That Aud Smell

predictive not determinative.

I think I get that -- the /60 piece of it. But what of p(f) instead of g(f)?

that’s what i figured. i’m trying to understand what that … signifies beyond g/60 or gf/60.

Can you explain p/60, please, @LGR4GM

Like I said, I don't think the roster will line up as neatly as that. I'm starting to wonder if there'll be a role for him. Adams went out and got him because he was a Granato guy. And certainly won't be enough. This is the way. Or at least it better be.

It's a good predictive exercise - that thing you're doing. It's also limited in its utility. And if we're looking at replacing goals from last season, can we also talk about the fact that there are several members of the top-6 (the centres and Tuch) who, I think, must improve their numbers from last season?

When I consider Skinner’s diminished role at the end of last season (out of the top 6) and the complete overhaul of the team’s bottom/middle 6, I don’t view the team as having replaced Skinner on a one for one basis. There’s risk in planning to replace his goals on a committee basis. @LGR4GM was running some numbers upthread (or elsewhere). This is also why I’m still hoping that Adams still has a move for a top-6 forward up his sleeve. If he does, I wonder more and more about Greenway’s role on the team.

Please, no.

McLeod

Did anyone hear his interview? I will try not to put too much stock in it. But he sounded bummed. I can’t blame him, of course. I trust he’ll be a pro about it and get to work. He’ll want to earn his next deal, after all.

I appreciate that his last name ends with the words "day off."

Man I don't hate that -- especially if we were to envision a modestly (albeit somewhat unevenly) rising line as it arcs over two separate X axises (axes?) -- the X axis being time (seasons) and Y being goals or assists.

Agreed - interesting. I envision him as a guy who reliably scores 20, typically gets ~25, and occasionally gets 30+ all while playing a hard, responsible 200’ game.

Jack Quinn's my favourite player on my favourite team. I'm not exactly sure why. But, hey, I know what I like and I know it when I see it. I just love the young man's game. All that said, 30 goals is a lot - even by modern NHL standards. (Scoring is up, right?) I do think Quinn has some 30 goal seasons in him, provided he can stay healthy. But I'm not sure when those seasons will occur. And I'm not sure they'll be the norm. In the meantime, let's just pray for his health and the evolution of his game.

I don't follow the league closely enough to know who Cirelli is. Blame it on the Sabres' drought. Would "Cirelli Lite" play here? It sounds like they're too close on the analytics to damn McLeod with such faint praise. If we can somehow snag a true top-6 forward, I will be fully on board with the upcoming season. I mean, given what's been done so far, I'm on board already. It's just that I'm also furtively looking around the vessel, checking marine forecasts, seeing if there are enough life jackets, etc.

it does sound like gurtler. i'm not sure the timing lines up? also, imagine the commotion if sabrespace had existed at the time: perreault moved to wing with mccourt at centre. (was this a feature of the latter part of perreault's career?)

Spreadsheet fandom had Sabre fans crying the blues on Twitter.

I was reflexively defending Greenway until today. Because it occurred to me: Greenway was brought in as a Granato guy. Ruff may not have much use for him? Otoh, Greenway’s PK numbers were quite good, were they not?

Thanks for that work. I appreciate the comfort from Drance. But puzzling for the Oilers? I dunno. It’s a trade that seems to make sense for both teams — with both teams parting with “things” that they’d rather retain, but, on balance, felt they must in order to move forward as best they can.

I found Jfresh’s overview of the player so amusing (and dispiriting). There’s a lot of talk about who’s JAG on this team. I’m not even sure Joki clears that threshold.

This really struck me as significant at the time.

The Hecht comparison is intriguing. And isn’t there something to be said for not every player on your bottom 6 being an absolute burner? Someone needs to be trailing the play — to pick up that drop pass or diffuse a dangerous turnover.

Now they just gotta work on @PASabreFan. Truly, the final boss.

Edit: McLeod still being under the team’s control is relevant here, I suppose. A one year rental of a top-6 forward may still be obtainable.