PickaPecaPickles
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Posts posted by PickaPecaPickles
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17 minutes ago, bob_sauve28 said:
Not much mention of that kid Owen Power, who very quietly has become a solid NHL defender who adds offence, too. The kid is great. For all the praise that others deserve, Power might be the player with the most upside. He is sure as hell is better than Dahlin was at this age.
An Athletic article this a.m. ranks the 10 best rookies of this season so far: Power at #3 and Quinn at #5 (Beniers #1 and L. Thompson #2).
https://theathletic.com/3925974/2022/11/24/nhl-rookies-owen-power-logan-thompson/
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A lot of good quotes on Quinn and the Young-guns line from Fairburn's Athletic article:
On Quinn:QuoteGranato mentioned before the game that Quinn has spent a lot of extra time watching video with the assistant coaches. He’s been a healthy scratch for a few games and was also out of the lineup recently because of an injury. Granato has been adamant that the time out of the lineup can benefit a young player like Quinn.
“It’s situational awareness, and he’s picked it up fast, to the point where now it’s second nature to him,” Granato said. “It doesn’t break his confidence. He reads a play quicker. He reads danger quicker. He reads opportunity quicker. And he’s gained more comfort as a result. So that’s a process that he’s been very engaged in.”
Said Quinn: “Just little details. Not trying to score when I go out there. Just try to make the reads, compete, win battles, and the chances will come. Just trying to play an all-around game. That goes a long way.”
On their line:
QuoteQuinn isn’t creating all of these chances on his own. Since Granato put him with Cozens and JJ Peterka, the results have been encouraging. Peterka set up Cozens for a goal on an odd-man rush Wednesday. That trio accounts for 70 percent of the expected goals when it’s on the ice, according to Natural Stat Trick.
“It feels like we have a ton of chemistry,” Quinn said. “We all want to play together. We’re having a ton of fun out there, and just trying to keep getting better and better. We’re a young line, so we’re just going to try to keep building on it.”
Like Quinn, Cozens is 21, and Peterka is 20. If those three can provide a consistent scoring threat as the second line behind Thompson, Skinner and Alex Tuch, it could change the way this lineup plays from night to night. Cozens embraces the leadership role even at such a young age.
“I think we have a very special opportunity to do something special with us three being so young,” Cozens said. “I told those guys, ‘We can play together for the next 10, 15 years and build some crazy chemistry.’ It’s exciting to all play together at this age with how young we are and keep growing together. I’m excited to see what we can do in the future, for sure.”
https://theathletic.com/3930511/2022/11/24/sabres-blues-jack-quinn-upl/
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1 hour ago, Taro T said:
You appear to have more faith in UPL than many of the rest of us have.
Really hoping for an early Christmas present with Comrie coming back after the homestand.
It was a comment about the overall, season-long D and what they would need to put them in the hunt come spring. Staying healthy, including GTs, would help bring their GAA down some (currently at 3.58). The young guys creating a stronger second scoring line was the other ingredient.
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1 hour ago, Curt said:
I agree, at some point this season (hopefully soon), Quinn-Cozens-Peterka are going to go on a heater.
Hopefully it happens early enough to put them in the playoff race at the finish line.
The top line (I know they haven't played together every game), has 30 of their 69 goals. When this young gun line starts shooting straight, they will be a dangerous team. I also expect the GA will come down a bit, now that the defense is back to full strength.
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So, I was looking at the standings to see where the Blues stand, and noticed this random stat: there are 12 teams with a record of .500 or worse, and the Sabres are the only team with a + goal differential (+1), and the closest team following is the Wild at -5. Expanding the criteria to teams with 20 or fewer points (there are 17), again, the Sabres are the only team with a positive goal differential (Panthers are even).
Is this just a fluke stat, or does it describe something meaningful about this team that belies its recent losing streak?
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1 minute ago, Mustache of God said:
What we're witnessing is the Jost effect.
Samuelson
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4-4 at the end of regulation. Buffalo wins it in "OOOOOOOHHHHHVVERR Time!"
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1 hour ago, RochesterExpat said:
After he said "I have 78 more games and work to do", it's too bad one of the reporters didn't follow up with "does that mean you expecting 82 goals?
🍺
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1 hour ago, Buffalonill said:
I hope fans don't get upset about this year with all the expectations they think will happen.
I still see buffalo regressing to the bottom 5 this year .. this isn't me being negative just see a lot of rookie mistakes but fun hockey
They've been fun to watch since Granato took over, well about 10 games after with the adjustment.
I can't see that last point(bottom 5) happening at all. Where they end up comes down to goal tending. Over the past 2 seasons, they've averaged 3.5 ppg against, whereas they've increased their scoring average from 2.39 to 2.79. That uptick in scoring got them out of the bottom 5. I expect their scoring to rise a bit higher this year, so better GT could put them closer to contending for a playoff spot (closer, they may not be close enough yet). I also expect the D to be a bit better, which should also improve their goals against. So, barring a slew of injuries in goal again, I think they'll most likely end up middle of the league pack (16-20?).
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1 minute ago, dudacek said:
I gotta say I'd bet big money that Tage is more 15% shooter than 8% shooter.
That was lethal.
Both goals were impossible to stop--rockets, high at the corners.
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6 minutes ago, Jävə Keith said:
Win in OT.
Then we win the practice shootout in 7 rounds.
Nice start to the Preseason boys!
Wondered why ESPN was showing a score of 7-5.
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This was on my Twitter feed...Ouch!
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2 hours ago, PickaPecaPickles said:
Not the big climactic ending I was expecting, but enjoyable and satisfying all the same.
In the end, Saul was admired by his peers, and Jimmy regained Kim's love. So many great characters I will miss.
Edit added: I would've ended it on the scene where they share a smoke, reminiscent of their earliest scenes together in the parking garage.
Finally, I won't be surprised if they eventually do a series based on Kim and her re-found life as a lawyer for the indigent.
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Not the big climactic ending I was expecting, but enjoyable and satisfying all the same.
In the end, Saul was admired by his peers, and Jimmy regained Kim's love. So many great characters I will miss.
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6 hours ago, PerreaultForever said:
I hear ya, but I still think it was a little inconsistent with what they'd set up earlier in terms of her personality and character. Jimmy certainly brought out that side of her earlier on, and there was some reluctance at first, but then later she was almost like a Lady Macbeth driving him on and exuberantly getting into things, enjoying it.
It's not a huge thing for me in terms of the show as a whole, but I'd have preferred a different ending for her. Something more anti-hero.
There's still time.
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8 hours ago, PerreaultForever said:
and she cried her eyes out on the bus so there you go, fitting title.
I am mixed on the Kim feeling guilt/remorse angle. She started with a conscience but over time she really started to love it and was a female Jimmy so idk, I guess the idea is she lost her way under his influence. Kind of a trite female victim storyline that is overly common these days. I think it could have been more complex and interesting.
I think they've shown tidbits of her past so that one can see her as not necessarily a victim of Jimmy. Specifically, that flashback as a child stealing from a store, then watching her mom con the manager. Certainly Jimmy pulled out that aspect of her persona, and it was all fun games to focus on Howard who was born with a silver spoon in his mouth. The traumatic experience of his death ended it, but then had to live with it for the next 6 years or so in almost a catatonic state. Jimmy's call brought it all back which forced her need to resolve it somehow. At this point, I don't know how she can go on?
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6 hours ago, Cascade Youth said:
Unhappiness about what though - contrasted with the color scenes of Jessie asking who Lalo is, and Saul saying “he’s no one” - maybe he wants to be known, he doesn’t want to be buried in some random cemetery (the grave in the desert image), but rather, wants to be recognized as an accomplished criminal? Maybe he was secretly delighted that the police are still after him but bummed that his trail had gone cold?
Or again, does he secretly want to be punished like Dostoevsky’s criminal? The black and white = good/evil, law/order etc.?
Whatever happened with that phone call to Kim definitely sent him down a self-destructive road. Seems as if he may not have anything to live for now, and while I can't see him wanting to get caught, I can see him going out a la Thelma and Louise.
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7 hours ago, JoeSchmoe said:
I think baseball has hockey beat as far as the crapshoot factor goes.
It's a close one. Seems more and more college players are being drafted over HS kids for that reason?
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9 hours ago, LGR4GM said:
It's interesting because when I read that piece it makes me dislike Pronman's evaluation more. It is centered on the wrong things in my mind but to each their own, we will know in a few years who got this one right.
I do want to say 2 things. NHL teams pay ppl a lot of money and screw up all the time so that doesn't mean anything to me personally. Tyler Boucher is the latest example that comes to mind.
Second is how Wright ended up at 4. Montreal had recency bias due to the international tournaments and that is why they picked Salfskovsky. NJD have 2 young centers and have other positions of need so that is why they picked Nemec. Now I think you can argue NJD probably should have just picked the C here but I understand when you have Hischier and Hughes already as your 1/2 punch. Arizona has a fan problem so they made sure to pick an American talent they can sell to their fans and who honestly you could convince me will be better than Wright in the long run so this one is close. That brings us to the Kraken who can't pick Slafskovsky even if they have recency bias, could have picked Nemec but are not restrained by positional needs (they need everything), and Cooley who is the coin flip with Wright. That's really how he falls to 4.
After the draft ends, where a player gets picked is roughly meaningless. Savoie being 9th overall doesn't preclude Östlund or Kulich from overtaking him as the better prospect. Jack Quinn is a better prospect in mind right now compared to Rossi who I am on record as loving in his draft year (we will never know what Covid impact had on Rossi). Slafs going 1 versus Wright 4, doesn't really change my view of things is the point. Now if Wright takes a step back and Slafs continues to excel, very much justifies the selection but I personally think Wright missing his entire DY-1 year will result in his DY+1 year being a bigger jump (I hope Seattle leaves him in the OHL). Time will tell.
Sorry for going on this long. It is my way of saying I understand why you like Pronman, I personally like Wheeler better but to each their own.
Thanks for the detailed response. When I say "my uneducated opinion" it's not sarcasm. I never played the game, so I would never claim any expertise. One thing I will certainly agree with, the hockey draft is probably the biggest crapshoot of any of the major sports because of the age of these kids. And totally agree we won't know who is the better prognosticator for another few years.
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13 hours ago, LGR4GM said:
How does this indicate Pronman is better at evaluating prospects?
It's my uneducated hockey opinion based on my reading of their opinions--which is why I started with "I think". The one example I gave to support Pronman is based on the fact that people who get paid a lot of money picked the guy he had #1 while Wright got picked #4. This article from the Athletic also made me lean more toward his opinons on propects: https://theathletic.com/3376976/2022/06/23/nhl-draft-top-prospects-debate/
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1 hour ago, Taro T said:
Yeah, mildly surprised at that too, but w/ 4 other Sabre prospects in the top 50 & him needing to aqueeze Robertson in to keep loaf fans from crying,not that surprised.
He seems to have held Quinn's getting shutdown in the AHL playoffs against him. He mentioned that specifically in discussing his season.
He's very high on Savoie. Said when all is said & done he might be the best F out of the skaters that were eligible by his criteria.
Think it was just Sabre #'e that was held against Peterka. He was 1 of 3 honorable mentions. The other 2 were Kulich & Östlund.
I don't think he's as good as Pronman, the other Athletic analyst. For example, one point of comparison, Pronman had Slafkovsky as his #1 prospect where Wheeler had Wright.
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Scott Wheeler came out with his top 50 this morning: https://theathletic.com/3415068/2022/07/25/nhl-prospects-rankings/
1. Power
9. Savoie
36. Quinn
40. Krebs
Surprisingly JJP didn't make the cut.
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14 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said:
I don’t think anyone here dislikes Dylan Cozens. Everyone seems to like Dylan the leader and Dylan the person. However, I must admit I am somewhat disappointed with Dylan the NHL player. While he improved , O thought he and Mitts would be the break outs last year instead of Thompson and the return of Skinner.
Admittedly he was rushed to the NHL because of the pandemic and made substantial strides in year two becoming a nearly 40 pt player. On the positives his points, mostly scored 5 on 5, increased by nearly 50% and his takeaways increased dramatically.
Still I am left wanting more. For a 6’3 guy he isn’t very physical and his shooting, to put it kindly, needs work on accuracy. Also if he is destined to be our two way center long-term he also needs to get better in the faceoff circle. He also still disappears in too many games.
The good news is that he is still only 21 (22 in February). Kevin Fiala broke out at 21 with his first 20 goal season while with the Preds. I hope to see similar progress from Dylan this coming season.
One decision that might help Dylan significantly is management (KA & especially DG) deciding if he is a center or winger. With TnT, Mitts, Krebs, Girgensons and even Asplund on the roster, DG could give Dylan a long look on the wing, maybe even with Thompson and Skinner. In all honesty Dylan seemed much more like the player I remembered at the World Jrs playing on the wing for Canada at this year’s World Championships. Adding Cozens to our top line would help that line defensively, while opening offensive opportunities for him.
If he ends up on wing with either Mitts or Thompson, I can see him scoring 20+ and passing 55 points. If DG sticks him on a D first line centering Asplund and KO, I don’t think he gets to either 20 goals or 50 points, maybe something more like 17 and 30 for 47 pts.
Two related points above suggest a little more patience with Cozens.
Fiala had time to "develop", playing almost two full seasons in the AHL, whereas (as you mention) Cozens essentially went straight to the NHL--he was rushed. Given his drive and attitude, he could break out this year, but my expectations are for incremental improvement.
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1 hour ago, GASabresIUFAN said:
Barring Injury (or other roster moves and signings) - Cost approx 63 million.
Forwards 14
Skinner Thompson Tuch
VO Mitts Quinn
Vinnie Cozens KO
Asplund Krebs JJP
Girgensons Bjork
Defense 7
Samuelsson Dahlin
Power Jokiharju
Bryson Lyubushkin
Fitzgerald
Goalies - 2
Comrie Anderson
Key Depth
Forwards - R2, Murray, Malone, Biro
Defense - maybe Pilut
Goalie - UPL, Subban
If recent history is any indication, who are the 5th and 6th goalies?
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GDT - Thunder Bolts & Lightning @ Sabres - November 28, 2022 - 7:00 PM (EST) - MSG and WGR
in The Aud Club
Posted
I think they win tonight. The last game in TB, they were without Dahlin, Mule, and Joki. Their D consisted of Power, Bryson, Lybush, Clague, FitzG, and Pilut.