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Everything posted by JoeSchmoe
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Advanced Stats Say Goaltending the Issue, Not Defense
JoeSchmoe replied to JoeSchmoe's topic in The Aud Club
Is this what you meant to say? -
Advanced Stats Say Goaltending the Issue, Not Defense
JoeSchmoe replied to JoeSchmoe's topic in The Aud Club
Going back to why I made this thread- we're 9th in limiting high danger shots. Our D has been holding up their end of the bargain. -
Advanced Stats Say Goaltending the Issue, Not Defense
JoeSchmoe replied to JoeSchmoe's topic in The Aud Club
https://moneypuck.com/teams.htm You have to sort by statistical quantity you're measuring. -
Looking at Moneypuck, the Sabres goaltending is sitting 24th in the league in 5 on 5 Goals Saved Above Expected. At the same time, the Sabres are 9th best in High Danger Shots Against (albeit 19th in Medium Danger). At the end of the day, the D are giving up golden scoring chances, but there are 21 teams that are doing worse. But, there are only 8 teams getting less dependable goaltending than us. Once again, not getting league average goaltending has been our Achilles heel. I'll also say, nothing deflates a team better than a weak goal against.
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Doesn't it?
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Comrie is 63 out of 73 in the league in goals saved above expected- That's starters and backups.
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What do you think of his rebound control? How about his positioning?
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I think Comrie's save % is the biggest concern. You won't win many game at .885. Hopefully he improves.
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I just checked. The stats aren't as bad as what the eye test would have you think. His on ice expected goals for is 53.5% on Moneypuck. Something on the site doesn't add up though. Almost all the forwards besides the 4th liners are above 50%, and almost all the D except Dahlin and Clague(?!?!) are below 50%. Mathematically, you'd think it should be proportional both ways since there's always a proportional number of D and F's on the ice at all times. The only thing I can think is Moneypuck expected goal % isn't 5 on 5 only. If it's not, it seems like a bit of a meaningless stat since it would be so highly skewed based on time spent on PP and PK.
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Krebs is not an NHL level player yet. I think he would benefit from at least another couple months playing in Rochester. I haven't seen him play at all this year, but maybe Sheahan can take his spot for a while.
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I kind of hope Eichel gives another full heel postgame interview. I'm pi**ed the Sabres lost, but hopefully he cranks the volume on the bad guy role.
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We win this game if Comrie plays anywhere near NHL average.
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Krebs is the guy I'm sitting.
