt was flipped for Byrum.

    They built a critical mass and an identity from within, then added around it.

    I don’t think any of our rebuilds can be compared to Carolina for the simple fact that they pretty much always had a 2006 Stanley Cup winner or winners on their roster. We quickly cut ties with anyone who had success in Buffalo during our first rebuild. 

  14. 8 hours ago, Archie Lee said:

    Catton has “drop to the Sabres” written all over him. I’m ok with that. 

    It would be really interesting to see if Adams took Catton as BPA even though we have several similar players and prospects. 

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