All Activity
- Past hour
-
It's primarily goaltending and an inexperienced defense.
-
I don't know what case you're making. I think Buffalo will end up with a similar goals for or slightly lower this upcoming season. I'm more worried about goals against. I don't think Adams is a good team builder. You're focused on Peterka almost exclusively. I guess we'll see what happens.
-
Speaking only in terms of their play defensively, the Sabres seem to believe: Norris > Cozens Doan > Peterka Danforth > Lafferty Kesselring > Jokiharju Timmins > Clifton They also think Lyon is more capable of supporting/challenging UPL than Reimer was because age limited Reimer's workload. If you think that's basically boils down to Kesselring, I guess we'll see.
-
I agree. While I like the idea of a top line with Tage on the wing not having him at center puts too much onto Kulich at this stage. If Norris isn't healthy and contributing, I'm not sure this team will even match last year's numbers. Any drop off (or injury) to any of the top 5 or 6 makes this team fall apart fast. There's no one in Rochester ready to fill a hole either.
-
Well, you could say it's both, and the goaltending too. It's the entire plan and the entire roster.
- Today
-
This is what Lindy has pinpointed as the Sabres biggest problem and you've heard many players talk around. As far as they coach is concerned it boils down to players not understanding how to manage games. it's not so much about structure and effort, its about making safe, boring decisions when you've got the lead: not cheating on offence, not turning pucks over at the bluelines, getting it deep and getting off. Not forcing your goalie to get into hero puck mode. Cozens, Quinn, Samuelsson and Clifton IMO were the worst offenders. Two of them are gone. Peterka and Power were good players that needed to improve in this area, Lafferty and Malenstyn bad players who needed the same. Two more gone. Will the changes be enough to reach critical mass for the team as a whole? Will the critical mass be enough to get the goalie back on track? To me, those are the questions that will make or break the season.
-
Thank you for sharing. 21 out of 30 is below average (which we all might have assumed and meets the eye test). But your larger point about medium and high danger being an even bigger struggle is validated by the 40 game filter. 26 and 29 is just plain unacceptable. Perhaps his percentages in medium/high danger areas improve slightly, but the only sure fire way to improve the numerator (high danger goals) seems to be to reduce the denominator ( HD chances). These underlying numbers you shared make me feel more and more like the season rests on a strong start by Six-K.
-
I know it's been touched on many times as part of other threads, but I wanted a full discussion on the addition by subtraction for next year's roster. We dropped quite a four boat anchors and by my math we picked up one. Clifton Lafferty Cozens Gilbert I feel like Danforth is the only new guy we got that will be drag on the team (I've got no idea what they were thinking with him). How much does losing these guys improve our goal differential?
-
Moneypuck however, allows you to do that if you want to play around. https://www.moneypuck.com/goalies.htm UPL ranks 21 out of the 30 goalies who played 40 games in low range shots, 26 on medium and 29th on high-danger The previous year he was 24, 5th and 19th out of 34 qualifiers.
-
I totally get what you're saying, but the stat isn't presented that way. They weigh the save percentage equally whether its over 20 games or 60 on NHLedge. You'd have to see if there's some way you could filter it to only include "starting" goalies.
-
-
Making up for the loss of scoring from JJP (and Cozens among others).
JohnC replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
It's an opinion and doesn't come from a link. The returning defenseman hopefully improved the unit and we got a player who plays hard and two-way game. If the unhappy player didn't want to be here, then so be it. I wish the departed player the best and am happy to move on from his unhappiness. The last thing that this team needs is an unhappy player in a constant battle with a coach who isn't satisfied with his all-around game. -
Analytically speaking the Sabres best hope might be this: Owen Power career 51.9% Corsi despite playing with a rotating cast of bad partners over his first three NHL seasons Jack Quinn significant drop-off across the board in all three categories after being a positive player in all three over his first two seasons. Mattias Samuelsson, see Jack Quinn Along with Dylan Cozens, these seemed to be the skaters who suffered the most from the coaching change and the players with the most analytical potential to bounce back
-
Analytically speaking, and superficially at 5 on5: Norris for Cozens appears a wash Doan for Peterka a small gain Danforth for Lafferty a small gain Kesselring for Jokiharju a small gain Timmins for Clifton a significant gain It kinda follows the Athletic analytics model: they got incrementally better overall, but not enough to make up the gap needed.
-
Making up for the loss of scoring from JJP (and Cozens among others).
Thorny replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
Link? -
Making up for the loss of scoring from JJP (and Cozens among others).
JohnC replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
An argument can be made that in the JJP trade we sent out the best player in the exchange. On the other hand, a good argument can be made that the trade made this a better roster by addressing other areas of need. -
Josh Norris is a mediocre forward at best analytically. His numbers have fluctuated over the years, but he was at 48% Corsi, had 45.3% in xG% and a bad 40% in ESGF% last year Justin Danforth is only slightly better: 48% Corsi, had 50.1% in xG% and 44.8% in ESGF% Conor Timmins was good: 52% Corsi, had 51.6% in xG% and 56.5% in ESGF% Zach Jones mediocre: 49% Corsi, had 47% in xG% and 50% in ESGF%
-
Making up for the loss of scoring from JJP (and Cozens among others).
Thorny replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
Bump up in role could indeed work. -
Making up for the loss of scoring from JJP (and Cozens among others).
JohnC replied to GASabresIUFAN's topic in The Aud Club
The player made it abundantly clear to the organization that he didn’t want to be here. He wasn’t willing to sign an extension and was willing to ride out his contract another year to be an UFA. So he got dealt for a reasonable return. And it should be noted that shortly after the trade he quickly signed a new deal with Utah. I’m more than satisfied with the trade. -
Remember the deluge of daily DOGE twitter posts boasting about all their discoveries of fraud and abuse? The more they blew their own horn, the more convinced I was that they are a big nothing burger. Not only haven’t they saved much but, as in the case of the NSW, their cuts actually cost us money. I predict other cuts will end up costing us more as well.
-
Hey where the heck is @Marvin
-
Doan and Kesselring ranked 1st and 5th respectively on Utah in terms of Corsi at 58% and 54% They were 7th and 3rd in ESGF% at 53.7% and 56.5% And they ranked 1st and 7th in terms of xG% at 60.6% and 53.3% Neither player was getting the most mportant minutes, but they were clearly winning the battles in the matchups they were seeing.