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Everything posted by GASabresIUFAN
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I bet these same guys were praising him up and down when the Greenway, Ek, and Foligno lines was doing well for 3 years. Now he is their scapegoat. Sad really. Between Tage, Tuch, Jost, and DG he has a good base here of people he knows well and think well of him. I wonder what they will say when Jordan finds his way here.
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https://www.flohockey.tv/articles/8042640-nhl-college-free-agents-jake-livingstone-leads-list-of-top-available-ufas
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Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
I'm sorry but the Athletic's model is garbage. It is overly weighed in prior seasons. While that is somewhat useful at the start of the season for veteran-laden teams, for young and improving teams it's garbage. The other models, like HR, Moneypuck and 538 do a much better job of predicting based on what's happening now. The Athletic's playing cards are interesting, but also have some flaws in their methodology which seem to way undervalue players like Samuelsson. -
Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
@Thorny Are you giving me the thumbs down or the playoff projections. If it’s the projection, don’t shot the messenger. -
Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
How many do points do we think they’ll need? 92? 95? More? With 21 games left, I think points is the goal. That means at least 12-13 more win plus some loser points. If we can beat the non-playoff teams plus the other teams fighting for a Wild Card on the schedule, that would be 13 wins. The remaining 8 games are top 3 divisional teams, 3 of which are near the season’s end. Hopefully they’ll be resting some players for the players increasing the Sabres chances in those games. I noted earlier that the Sabres picked up 5 pts on TB in the last 10 games. With 21 games left, if both teams play at their recent paces, that divisional spot could be up for grabs the last couple of games. -
Do you know about the growth of youth hockey here? I know you lived in Athens, but Atlanta and hockey are completely different then 10 years ago. The Gladiators draw 5000 a night for ECHL and their fan base is primarily NW Atlanta. There are at least 4 good junior programs, UGA hockey is the most popular club team on campus and is working toward becoming an NCAA program. Also how many people attend college football from Atlanta each week 200K? 300K? That leaves about 6.5 million people to attend hockey, baseball, basketball etc… To succeed, the area really just needs about 50K who wish to attend on a regular basis. That shouldn’t be a problem if the product is good. It’s not like returning cities don’t succeed. Winnipeg is working. Minn and the Bay area are succeeding with their 2nd teams as well. This is also Denver’s 2nd team. So while a 3rd team would be unique, the NHL has a better chance of succeeding now then ever before. Will it happen? I’m not optimistic, but I know Anson Carter has been trying to build an expansion group for at least a year. Also the argument that Atlanta doesn’t deserve a team doesn’t really matter. It’s about TV markets and a rich investor. Would other markets be more natural for hockey? Probably. Portland would seem like a natural and a great place to move the Yotes to. It is strange, but two of the NHL’s top players were raised in Phoenix/Scottsdale in Auston Matthews and Tage Thompson.
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Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
True -
Similar trajectory for sure, but Cozens is 4 years younger and hit .88 at 21 to Tage's 24. Mogilny is a different era, but was awesome. Patty certainly helped. Who is driving Cozens' improvement but Dylan himself? He isn't playing with star players, except the PP, and most of his production is at EV.
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Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
Do you think Fla is more likely to come out of the Atlantic vs the Sabres and hard-charging Ott? Remember Buffalo has 3 games in hand on the Panthers. Fla is 31-33. Buffalo is 32-29 when you combine L's and OTL's. Right now Ott scares me more than Fla. I think the Panthers will play themselves out of this. The NYI have the goaltending to contend until the end. Pitt has Crosby and tons of experience. Ott and Buffalo are the young up-and-comers. Fla, Imho, has lost its identity. -
Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
GASabresIUFAN replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
Their model has gone off the deep end. The numbers were updated yesterday. According to the Athletic, the Sabres' playoff chances are down to 14% (tied with Ott). Florida is at 41%, the NYI 47%, Wash 9% and Pit 77%. 538 - Pit 69, NYI 41, Fla & Buf 30, Ott 17, Wash 15 Moneypuck - Pitt 88, NYI 41.6, Ott 28.7, Buf 21.5, F 17.7, Wash 10.9 Hockey-reference - Pit 62.6, NYI 44.9, B 38.5, Ott 24.1, Wash 16.6, F 15.5 -
Tonight is one of our games in hand on some teams (except for Ottawa & Washington). Fla, Pit, and the NYI are all off tonight. On Tuesday we play the NYI, Pit takes on CBJ and Fla hosts Jack and the Knights. Ott & Wash are off. We currently have one game in hand on Ott and Pit, 3 on Fla and Wash, and 4 on the NYI Buf, Ott, Wash, and Fla all have 68 pts. Pit has 71 and NYI 72. Based on pts % Pit and Buf are the two top teams. TB is 11 points ahead of the Sabres for the last automatic spot in the Atlantic, but we have closed 5 pts in the last 10 games.