Thorny

I kinda feel like they are already playing under pressure. Indeed, I think that’s the key differentiating factor: not until our *opponents* feel pressured such that they feel compelled to match our urgency will we be truly tested in this final stretch, here. I think we feel pressure but teams playing the 24th place team simply don’t

The Venn diagram where we fall, of those who absolutely think we can make the playoffs and are absolutely going to hold it against the regime if they don’t while holding them to the expectation is shrinking

Notably, the odds jumped to 3.2% with the win. Doesn’t seem like a lot but it about doubled as it was only around 1.6 headed in. And that was only 1 win. Completing that 5 gamer in a row I mentioned probably gets us to ~ 20%, which be a mark probably on par with the other teams in the mix: ie the odds outright may not look “good” but we may have as good odds as basically any ONE team, and just be dealing with a “field” issue That is to say, it would probably look pretty good to our eyes if it even sat at something like 20

And hey look I detailed a breakdown for making the playoffs without sarcastically mocking anyone! Shock

This place sucks lol Make the f*cking the playoffs get out of here with this gaslighting sh*t yes, if you don’t ever finish above 20th out of 32 your GM is doing an objectively poor job “Besides that wHeRe hAs hE gOnE wRonG aGaIn?!” nhl.com/standings ^ start there. By all means be happy with whatever metrics for progress you want divorced from the what they rest of the league measures by but do not outwardly mock those that actually want success. You are literally sarcastically mocking fans in the middle of a 13 year drought, as if it’s absurd we want to actually win.

See you in a couple weeks

Jesus

You’d certainly take it and go from there you wouldn’t take their season RIGHT NOW for next year, if given a choice? 2nd overall? Considering all the most likely and reasonable outcomes? When you’ve been justifiably down on the regime of late? You wouldn’t take that sort of improvement for next year? I call bs Dollars to donuts we don’t even make the playoffs next year, you can’t turn down 2nd overall regardless of how they got it. The chances we are better by any metric at all up to and including entertainment value is almost nonexistent

I’ll take the 50 wins

And it’s not an “either or”. Sample size is incredibly small. Multiple variables Lmao

Could lose 6 straight 🫣

It’s March and the math is almost impossible and the sabres are on fire. Smells like hockey season baby!

Merely checking in called back a goal

Welcome back

Oh god, the Dunleavy feed on sportsnet in Canada

As many wins over remaining games as left shots in the lineup and we make the playoffs

Maybe when you are my age

My stance is also informed by the fact we need to make the playoffs next year. I feel like that’s an incredibly fair bar for Adams and this regime, but regardless, it’s my bar. @DarthEbriatesaid something to me recently and it was a good reminder and hit home. At some point, it becomes my own fault for putting up with it. My line is 5 years. If we can’t make the playoffs next year and Adams retains his job, I am going to cut ties for my own sanity. I’ll always be a “fan” and they’ll always have a place in my heart but, I can’t in good conscience continue following and contributing to the fandom (and this board) like I do (for some, this will undoubtedly represent a vast improvement to their fandom) I wouldn’t blame you at all if you choose to disregard my stance in totality because I’m funnelling it so throughly through the prism of needing to make the playoffs next year. It’s certainly a bias. But it’s admitted bias, it’s out there in the open. Feel free to call me out on anything that isn’t congruent. In my favour, I’ve maintained that as the objective line well before I made it personal Ill be angsty until we make it this season, or are eliminated: I’m putting that aside willingly once the offseason/next season starts: I’m sure as shite not spending my last season around here wallowing. It’ll be a fun year and we will either make it, or not. i may not be a “season ticket holder” but I’ve been signing up for a front row seat for 3 decades. It represents no one but myself but as a die hard fan, this is my feeling at this time

Yes, your entire plan of action is informed by such a different philosophical stance to mine I can’t even begin to address it on a point by point basis, it would just be a waste of both our times. You start out by looking for reasons why we need to keep each player, I start out within a stance that any asset is on the table in the name of securing a playoff spot next year i don’t see it as a scenario where we are “cashing in the future” because a couple moves, regardless of what prospects we pay, isn’t going to severely handicap our future. The misnomer is that we need to “sell the farm”. No, we just need to budge a few times.

I disagree

1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x 1/2 x. 1/2 = 1/64 =1.6% Moneypuck had us at 1.4%. Dunno if they calculate it as simple as I did but, back of napkin seems to line up Actually, the odds should be worse as you point out @ska-T Chitownas that 1/64 run more less gets us into a toss up with those teams

If 5 results break our way, and the caps go 1-2 and NJ 1-1…so let’s say 6 results (I think 1-1 from each caps and NJ would be the fair default so, add 1 for the extra caps loss we need) and those are the standings on Saturday night

Caps go 1-2 (@Oilers @Kraken @Canucks) Devils go 1-1 (@stars @coyotes) - - - NY lslanders 66gp, 72 points Detroit Red Wings 67gp, 72 points Washington Caps 66gp, 71 points Buffalo Sabres 68gp, 71 points NJ Devils 67gp, 68 points

A good place to start: Sabres win their next 3 Islanders lose an additional time in that frame, to the Senators Detroit loses to Arizona in that time frame With those 5 results breaking our way: NY lslanders 66gp, 72 points Detroit Red Wings 67gp, 72 points Buffalo Sabres 68gp, 71 points