Broke this down the other day: http://forums.sabrespace.com/topic/21694-the-1st-pick-of-2013-nhl-entry-draft-the-buffalo-sabres-select/page__st__520#entry477653
The guys on WGR said the Sabres could draft 5th at best. Didn't make sense to me, so I tabulated it for myself.
Gotta lose out in regulation to have any chance at 3rd.