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Everything posted by Curt
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GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
I think the book on Buffalo right now is to forecheck them hard and see if they can handle it and still execute the breakout. They’ve had a hard time with aggressive forechecks so far this season it seems. -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
Sabres passing has been an issue the past couple games. -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
Sheary with a unique cute move. Looked like it almost worked. -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
Gilmour looks alright. -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
How about a PP goal here to get some momentum -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
Looks like Skinner is still pissed from yesterday -
GDT: 10/25/19 Sabres at Red Wings, 7:30pm ET, MSG, WGR
Curt replied to darksabre's topic in The Aud Club
#benchJohansson -
What? ixG is not individual expected goals? I’m not understanding you.
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ixG is the expected goals for an individual player. The graph is showing how many expected goals the players have accumulated so far this season.
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It’s not a prediction, it’s the season results so far.
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I think the units are just goals.
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This is incorporated into the xG stat. It’s how many goals you should expect to score, or surrender, based on the number AND quality of the shots taken, with average shooting and save percentages. So it’s generally going to undervalue guys who have elite shot releases, who are scoring at a higher than normal rate on their shots. It also does not account for goaltending by design. Its a measure of how the team is playing overall, but elite shooters/goaltending can create goals/make saves that had no business happening, and that can overcome poor team play at times.
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Their xG differential is about 0.2. Their actual G differential is about 1.3. Their goal differential is much higher than you would expect based on the shots they are taking and giving up. That’s considered luck. They have been both good and lucky, but more lucky than good. This is why I don’t like charts with words in the corners, it’s confusing. After last night Rangers game, I would expect those G and xG differential numbers to be closer together.
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GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Skinner’s stick hit him in the face and visor. Almost took his helmet off. I don’t think it was intentional though. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Yup, who needs to worry about scoring or preventing goals when you are trying to win hockey games. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
This is not far off. They weren’t outplayed by much tonight. Just had a bit of an off night. Goals are fickle. They were outplayed 10x worse in the 2nd/3rd of the Kings game. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Goals are fancy stats??? -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
I guess it’s just not going to go in the net for Buffalo. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Damn, Dahlin and Reino were having a great shift and it turned into THAT! -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
He is pretty intense on the ice. He gets hot sometimes. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
He ran over Huts pretty good. This game is getting intense -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Damn, that was a high stick. -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
McCabe and Girgensons on a SH 2 on 1. Is checking the puck into the net an option? -
GDT: 10/24/19 Sabres @ Rangers, 7pm ET, MSG and WGR550
Curt replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
That was a trip -
You mean the charts? I thought that xG was very predictive. Am I wrong about that?