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Everything posted by dudacek
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đ Because... He fits and he fits even better if he's been added as an upgrade to Olofsson, rather than an addition to him. Some of us are going to have to move away from grasping the prospects too tightly. Olofsson, Mitts, Quinn, Peterka, Krebs, Rosen, Poltapov, Kisakov, Savoie, Ăstlund, Kulich and this year's 1st can't all be core forwards. On a team that already has Skinner, Thompson, Tuch and soon Cozens on term, not even all of Quinn, Peterka, Krebs, Savoie, Ăstlund, Kulich can. Sacrificing the potential of one or two of them for more of a sure thing, it's going to become a necessity.
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Thatâs certainly what Iâd be trying for: effectively, it becomes futures not on the NHL team for upgrading Olofsson into Meier. And yes, Iâd consider switching Peterka or Quinn into the package, but that would make the package a lot smaller.
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To my way of thinking it's pretty similar to the Sabres/Avs ROR trade in 2016. Meier is a similar level player in a similar contract situation. Zadorov ---> mid-first pick living up to that ---> Ăstlund Grigorenko ---> mid-first pick looking less than that ---> Rosen Compher ---> recent high 2nd pick --> Poltapov 2nd ---> high 2nd ---> Philly's 2nd The Sabres also got Jamie McGinn, so factor that in as you will. If a Savoie or a Kulich is on the table, then one of the other parts probably gets dropped.
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To be clear, a $10 million qualifying offer does not mean a $10 milion long-term contract. What that qualifying offer does is give Meier an extra hammer when it comes to negotiating his next contract, whether its with San Jose, or whatever team they grant a negotiating window to. Management has to add one year at $10 million into the calculation of whatever offer they think is fair. Brock Boeser was in a similar window last summer when he was an RFA one year away from UFA. He had a $7.5 qualifier but signed a 3-year $6.6 million deal. Tkachuk just got $9.5 and Rantanen $9.2 and they are at the top of the list of "power forward" type wingers. I'm thinking his contract with term probably starts with an $8.
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Is Tage Thompson a top 10 NHL player? Is he top 5?
dudacek replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
For sure, but hype also plays a role. Not sure how he's perceived in Buffalo, but in Canada, or certainly Vancouver, Elias Pettersson is perceived as franchise centre and Nico Hischier is thought of as a good but disappointing draft pick. That's because of how excited Petersson got everyone with 66 points in 71 rookie games, then followed it up with a better points per game sophomore season, while Nico put up a more pedestrian 52 and 47. Canuck fans wouldn't trade Petterson for 2 Hischiers and would melt down if you suggested they are even close to the same tier. Yet EP has 277 career points, Hischier has 242. EP plays for one of the league's most dysfunctional teams while Hischier is the captain of this year's breakout franchise. To me, the biggest difference is that Petterson plays in one of the top 3 hockey-crazed markets in the league and Hischier plays for the what, the 9th most popular team metro New York? -
I like Jost. I chuckle over how well-liked he seems to be compared to Mittelstadt. He's not better or more useful. He's just never disappointed you. *** Just one year ago in Colorado, Jost was Mittelstadt, with more games played and less production â a skill centre picked in the top 10 then rushed to the NHL where fans got tired of waiting for him. This is what the Colorado fan base was saying when he got traded a little under a year ago: I don't know ***** about Sturm, but Jost is gone!! That experiment was about 3 years too long. YEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS Save $1,250,000 add a big body and get rid of Jost for this year and next, wins all around We could get Sturm to work as a seat usher and Iâd still be happy with the return. I wish Jost well but it was mostly a frustrating tenure with the Avalanche. I really thought he had put it all together last year playing with Donskoi and Nichushkin, but he regressed so hard this year that it became obvious last year was smoke and mirrors. Glad to see Jost gone, just wasn't working here, he is not a bottom 6er, PKer. I hope he can gain some traction for his career. But hopefully not too much, since f*** Minnesota. This is a strategic move for when the Avs play the Wild in round 2. They know exactly where to attack now Jost is good people person but bad hockey person. Weâve all been so excited about Jost leaving that I just now noticed that Sturmâs name isnât even spelt right in the thread title :laugh: Looks like Sakic had enough of Tyson Jost's inability to bring anything to the table and decided to doff him off for a Nico Sturm who likely doesn't bring anything to the table we were never winning a cup with him playing any sort of significant role in the playoffs There's more...
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Is Tage Thompson a top 10 NHL player? Is he top 5?
dudacek replied to dudacek's topic in The Aud Club
Such a year-to-year thing, isn't it? And a lot of it is determined out of the hype centres that generate so much of the internet chatter. One of these guys is having easily his 2nd-best statistical season ever, the other easily his best: 47 25/28/53 +20 47 23/30/53 +13 The former will be in almost every conversation about top 5 players in the league. The latter probably won't be mentioned in many conversations about the top 50. They are tied for 20th in NHL scoring. -
Are the Sabres out of the running for the playoffs?
dudacek replied to inkman's topic in The Aud Club
It's all just exercises in math that ultimately don't mean a thing (we still need to win, they need to lose). But when he says we need 41 points in our next 35 games for an even chance, that doesn't seem too daunting at all. We've played 2 points behind that pace over our past 35 and well above it for our past 25. -
It's really the only way to do it and you would think the Sharks would have to be highly motivated to sell given their cap situation. I wonder if we could somehow take salary off their hands to lessen the acquisition cost, which otherwise would be very high â I'm thinking an ROR from Colorado level package with a similar contract understanding, adjusted for inflation.
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To put things in perspective, the Sabres have drafted 3 1st-round defencemen in the past 5 years. They had 3 in the entire decade starting in the year 2000 and 4 the decade before that. When you think about it, if you care about being balanced, 2 every 5 years should be the average Or to put this another way, over the past 5 years only 1 NHL team (Chicago with 4) has drafted more 1st round defencemen than Buffalo's 3, and only 2 others (NJ, Cbs) have drafted as many. Ironically, Chicago's 4th was the 32nd pick. Mule, a 2nd-rounder was also a 32nd pick. We haven't been neglecting the blueline at all, we're seeing the effects of doing such a good job addressing it. (Yes, we need more bodies for the farm back there and ideally would take a couple with our 1st 4 picks this year)
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GDT - 1/25/2023 Amerks v. Baby Pens (7:05 ET)
dudacek replied to DarthEbriate's topic in The Aud Club
Is Bjork really a 4th-liner on the Amerks now? -
That would be the one. Same guys who did the great Rush doc a few years earlier.
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This is where I would struggle as a GM: not being loyal to guys that showed loyalty to you. I want guys like Vic and Casey - guys who want to be here and want to win here - to be rewarded. ***** the mercenaries like Evander Kane and ***** the fans who want high-priced outsiders instead of having the backs of the guys who care. Its part of why I appreciate the Adams philosophy. But I understand there are limits. When circumstances demand a guy like Vinnie goes, everybody gets it. You handle it as best you can. But there are tougher decisions to come.
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Love the band. If this is the same documentary from a few years back that ended with them playing a surprise performance before some of their biggest fans, that was well worth watching.
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This is why I said at the time he signed it that Olofssonâs contract makes it highly likely he gets traded either at this deadline, or at the draft. You donât give a guy that close to UFA 2 years if you are planning on keeping him around. That was when it seemed more likely that the Sabres would be outside the playoff race this spring and a relatively cheap sniper (the Sabres could even retain) with term could garner a good return that you could use along with your cap space on a bigger piece (say a Timo Meier or a Patrick Kane). Whereas, youâd be more likely to keep him and risk him walking in the second year when you fully expect to be in the race. The Sabres being in the race this year has changed the ground rules. The plan has certainly seemed to be identify your core, prioritize committing your cap space to them over term, and keep your assets and options open elsewhere. I guess this makes Adams decision making process tougher, but itâs filed under the heading of âgood problem to haveâ. For what itâs worth, VO recently told the Buffalo News staying long-term in Buffalo has always been his priority. I guess considering extending him this summer is another item on Kevynâs to-do list.
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Theyâve won 51 times over the past 4 years. Thatâs mine. Im not going to do the math, but we both know thatâs far better than most NFL front offices - employed or unemployed. I have no problem with people defining winning solely by Super Bowls if they want to set themselves up for regular disappointment. I have a problem with people doing that and thinking the odds are good that there are people out there who are clearly better qualified to bring you success than Beane and McDermott. I mean there might be, but your chances of hiring them arenât great.
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Winningâ you know, the way you measure success in sports. Yes, they've made mistakes and they need to get better. That's not the same as they are terrible and the need to be fired.
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This right here is what's wrong with sports fans in general. There is no magic formula, but people keep convincing themselves there is while constantly looking for someone to blame. Objectively, the Bills are one of the best-run franchises in football over the past few years. Objectively they weren't good enough. Who is a better bet to make the right moves to get them over the top? McDermott and Beane or the guy in the magic box (Rex Ryan, Doug Marrone, Chan Gailey, Perry Fewell, Dick Jauron, Mike Mularkey, Gregg Williams, Wade Phillips, Marv Levy, Hank Bullogh, Kay Stephenson, Chuck Knox...)
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And that's fair. Meier is just 26 and one of the league's best power forwards. The qualifying offer doesn't mean he's getting that much on term, but no one is trading the likes of Quinn for him without knowing what his demands are and whether they fit in your cap. The Sabres have set themselves up as one of the few franchises to be in a position to acquire a player of Meier's calibre and circumstances this summer. He could be our Hossa. I'm not interested in breaking the bank, but I would hope Adams is taking a hard look.
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Rather than excoriating or firing what has been one of the most successful braintrusts in franchise history, wouldn't it make more sense to charge them with identifying what went wrong, then exercise that plan? Isn't that what works best in real life?