What that graph shows to me is that after the 3rd all players have basically the same chance of making it to the show which makes them essentially all equal. Saying JBot failed at this draft because he swung for the fences in the later rounds is foolish. Nobody can project who makes it in these later rounds. Its all a crapshoot. But it is essential that you occasionally hit on some of these picks. I'll judge JBot and his team of scouts 3-4 years from now. I think he absolutely hit in the first and on the goaltender but we'll see. Anything can happen.