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mjd1001

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Everything posted by mjd1001

  1. That is by your definition. To me, 'replacement level' might me someone who gives me no more, nor any less, than average/typical, etc. I don't think its worded incorrectly at all. And even if it was, the meaning can be understood out of context.
  2. So, it was a nice idea to have one thread designated to not have people be overly negative, I mean, there are hundreds of other threads for that, but alas we now the rest of the message board isn't enough, we have people needing to come in here and B***H it up here too. To the above poster who thinks its a 'troll' thread....there are SOME of us who view the team as entertainment first, and WANT the team to win but it is not the end-all-and-be all of our fandom.
  3. Ok I'll try.... A lot does NOT have to change for this team to be in a playoff spot, or to be playing like a playoff team. 3 things. Cozens, Quinn, and the goalie. They don't have to be all Stars, they don't even have to be better than they have been in the past. Just score and be as dangerous as you have been in the past for Cozens and Quinn, and the goalies have been letting in some weak goals, just make ONE more save that you should make every 100 shots. Tage, Tuch, and Peterka can keep playing the way they have been. Your 3rd and 4th lines can keep doing what they are doing. Your entire D-group, while not perfect, can just keep doing what they are doing. You get a couple more goals out of Cozens and Quinn (Power play or even strength, I'll take them anywhere), and have your two goalies just not allow as many bad goals, and you are just about there. Nothing else. 16 of the 19 players each night you dress can play at the level they have been.
  4. Yet another "Adams needs to go" post or thread, so I'm going to respond again with my same response. No. It will not make a difference. Its Pegula. Its likely we haven't seen what Adams can do/wants to do as GM because most things go through Pegula. Pegula needs to take a step back. Take a step back from sitting with Adams at games, Sitting next to him and giving input during practices. From being in pre-draft meetings and on camera for everyone to see giving input into the process. He has the RIGHT to do that, but he's bad at it. If you fire Adams and Pegula doesn't change you get the exact same thing. Adams may be bad at his job...or... he may be good, but it doesn't make sense to just fire him when the true problem is above him. You can say 'you can't fire the owner', and yeah, thats true, but it doesn't mean firing the GM then will fix things. It won't. I want things to change. i want the team to be better. I want a lot to be 'different' with this team but I'm mostly convinced its not Adams.
  5. On the other hand, they need to jump over 6 teams to get into that last wild card spot. Not as easy as it sounds as they aren't all going to lose because they play each other and SOMEONE gets points in those games. Plus 4 of those 6 teams have a game in hand too. The best way to look at it might be the 8th playoff spot currently has .542 of available points. Buffalo has .375. To get to (or above) .542, they would have to win their next 5 games in a row...and that would get them (points percentage), fractionally into the last playoff spot.
  6. 2019-2020 they were great at home compared to the road. 44 points at home (63% point percentage), while on the road 24 points (35%). But yeah I get your overall point. It should be close to that EVERY year, not just once in the last 6 years.
  7. I think we can say Cozens is overrated at this point. I'm happy with Tage overall. Dahlin if he plays like he did the last 2 years is fine, but his play this whole season makes him overrated. Quinn of course is overrated based on his play now. As far as the PP, just in the past week I have been watching other teams Powerplays. Paying very close attention when watching on TV and watching replays of PP goals on the highlights. And I'm viewing Powerplay success in a slightly different way: -Teams Penalty killing has gotten really good. Maybe not the execution, but scheme for penalty killing. Basically, if you keep the form of the PK box, don't get out of position and don't chase, you are going to have the powerplay team control the puck on the perimeter most of the time without getting any good shots. When they force something, that is your chance to clear it. There is no secret to Penalty killing anymore, every team tries to do it the same way, the Best PK teams are 70% not getting out of position/making mistakes and 30% how good your goalie is. So what makes for an effective powerplay? I think its 50% luck (the opposing team making a Cozens-like mistake of getting out of position or getting a good bounce) and 25% zone entries (just get set up) and 25% skill. If you ever get really, REALLY bored go to NHL.com on a night when there are 7 or 8 or more games, go through the goal summaries and every time you see a PP goal watch the replay. I've done it a few times now and what I see is about 1/2 of the PP goals scored are tips, scrums in front of the net, bad bounces, stuff like that. Basically "puck luck". On a typical night only 1/4 of the goals I saw were a result of an unreal shot or move by a player with skill. Now, you still HAVE to gain the zone, and you still have to get those guys in front of the net to get the 'accidental' tips and the scrum goals. But I don't now how much the coaches can do more than they are doing..its up to the players to actually execute that. Do those simple things, and then you will be in position to get the 'puck luck' goals on the PP. I still think the thing the Sabres don't do enough is get the scrum in front of the net goals or the tip ins because they don't just put a guy in front of the net and say...do whatever you have to do to not move from that spot. They seem to want to have 5 guys always in motion instead of 4 guys in motion and one anchor in front of the net. Greenway and Cozens. I'd have them out there but tell them, you are NOT part of the puck cycle, your job is to screen the goalie, force D-mean to collapse into your to give the guys on the perimeter more space, and when a shot is taken and a rebound is there, just bang away at it.
  8. I could see him having a big-time influence in that for sure. He seems to run the team as an owner like people run their fantasy teams, or their franchise in the NHL video game. I could certainly see 'hockey' people looking at Cozens one good year and thinking "lets not rush into this" while Pegula looks at one good year and says "I like him! Lock him up now, Lock him up now!" Again, no proof he did that, but all the other moves this team has made over the years, he seems like an emotional owner, one who is like a fan but wants to exercise his power as owner....one who won't defer much to his hockey department if he really wants something. So maybe he didn't draft the $7m deal himself, but I can see Pegula as one who pushed for it....'I've seen enough, lets lock that kid up long term'.
  9. Not at all. As I have been posting other places, whoever replaces him is going to give you the same thing as long as Pegula is sitting next to him and talking to him at practices, during games. As long as Pegula is in pre-draft meetings not to observe, but to give input. As long as Pegula refuses to talk to the press at all, EVER when things are going poorly and leaves that to the GM....If all those things continue then nothing changes with a new GM. And if those things do NOT continue, if Pegula were to decide he needs to step back from all of that and just be a fan and let the GM run the team.....in that case that would be the FIRST time Adams is allowed to actaully BE a gm and I'd like to see what he can do without the 'helicopter owner'.
  10. That is my point exactly.....firing Adams may make some people feel better. After watching the start of this season...its very frustrating. But who is Pegula going to PICK to come here, that will be WILLING to come here, that is going to make a difference? If Adams stays as GM under the current situation, nothing changes. If a new GM comes in that Pegula picks nothing changes. The only thing that changes things if its A new gm, OR ADAMS staying, and Pegula stops being Pegula. Adams leaving does nothing by itself. Zero.
  11. Just took a look at the updated standings....tied for last in the entire conference. Tied for 28th - 30th in the league. Woo Hoo!!
  12. Or, the team is like a car that once you fix one part, something else fails. I think a top like of Tuch with his all around play and on pace for 28, and Tage scoring at more than a 40 goal pace is good enough. Even McDavid and Matthews don't score EVERY game. I don't blame the top line...they are doing their part as a top line. Its the goaltending that has a save percentage for the season starting with a .8 instead of a .9, and your 'second best' forward (Cozens) leading your team in shots but shooting about 2.5%.....THOSE are the things that stanley cup teams don't have.
  13. I think you can. He is the constant. Everything flows from him down. Who wants to take the job at gm and coach? What standard is set from above? most importantly how many of the guys who are here (or NOT here) are just as much a decision that had to be run by Pegula, or vetoed by him, that if he had taken a step back things would be different. Too many GM's, Too many coaches, too many players that have done well in other places but not as well here, it is something beyond the players....and every other part has been changed out except the top. On a game to game basis, of course its the players and the coaches...but when we start talking months, seasons, decades....the standard is set from the top. The rules are made from the top and the mess below is a result of what comes down from the top.
  14. Sarcasm, right? Tuch who scored the only goal today and is on a 27 goal pace, and Thompson who just had a pretty long point streak and is still on a 47 goal pace?
  15. The good news for the team in general, Cozens scored last game so he no longer is goal-less. The bad news, he is a top 6 forward and leading your entire team in shots....and that guy who leads your team in shots is shooting a 'heroic' 2.8% for the season.
  16. And if Pegula is still in all the meetings, giving his input, sitting next to whoever the GM is at practices and during games, changing Adams out for someone else will mean virtually nothing.
  17. So that makes it 9 points in 12 games for the team? That has them playing at a 61.5 points per 82 game pace.
  18. yeah, he was falling down but it looked like he had a chance to slap it into the open net right away, but instead decided to take a bit of time to 'control' it first and....nothing.
  19. Not sure what you mean, I was commenting on a live play. I don't think they showed the replay of it.
  20. That was one of the dumbest icings I have ever seen...carry the puck all the way up to 2 feet BEFORE the redline, then tip it into the zone for an icing? If you waited 0.2 of a second more.
  21. I'm ready for Dahlin to start having games like a 1st overall pick, generational level potential d-man. My impression was Granato told Dahline to "go", or "do your thing", where Lindy more wants him to play the system and freelance a bit less. Also I think that was a kinda-weak call as a penalty on Detroit. Looked a bit more like good stick checking and less of a penalty.
  22. Washington has the best points percentage/record in the Easter Conference going into tonight. They are currently beating a pretty decent Columbus team 5-0 at the end of the first period. They are doing it with a lot of veterans. Their top ice time players are 6 forwards and all 6 d-men: -Washingtons top 6 forwards in terms of ice time have 3 guys over 30 years old and the top 6 average 30 years old overall. -3 of their 6 defensemen are over 30. Their average age of their top 6 D-men is 28. By comparison, the Sabres: -Top 6 forwards have ZERO over 30 year old and their average age is about 25. -No defensemen over 30, average age is about 25. Now, I'm not advocating for getting a bunch of 30+ year olds, but it just goes to show how young and inexperienced the Sabres STILL are.
  23. EVERYONE in the organization seems to be much happier with Cozens than us on this board. He continues to get used on the PK, the PP, and overall regular shifts. He is 3rd among forward in ice time, and I think he even led all forward in ice time a few times in the past couple weeks.
  24. 53 goalies have played 4 or more games this year. Of the 53... -UPL is 37th in save percentage, Levi is 46th out of the 53. -In terms of GAA, UPL is 41st, Levi is 51st out of 53. -High danger chances: league average save percentage currently is .778. UPL is at .765 Levi is at .667 So at the current point of the season, they kinda are playing "crappy" In 6 of the 11 games (54.5%) the Sabres have scored 4 or more goals. Last year they did it in just 30.4% of games. So the offense has been more consistent/reliable, but their goaltending is letting them down. Its not just the stats, on a lot of goals allowed when we look at the replays, its harder than last year to figure out the one positional player that really screwed up. More often I am looking at replays of goals allowed, and saying "I need my goalie to make that save". On my personal list of 'who needs to be better', Its Quinn, Cozens, Samuelsson and the goalies. They don't need to be on fire, but if those players were just playing closer to expectations, this team would have more wins.
  25. An average own would be one that doesn't meddle. spends close to the cap but won't spend an obscene amount of money to have the best of everything (training facility, player benefits, etc). An owner who wants to be informed and get notified of any big trades, but will not necessarily be part of that entire process. Basically an owner who is 'average' among all the owners in terms of time spent with the team, money spent on the roster money spent on facilities, money spent on staff, input he wants to make on decisions regarding all aspects of the team...seems to have an 'average' judge of character/ability in terms of hiring those under him...etc.
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