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Everything posted by DarthEbriate
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GDT: 11/04/25 Utah Mammoth @ Buffalo Sabres 7 pm MSG and Radio
DarthEbriate replied to bob_sauve28's topic in The Aud Club
Peterka is tied for 74th on the all-time Sabres scoring list with Yuri Khmylev (150 points). He trails Tyler Myers by a point. Maybe not a video, but definitely a PA callout during a TV timeout in the first period. -
GDT: 11/04/25 Utah Mammoth @ Buffalo Sabres 7 pm MSG and Radio
DarthEbriate replied to bob_sauve28's topic in The Aud Club
And his name is… Isak Rosén? -
GDT: 11/04/25 Utah Mammoth @ Buffalo Sabres 7 pm MSG and Radio
DarthEbriate replied to bob_sauve28's topic in The Aud Club
Who gets the revenge game -- Doan and Kesselring or Peterka? Why all the vengeance? -
Comparing first 12 games of last season to this season.
DarthEbriate replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in The Aud Club
Third in the division. In the conference they would have been the 7th seed. But there are differences from year-to-year in the parity. Tonight, they could win and still be outside the playoffs depending on the outcomes of other games in the East. -
Zucker to IR and Kulich likely out against Utah
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
X - X - Thompson Doan - McLeod - Tuch X - X - Quinn Malenstyn - Krebs - Greenway X - X - Geertsen Out: Benson, Norris, Zucker, Kulich, Danforth, Kozak Likely in the lineup next game: Östlund, Dunne, Rosén, and Geertsen? Krebs - Thompson - Greenway Doan - McLeod - Tuch Rosén - Östlund - Quinn Malenstyn - Dunne - Geersten Krebs got a look in preseason with Norris-TNT, so I'd presume he goes up the lineup. But Rosén or Östlund on TNT's line wouldn't surprise me to try to better balance out the AHLers. -
Be sure to accent the hard H.
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That's right. His first game after reclamation was against SJ.
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Zucker to IR and Kulich likely out against Utah
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Well at least the D-corps is healthy, because the forwards are at about 60% operational strength from the preferred roster. -
At this time last year, Levi was being rushed, Reimer was with San Jose, and Luukkonen was fall flat after and solid previous season. This year, we have the veteran in the lineup and playing almost exclusively. The kid (Ellis) has played one “no one has video on me yet” game, and Luukkonen has had one good showing and one messy one.
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Levi will make it in Buffalo or elsewhere. He's not going to be a legend, but a solid tandem guy is within reach. Leenders maybe. As long as Adams is GM, Leinonen will get a fair (or unfair) look in Sabreland. Mrtka, Novikov, Strbak. And I think Osburn: the kid sees the game well. Kleber is the one I don't know, but I assume he will because of his draft status and size. He'll get chances. I do think Poltapov will arrive as a 3W. How long he's in Buffalo I don't know, but I think he gets a full season in the bottom 6 and acquits himself fine which leads him to a good little 2-3 years at minimum. Kozak is already in if can stay healthy. Rosén, Östlund, Helenius, Wahlberg, Zeimer, and Richard make it for me. They all can fit on a roster if it's constructed well.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Note, if you only got a loser point in every game you'd be 0-0-82. In the offseason, the GM would say "We were really competitive. We were a .500 hockey team last year." And the fans would tell the GM, "Go to hell. We never won a single game. We finished 10 points back of the final wild card and are drafting #9 overall." You have to win more game than you lose except in extremely rare cases as @bg17 notes below. When you do lose, get the loser points if you can. It's like in the NFL. In 2010, the Seahawks went 2-6 vs. the AFC West and NFC South... but the rest of their division also sucked against those like opponents. They won their division with a 7-9 record (and won their home playoff game). They then got trounced in the divisional round (they scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and lost by two scores) -- because they weren't a good team (yet). If they'd have been competing for the wild card they'd have finished as the 8th seed and 3 games back. -
Yes -- my response to your initial comment was that if you only looked at last year you wouldn't see it as a big anomaly. But taken together, last year and this year have seen a really big jump beyond the existing trend. It won't compete with @matter2003's high danger data, but another thing to take into account: goalie gear restrictions. Hasek and Brodeur famously were rocking sweaters 4 sizes too big, etc. But since 2005-06 post-lockout, there have been multiple changes to goalie pad sizes and even an additional jersey regulation in 2018. Just like the other sports -- the Shield wants more offense.
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Last year and this season (so far) have been abnormally low for team save percentages. We're still early in 25-26 so there's likely some clutter and teams will tighten up a bit as the season goes on, but it's notable. Team percentages also include empty net goals, so you could be seeing a bit more "risk + screw it, we're down 2 with 5 minutes left, let's pull the goalie early" goals than in previous seasons. Here are team save percentages going back a bit: 2025 .890 2024 .893 2023 .898 2022 .899 2021 .902 2020 .903 2019 .905 2018 .905 2017 .908 2016 .910 2015 .910 3 on 3 OT in effect 2014 .911 And you go back to the dead puck era thinking it'll be monstrously higher... No, not really. (Makes you appreciate Hasek all the more.) 2004 .908 2003 .906 2002 .905 2001 .901 2000 .902 1999 .906 As to why. I don't think it's the goaltenders themselves: they are positionally sound, make spectacular saves, etc. There are subpar goalies, yes. But we've seen much better shot selection in recent years. Teams aren't just shooting from the blue line and hoping, they're much more patient with the puck. Power plays have had some abnormally high success rates (three teams had a 28+ PP% last year and the league average was over 21% -- which is rising in general in recent years). Since it was introduced 3 on 3 overtimes have changed from "skate and shoot" to possess and exit the zone, but maintain possession at all costs -- working for the high danger shot. (Luukkonen was great last night and made 5 saves, but prior to that this season the Sabres had given up 3 goals on 5 shots to rock a .400 sv%). I think in general it's the offensive coaches putting analytics and video to good effect.
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
I said six teams are under "NHL .500". This is an important distinction because NHL .500 is a fabricated term that tries to combine two different systems: W/L and loser points that impact points percentage. They're not the same units of measure. True .500 = W/L. How many have they won? 5. How many have they lost? 7. That's it. That's what .500 is. NHL .500 is a fabrication that allows GMs/coaches/fans to ignore losses if they choose. It's useless. Like I said: Six of 32 teams are below NHL .500. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
I don't acknowledge "NHL .500" because it is valueless. There are currently six teams in the entire league below NHL .500. You want to be in the playoffs, you need the DeLuca. You need to out-point your opponents. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
That's 5-7. Alternately, to look at it in points: The Sabres have 13 points in twelve games. Their opponents have 14 points in those same twelve games. That's a losing record. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
It's becoming the opposite of last season's winless in 13. (3 points) -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Considering the start -- good win. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
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GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
What's wrong with ties? These guys on either team can't even put the puck on net. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
All the coordinates are set. It's now or never. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Tuch just trying to pass the game away (good backcheck though). -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Rosén -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
Power roofs it top shelf for the win. -
GDT: Capitals @ Sabres, 7:00pm Nov. 1, 2025, 🎙 📺 ESPN+/MSG
DarthEbriate replied to LGR4GM's topic in The Aud Club
On net next time, please.
