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PickaPecaPickles

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Posts posted by PickaPecaPickles

  1. 10 hours ago, GASabresIUFAN said:

    With the Washington loss tonight the Sabres are now 2 pts back of the Caps (with 3 games in hand) and one pt behind Pitt.

    Wash (58 pts) has 26W (in 52 games), 21 RW, 25 ROW P% - .558

    Pitt (57 pts) has 24W (in 49 games), 20 RW, 23 ROW p% - .582

    Buff (56 pts) has 26W (in 49 games), 19 RW, 25 ROW p% - .571

    Florida worries me the most of the teams behind us. They have 54 pts (in 52 games) P-%.519

    A statement victory over Carolina before the All-Star break would be huge for the Sabres at home.  Carolina plays the night before.

    Interestingly Washington plays Columbus on the 31st, while Pitt is already on vacation.

    Thanks, that answers my question above, and that's the team I was leaning toward.  Looking at their stats, their issue has been goal tending as well. Not sure how long Bobrovsky is out, so it could continue to hurt them.

  2. 10 minutes ago, Taro T said:

    2 things.

    1.  As the playoff races heat up, quite often those teams on the bubble pick up their pace a bit so, though pacing for ~94 appears that it'll be good enough, it very well might not be when all is said & done.

    2.  In the modern era, exactly 1 team has gotten to an NHL 0.600 and missed the playoffs.  Shooting for 98 (well 98.4 technically which isn't precisely attainable) should be the goal.   Get to 96 through 80 & then get the 2 or 3 more points they might need in those final 2 games.

    Let the Sabres take care of their own business & then they don't have to worry about what their rivals are doing.

    Yes, regarding that first point, I was thinking about it and wondering who among the pack will pick up the pace? 

    At this point, I'd include the Caps, Pens, Sabres, Panthers, Isles, Flyers, Wings, and Sens vying for the last 2 spots.  It really should be a great finish for the last spot.

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. 28 minutes ago, pi2000 said:

    So they need about 42 points over their final 33 games to put them at 98 points... which probably gets them in?

    That's something like 19-10-4 to finish the season.   That's gonna be tough. 

    That said, whatever happens at least we're talking about playoffs in late January which is fun. 

    Given the conference is so much more competitive this year, I think the playoff target number will be a lower than 98.  The Caps are currently on pace for 93 points and the Pens for 95.  There are a lot of teams chasing a spot this year compared to last, when the bottom 8 were essentially done with 2 weeks left to play. This year is going to be a real battle, and will most likely come down to the last game or two.  Fortunately, the Sabres end the season with CBJ.

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. While the Sabres have put themselves into position for a playoff spot, their last 33 games will be (in general) tougher in terms of facing teams in the top half of the league in GAA. Of the 49 games played to date, 22 (45%) were against teams in the top half of the league. For their last 33 games, 20 (60%) will be against teams in the top half, and 15 against teams in the top 10. 

    Fortunately, this last road trip has shown they are up to the task, as DAL and WPG are both top 5 GAA, and MIN 12th. They certainly won't average 3-0-1 through this, but if they can average 2-1-1 (16-9-8), that would put them at 96 points and should get them in this year since the conference is much more competitive. Last year, the Isles were 9th in the standings, 16 points behind the Caps, the last team in.  At this point, I'd say only CBJ and the Habs are out of the race.

    It should be quite a finish.

    • Thanks (+1) 1
  5. 3 minutes ago, JohnC said:

    The Tage goal was exquisite with two exceptional passes from Tuch and Skinner. As good as Tuch's was I thought Skinner's saucer pass to him was exceptional. 

    These are the kind of goals the opposing team always scored, or so it seemed to me for a long, long time.  Reminds me of comments from DG in the fall about how they've been focusing on offense as it's much more difficult to learn than D.  Hopefully, they are now turning the focus toward D as the playoffs beckon.

    • Thanks (+1) 1
  6. 11 hours ago, erickompositör72 said:

    Sorry if this has been discussed already:

     

    6'6" - Tage Thompson

    6'6" - Owen Power

    [6'5" - UPL]

    6'4" - Alex Tuch

    6'4" - Mattias Samuelsson

    6'3" - Rasmus Dahlin

    6'3" - Dylan Cozens

     

    Girgensons, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Lyubushkin all 6'1" or taller

    Seems to me height (and girth?) hurts the most on D. I'm sure there are/were examples of 5' 9" D-men who are good, but Bryson doesn't seem to be one of them.

    • Like (+1) 1
  7. I'm sure it's mostly coaching, but it could also be the emergence of Thompson?  The top line of TT, JS, and Tuch have S% of 17.8, 17.2, and 16.5.  Skinner is 6.1 points above his career average, and his best year was 14.9 with Eichel.  Tuch is 5.9 above his career average and his best year was 12.7.  That line also has 1/3 of the team's SOG.  The kids' line as a solid S% as well, so I'm sure there are several factors, but I wouldn't discount Thompson's emergence as a superstar.

    • Like (+1) 1
  8. From Fairburn's article today  https://theathletic.com/4029058/2022/12/22/buffalo-sabres-playoffs/ :

    Quote

     

    It’s remarkable to see the way Jeff Skinner is producing at 30 years old. He’s on pace to set career highs in points and goals. He’s blended in perfectly with Tage Thompson and Alex Tuch on the top line and is a dangerous player to have on the power play.

    “I think he’s having a lot of fun,” Okposo said. “You just see the way his personality is coming out and how much fun he has on a day-to-day basis. It’s honestly a joy to see, a joy to witness. He’s really stepped up in a leadership role for us. He says the right things. He plays the game in a different way than anybody else. He sees the game in a different way. He’s using his voice to impact some of our younger guys. He has that confidence right now and it’s just been so fun to see how much enjoyment he’s getting out of the game right now.

     

     

  9. 3 hours ago, North Buffalo said:

    Best or most valuable... hard not to choose Tage offensively... Dahls on D but imo Mule is most valuable on back end...  hard to choose.

    Yes, interesting question put that way.  TT and Dahlin are a toss up for "best" player, but MVP?  Who would the team miss most if not in the lineup? We've already seen the Mule impact and there's a strong case there.

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. 9 hours ago, inkman said:

    I’ve been frothing at the mouth about Quinn since he stepped onto the ice in Rochester. He was doing things I’ve never seen players do in the AHL.  Just domination.  I didn’t want to sound delusional or jinx the kid but I was sold on his first AHL shift.  The kid has it. 

    His speed had a lot to do with their goal last night. Impressive.

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