LGR4GM

The short version is I think it is exceedingly flawed to say "in the last 3 years his sh% was this 11.9% (it's 12.05%) and therefore his 22.4% his off by 22.4-11.9 when you are ignoring that the 22.4 still gets factored in and would be 2/4 seasons over the 11.9% you are using.

Again, you need to toss out the first 10 games and his sh% is 12.04. A 10 game sample with 3 shots and no goals is also skewing the data a bit. I also don't agree with your conclusion. You can't toss out 1/4 of a sample and act as though it is an outlier that shouldn't be averaged in. On top of that there is a prior season where McLeod shoots at 14.1% so even if we adjust for this season, it stands to reason that his average is not 11.9%. You are doing the very thing you are arguing against, comparing 3 seasons and ignoring 1 and then claiming his sh% for his CAREER is 11.9%. It is in no way more accurate to compare 3 seasons before coming to Buffalo and claiming Buffalo's season should just be ignored. How, who, and where he plays all changed. He went from 14mins a game to almost 17mins a game. Also, I did what you said in the bold, I looked at the 3 prior years (not 4 because again, 3hots and 10games is useless), and I looked at this season. Hence why I suggested 13% is probably the closer number. He is used differently here, already has a season over 11.9% so in the 4 years we are talking about, he has 2 seasons over 11.9% and 2 more seasons within .9 and .6 of that respectively. As I said, his career sh% if you adjust for the overage of this year is probably around 13%. I think that is a fair number for McLeod.

The Sabres went from 2.98goals per game to 3.26gpg and still were no-where close to the playoffs. This team has a major issue on defense and goaltending that need aggressive changes, and that is something Adams is not. He is slow and plodding, he doesn't seize or create opportunities.

If Pegula wants to fire Adams and make Ruff his POHO while finding a legit GM and a legit coaching staff, I am all for it. I think Ruff has limits and it took him months longer than needed to figure out Cozens shouldn't be on the PP and McLeod was playing better. The goaltending seems to struggle under ruffs system in multiple places now, idk if that is on him or bad goalies but I would guess a combination there-of. At minimum, Ruff can't build a system that protects goalies.

I don't think you should toss out 85 shots from his sample which is basically 1/4 of his total shots taken just because it bumps up his avg. He needs to shoot more and I would be willing to hear that his sh% is closer to 13 than 14 but I wouldn't toss the entire sample. Especially when he switched teams so the way he was utilized changed. Edit: also I am nitpicking but his career avg without this year and ignoring his 10 game rookie year is 12.03%, not 11.9. If you are willing to completely toss his 85 shots from Buffalo, you also have to toss his 3hots from his first 10 games.

And the problem is all indications are that Adams is going to run it back again with the same players in the same positions. We might even have the same assistant coaches. Adams lacks imagination and the will to make the hard choices. That is why he has this decision by committee thing, sure he makes the final call but he feels built up to make that. It is like he needs a lot of outside justification and then he can do the obvious thing. I also firmly believe that it helps him offset blame when things don't work, "we all agreed and it just didn't work out" seems to be his mantra. He's not a leader. Lindy and the entire coaching staff should be removed. They aren't good enough. Marty Wilford still having a job is just mind-bogglingly bad and the only excuse is Terry needs that Yacht money and Wilford was under contract.

I added a poll now that we are nearer to the end of the year. Ryan McLeod is a RFA and will be 26 by the start of the 2025 season.

McLeod continues to produce (probably over-produce on goals) so again, what should we pay this guy? Our center spine next year will be Norris, McLeod, and Kulich. Krebs will be around for fill in duties and perhaps Östlund gets a call-up (ik ik, young again but we can't argue over that in every thread all the time). Would we be willing to do 5yrs, 5mil? Is that too high? 4yrs, 4.5mil more in the ballpark? 19g, 29a, 48pts in 71games thus far. He should only have about 12-13g if you use his career sh% and he is on pace to only have 100 shots, so he really needs to shoot more. What would a 15g (avg sh%), 30-35a, 45-50pt center with good defensive metrics be worth to you?

I was wrong. I think some of the xGF can be explained by being on a better team, Cirelli is still the better defensive forward but I think it is fair to at least talk about McLeod in the same sentence with Cirelli. That said, McLeod shot at 22.4% which is 8% higher than his career average. Unless McLeod ups his shots on goal per game, he is going to see a regression in scoring goals next year. Sam Reinhart doesn't run at 22% consistently as a shooter. McLeod: 19g, 29a, 48pts, 51.6fo%, -5.5xGF Cirelli: 26g, 27a, 53pts, 50.7fo%, +19xGF yes, I know this thread is old SDS but I thought it deserved some life after as the season nears the end. I was a little too cold on the trade and should have been more upbeat. Overall this board though was fairly happy with it and thus far it has worked out.

This team lost 13 games because they were young and soft. Their pp remains awful because Appert is an AHL level coach who needs to be fired. Harrington's take, as you note, is willy nilly. You can't just take the good and act like the bad doesn't apply. Wonder if Harrington is covering for the org as a favor, or he's just bad at his job.

This is why Cozens isn't a good hockey player:

You know, I went back and found some Leinonen stuff... I'll admit, he looks better. Curious to see him in NA.

Seems the new team boost has worn off of Cozens. He processes the game so slow.

One of these things is not like other...

couldn't even tell the ppl they fired in a coherent manner, just cut their access. Feckless jerks who hate the most vulnerable and don't care of ppl die.

Sabres take on the Senators tonight in a battle of teams that understand that Linus Ullmark was worth signing. Josh Norris will not play but Dylan Cozens should. Bernard-Docker also will be in the lineup and maybe is something? Tune in for the riveting conclusion of the Sabres Sens 2025 series.

Notices went out at 5am this morning. Entire departments are gutted to the point of virtual non-existence. I hope you and your loved ones don't get sick and I really hope there is not another pandemic or epidemic because the US can no longer respond. This isn't about cutting costs and government waste, it is about cruelty and lining the pockets of billionaires. You will not see a penny from this and all that will happen is more sickness, disease, and death for every day Americans while RFK Jr, Trump, Musk line their pockets and force their insanely radical and anti-american agenda upon all of us. The impact will be severe.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/man-was-sent-el-salvador-due-administrative-error-protected-legal-stat-rcna199010 You care to comment on this or is it fine because "proof" wasn't offered by the Judge? Proof also wasn't offered by JD Vance or anyone in the administration other than a supposed "confidential informant". This is not freedom, this is tyranny. We have laws and once we decide that "feels" should replace laws, we are no longer a country but a dystopian hellscape run by Oligarchy fueled Dictators.