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JoeSchmoe

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Posts posted by JoeSchmoe

  1. 21 minutes ago, JohnC said:

    Some players disliked what some fans did. So what! They expressed their displeasure by stop doing some meaningless "stick salute". Big freaking deal!  The players are allowed to express themselves just as fans are. There is nothing disrespectful about stopping a meaningless act that was in reality overdone. If that hurt some fans' feelings then tough. My recommendation to these overly sensitive and whining and sniveling crybabies is stop being a pathetic snowflake and toughen up. If you throw shiiit---then don't cry when it symbolically gets thrown back at you. 

    So many crybabies. Salutes are dumb anyways... Unless maybe for the end of the year or after a milestone like making the playoffs. 

  2. 1 hour ago, PASabreFan said:

    Yeah. I had to listen. I won't rip Derek. The regular host wasn't there so maybe he got thrown to the wolves. He wasn't bad but you could hear the nerves. Dead air, even a few seconds, is brutal. I kept fiddling with the radio.

    Beyond that the production value of the broadcast is less than stellar. It all goes back to trying to put TV on the radio.

    The dead air was bad... And I agree it seemed like he was put in there on short notice without any prep time or support from colleagues.

    The worst part though was the interviews were barely audible, even with my earbuds on full. 

  3. 6 hours ago, Pimlach said:

    I am going to say this AGAIN, repeating what I said right out of the gate.   They wasted the camp and preseason.  They looked at all their coveted prospects for too long and did not drill the vets and NHL players enough. 

    This might be the case with the team as a whole, but this ain't it with Thompson. He cannot do the things he did all year last season, as evidenced in the video. The plausible explanations I'll listen to for his utter decline are:

    1. A nagging injury going back to last season. He hasn't done anything out of the gates so no injury sustained this year is the cause of him falling off a cliff.

    2. Zero offseason training and which has continued into this season.

    3. Mental health / fatigue / checked out. I get that being a new dad can be lots of work, but as all of us dads know, we still have to show up to work and perform. In Tage's case, he's in some part responsible for the many empty seats in the arena. If I were his employer, I'd be asking questions.

    4. Change in his supplement game. 😉 Sorry fan boys, but with the night and day difference between this year and last, I'm personally not ruling it out as a possibility. If we never see last year's Tage again, this suspicion will only grow stronger. 

    Again, I most likely think it's number 1 and maybe a touch of number 3. I'd really like to see him shut down and get whatever care he needs to come out of the gates next year looking like the Tage of last year. If he returns to form, I think the drought is over in 24-25.

  4. 3 minutes ago, mjd1001 said:

    Is the Powerplay bad because of Tage? or is Tage bad because of the Power play?

     

    Is the Power play bad because Tage only has 4 PP goals this year, while last year he had 20?  Is the reason the PP is awful not because its run bad...but simply he simply isn't producing on it?

    OR....

    Is Tage a lot worse this year because he isn't getting those PP goals, and its not his fault so much as it is the fault of the way the Power Play is run?

    Watch the video I posted. Ask yourself how many times you've seen that Tage this year. 

    It's Tage.

    • Like (+1) 2
  5. 28 minutes ago, Big Guava said:

    There are pros and cons to both.

    Up here in Canada, you can't find trades... Contractors are naming their prices. I dropped $800 in labour to a gas tech last summer for 3 hours. The only other guy that came out quoted the job at 8 hours, 2 guys, and over 3 times that.

    • Like (+1) 1
  6. The frustration with Power is he plays like he wants to be a Makar / Hughes style defenseman but he doesn't have the skill set.

    He does however have the god given gift of size- which if he CHOOSES to use it, could make him the #1 OA we drafted him to be.

    The problem is, as easy as it may seem to be able to flip a switch and be a 6'5" 220lb body moving D-man, he instead ends up hugging JT Miller's leg in one of the most disgraceful fight any Sabres has ever had.

  7. Man, I love being wrong about players.

    As one of his biggest detractors, I wanted Adams to waive UPL. Total wrong call. 

    Rosen is my other pet peeve player in this org. Hated the pick given his only claim to fame was a hot U18 championship. He's been better than what I predicted, but not by much. Here's hoping I can wear the egg on my face for him too.

    Smiley Face GIF

  8. On 2/11/2024 at 10:40 AM, Flashsabre said:

    For the love of God please trade Girgs to a contender. The guy was drafted in 2012 and has never seen a playoff game. No one has suffered more in the NHL.

    Je has been a loyal soldier who hasn’t complained. I would love to see him in a playoff run and it ain’t happening in Buffalo anytime soon.

    Same for Okposo. Let’s see if anyone steps into a leadership role with him out the door. Would find out a lot about this team.

    Fully agree with the bold in last paragraph. Can't agree with the rest.

    Both of these guys got paid oodles of $$$ to underperform on their contracts and / or expectations. They are direct contributors to this drought. I don't know these guys personally and what they do once they're gone means little to me. In fact, I'd be happier if they go somewhere else and help their new team suck.

  9. 1 hour ago, PASabreFan said:

    Dahlin is almost 24. He is in his fifth season.

    The certainty that Power will join Dahlin in perennial battles for the Norris is rdiculous. 

    The only evidence in favour of OP being an eventual Norris candidate is his draft position. 

    I know this is going to hurt the feelings of the usual suspects, but he's just as close to Eric Johnson trajectory than Norris candidate.

    I've said before that I don't agree with Rivet on a lot of things, but his negative comments towards Power's game are spot on.  Off the top of my head I can't remember a Dman on this team with a worse size:grit ratio.

    • Agree 1
  10. 28 minutes ago, msw2112 said:

    In fairness to KA, the guy was the consensus #1 pick overall and he played very well in his first full season.  Burning the first year of his ELC has really come back to bite the Sabres in the butt here, as having another year to assess his worthiness of a large extension would have been useful.  That said, burning that 1st year is what happens with players drafted at that level.  It's not like the Sabres had much of a choice.  I'm also in the camp that Power will be fine.  He's having a bad sophomore slump season, but he has the tools and played well in his first season.  Outside of Peterka and UPL, nobody on the Sabres is having a very good season.

    Also, feline AIDS is the leading cause of death among domestic cats.

    I'm open to burning the first year of an entry level deal, because it gives the player less time to prove their worth for their 2nd contract. Theoretically, you should be able to lock them up for less as their stats and body of work would be more team friendly.

    The problem is, OP's performance in his first full season didn't warrant the contract he got. IMO, nothing he did last year projected out at much more than $8.5M per, even if he improved year to year. If he was tougher... maybe. The 1st OA is what we payed for, even though it was a weak draft year.

  11. 12 hours ago, Broken Ankles said:

        This just isn't true.  Johnson is the worst.  In the chart below from Natural Stat Trick, I have the top 5 D-men advanced stats for the entire year on top and then January 1st to present below. The data has actual TOI, Shots against, goals against and Expected GA  for just PK.  Then a calculation of XG, GA and Shots against divided by TOI. The shade is a ranking of each  green - top two; Yellow - Third; Orange - 4th; and Magenta- last/worst.  YTD Clifton is nothing to write home about, but you can see Johnson has more GA, higher Expected GA and shots, and when you factor in TOI, Johnson still ranks last in two categories and 4th in another.   Whereas Clift is 3rd, 3rd and 4th.  

      Where it gets interesting is since January 1st, Power is last in Expected GA per minute, 4th in actual GA per minute while Clifton improves to second in two categories and third in another.  Dahlin and Power are on the ice for 4 GA each and Power is seeing more TOI even though seemingly he is struggling.  The eye test tells me that Power and Dahlin have struggled as of late on the PK as well.   And as much as we bash Mattias, he was consistent throughout the year on the PK.  As stated, a lot of this may have to do matchups - who is on the ice against PP#1 vs PP#2, but overall it tells me EJ has been our worst PK defenseman.  

    Stattrickdefense.thumb.JPG.54cd39acc802f59724d0c69fc4ea5f8a.JPG

     

    Moneypuck has a completely different ranking. While it shows Johnson gives up more shots, Clifton gives up significantly more high danger shots, leading to more expected goals against. 

    Also, going by minutes played, you'd infer Johnson and Samuelson would be playing PK1 whereas Power and Clifton would be PK2 so strength of opposition would be at play. No idea if this is actually correct. 

    Screenshot_20240212-122222.thumb.png.0a680219a3aeb6e4d68bac2d35ff6274.png

  12. 2 minutes ago, Taro T said:

    But, also, don't believe he's on the ice much with Greenway on the PK and the PK is significantly better when the 1st F pairing is out there.  Wonder how much (how accurately) that is accounted for in those advanced stats.

    It doesn't account for it at all... at least according to Moneypuck. Questions like that are where the work and the analysis comes in. That said, I don't see Greenway being our best guy. Again, the analysis could be he always plays against PP1.

    My eye test pretty much matches the PK stats below though. 

    Screenshot_20240211-184937.thumb.png.ae3943ed3290f434984e72bdf285a840.png

  13. 2 hours ago, Pimlach said:

    Good data to see.   Fancy stats are interesting as to how they get tabulated, who and how they decide to record the data, and what they actually mean.  Is this goals for or against?  I am am sure who they play with is a big factor too.  

    I watch the games and see Clifton is a big improvement over last years 3rd pairing, helpful on the PK, and physically more active than the rest.  therefore, he was an improvement from last year.  

    I agree whom they play with can be a factor for expected goal %, especially if you don't do much mixing and matching. However, Clifton was similarly bad on Boston last year. Numbers wise he's our worst PK D by a significant margin. And he consistently does not make plays 5 on 5.

    He can hit though, and maybe that's what you like about him. Personally, I feel like we're closer to a wildcard if Clifton is Mr Press Box, and Ryan Johnson is on our bottom pair.

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